College Hoops Coaching Carousel

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#851      
#852      
and he is being well compensation for that.

however, you also can't say the Tournament doesn't matter. Last time Illinois was in the Sweet Sixteen was in 2005. So if people are happy with that, I don't know what to say.
Come on, you know that’s $hit logic. BU is responsible for 2021 and on, period. Nothing before that matters one bit in judging him … he can’t bear the stress of John Groce’s and Bruce Weber’s failures.

He unambiguously failed in the 2021 NCAAs as a #1 seed, but it happens. Baylor in 2022 and Kansas in 2023 went down in the same way, and it’s happened in 5 of the last 6 Tournaments. In 2022, we were not better than Houston, and in 2023, we likely weren’t better than Arkansas … on paper, he lost two pick ‘em games. Honestly, the biggest indictment on him is not getting a high enough seed this season, but we’ve all rehashed that argument here before.
 
#854      
I’m really selfish; I guess. Because I kinda want the best of both worlds. I like the happy-medium option(s) a Dana Altmana-type, a Matt Painter-type, a Thad Matta(back in the day)type…

The kinda guys that get you 20 wins every year, finish top half of conference 9 out of 10 years…and OCCASIONALLY get S16 or an E8. But he’s ALWAYS a formidable threat…even on down years…(I basically described Brad except for the post season stuff)

*Obviously, getting the top tier signals your program is uptown…and that is worth something.

AND It seems like you sorta need the hired-gun, top tier guys to get you to where you want to go. (More often than not)

The only exception is getting lucky with an up an comer…But if you’re lucky enough to have or develop a Brad Stevens, before he’s Brad Stevens you ain’t gonna have him long…

My only real concern is that the
hired guns have to work twice as fast…because they’re there half as long. Lol
And usually they can, because they’re damn good. But unless they’re already at a blue blood…which we ain’t…you’re looking over your shoulder way more with a Pitino
than an Altman. Altman/Matta/Painter are more than good enough for me.
Absolutely agree with this type of mindset. This is a logical and well thought out rationale regarding not going after disloyal coaches. Although guys like Painter, Matta, and Altman haven't won national championships, they have all made it to the Elite 8/Final 4 while maintaining loyalty to the institutions that hired them. We can get the best of both worlds here. In the long run, maybe Underwood is that but maybe he isn't. I'm not willing to cut bait on him yet but I also agree that we need to see some improvement when it matters in March
 
#855      
Brad went out and tried to completely rebuild a team in 1 season. He made a couple mistakes in that process and probably wishes he could have those back.
1. Clark given his history probably shouldn't of gotten any guarantees and would of been better off with a veteran guard to help this team get around.
2. Mayer has always been a role guy and probably shouldn't of gotten a much bigger role. He stays a role guy maybe season turns out better but unfortunately there wasn't anyone else to take that role.
If BU comes back I would welcome him back with no questions asked. He has earned that and just hope he has learned from the mistakes this year when building the team during a rebuild
To be fair though, this is commonplace in the portal era.

Look how many teams are full of transfers. KState's entire team is transfers pretty much.
 
#857      
I certainly agree that there are rich donors who want Illinois to succeed and are willing to pay to help, but the last part is the key. The question is - Did paying Skyy Clark help Illinois succeed? I think that answer is obviously no. The money spent on Skyy was a total loss for whomever spent it, and i'm not sure there are any donors who wouldn't be disappointed with that.
There seems to be a big assumption here, and that is that Skyy came here courtesy of a rich donor. Do we know that to be the case? Do we know the name of that rich donor, and/or where Skyy's Name, Image and Likeness were put to use? Or did Skyy receive a series of checks from an Illinois collective?

I am not really trying to challenge you out on this. Mostly, I am just frustrated by just how little I have been able to learn about who gets what NIL from where. A lot of money seems to be changing hands, but how much and from which hands? Those remain unknowns.

On a different front, I think your earlier speculation about the bigger picture of this season and the coaching carousel here was absolutely spectacular. Right or wrong, it is by a wide margin the closest I have seen make anything resembling sense out of the big picture that was this almost entirely nonsensical season.
 
#858      

Govoner Vaugn Fan

New Orleans
Not saying you're wrong, but I think there could be other reasons for the clear change in demeanor.

My interpretation has been that this was just a very challenging season to navigate, as a coach, but especially as the kind of coach BU is. With the lack of a clear alpha player, overall youth and inexperience of the team, obvious personality/culture issues, Skyy's underwhelming play as starting PG (and subsequent departure), untimely injuries, players having extended slumps, etc...BU is no idiot, and the writing was on the wall that this team was just not going to pan out. I think it's been said by a few, in different ways, but I get the impression nobody was happier to see this season end than Brad.

I also wonder if somebody got into his ear about the yelling and going nuclear, at some point...or he realized on his own that he needed to chill out a bit. There could be some truth to the notion that's been bandied around about today's average player simply not responding well to that style of coaching, if not outright rejecting it. Player egos are well fed in the era of social media, NIL, the transfer portal, etc. Could be that BU has been (perhaps begrudgingly) trying to change his tune a bit, in an attempt to adapt to this new reality.
Nailed it. How many top ten teams have Freshmen at the 1 and 5 positions, have their top sophomore shooter out for the season and the team 'leaders' are one year transfers who are auditioning for the NBA? Then midseason the top frosh PG quits and PG duties fall to two frosh off guards. I think many of us were sold on some media analysts calling Illinois the most talented team in the country, which we were not, but were the youngest and, as a team, the least experienced plating together. I believe we had a team facing unrealistic expectations, that was good, but not great and hd the pieces to become great in future years.
 
#859      
I'm not sure where the idea that Sean Miller would only take the Illini job as a stepping stone for another HC job comes from. IMO, Arizona is probably an Illini peer in the NCAA world, similar in status. Miller coached there for 12 years. And, as far as the "scandal" that happened while he was at Arizona, SF Austin had to forfeit a lot of games from when BU coached there. I am absolutely on board if BU stays as our head coach - but only if he is truly bought in to the Illini future, which is a question mark at this point.
 
#860      

altgeld88

Arlington, Virginia
Yeah I honestly struggle to understand some of the negativity around BU, even as some who believes in and supports the highest of expectations for Illinois Basketball.

Maybe it’s a differential in terms of how much people care about the Big Ten and Big Ten titles?

Like, we gotta break our second weekend drought, for sure, but BU’s got one (and actually two) Big Ten titles in the bag plus a win of the deepest most competitive BTT maybe ever. That bought an ocean of goodwill and confidence in his ability to win big in my book.

If all you can see is Loyola I don’t think you’re viewing the whole picture, jmho.
That 2021 BTT final v. OSU was one of the most intense finals I can recall. A classic.
 
#862      
I refuse to believe it is anything more or less than simply getting BU a true QB PG that can run the team on the floor.
Maybe we had it in Skyy and lost it. Whatever.
He literally oversaw turning Trent into one.
A 5’8 dynamo just propelled KState into the E8.
Imagine our team this year with a playmaking leader that could command the teams attention when they tune out the coach.
It’s that simple.
yep, a quality experienced backup PG would be nice next year as well.
 
#863      

chrisRunner7

Spokane, WA
“There are known knowns. These are things we know that we know. There are known unknowns. That is to say, there are things that we know we don't know. But there are also unknown unknowns. There are things we don't know we don't know.”
– Donald Rumsfeld

Not sure where this Rumsfield guy coached (ahem)... but he does have a point here.

In the current speculation about the future of the Illini program... There are things we know. There are things we know we don’t know. And then there are things we don’t know that we don’t know.

Beyond that... I just don’t know.
star get GIF


j/k appreciate your posts but it made me think of this
 
#864      
Your updates and insight are always appreciated Lville, but at this point there is a lot of grey area between what would be considered "expected" or "unexpected" in this current coaching carousel.
Especially when comparing people who read this board and the average Illini fan, blissfully unaware of the behind the scenes scenarios being laid out here.

For example, would Texas hiring Rodney Terry full time be considered expected or unexpected? To us it might be unexpected, but to the average college hoops fan it probably makes a lot of sense. Obviously Texas is the major domino waiting to fall.

Anything involving Kansas and Self or Kentucky and Calipari would certainly fall under unexpected by anyone though.
For Underwood to leave, he needs to find a place better than his current situation, which might be a bit concerning but far from Chaos. I am pretty sure LvilleILL has a reason to believe he stays rather than just speculation (he kinda already said it.) As an outsider, I blame NIL for everything but unfortunately, that might be a hard problem to solve. It's effect is beyond the portal.
 
#865      
#866      
I think I'm reading this wrong, so don't understand.... What do you mean most schools can spend their NIL money on the best available player and end up with more options?

Also don't understand what you mean when you say stacking the deck against him.

Are you just saying Josh told him don't scare off any more players, because you will get a reputation and no one will want to come here?
I think this year we found Brad's recruiting ceiling. I don't think this is the cause of the friction, nor do i think the donor situation is, directly anyway, but i do think that is why we would be moving on soon even if there were no friction.

Brad's been recruiting dawgs (and signing them and winning with them). Not only dawgs, but i think Epps, Harris, Rogers, Hansberry, and Morez all fit the bill. Trent and Monte as the OGs, Ayo, Kofi learning dawg while he was here. His first years it was dawgs and dice rolls for the most part, with Giorgi a winner (against his rating) and Hutcherson coming up snake eyes. He took 'em and won games with 'em.

Skyy (and Matt too) represented something new for Brad - a talented non-dawg. Both had some red flags, maybe just orange, but Brad wanted/felt he had to move up the talent ranks. This is something his job performance is judged on. As a poster said the other day 'no one with any basketball knowledge takes a vet for one year over Skyy.' And yet it failed, spectacularly. If you are Josh Whitman looking to see how a talent upgrade moves the needle for your team, what is your takeaway?

I think i am safe in saying that the higher up the recruiting rankings you go, the fewer Underwood-style dawgs you see. Yet that top 10 salary has barley got us a sniff from any top 10 talent. (Whitmore was an even bigger miss in retrospect.) Underwood has proven that he can win with a team of his 30-100 ranked guys, but if you can rarely even make a play at a top 10 guy... Then you factor in that the highest rated Dawgs every year are going to have some blue blood program after them.

If you are, let's randomly pick, uhhhh, Xavier, you don't have to recruit dawgs only. You can go and get a one and done showcase guy. You can target any high school player and see what happens. You can recruit dawgs too, everybody needs 'em, but you are not limited to only them. Have some made up numbers!

Top 100 Players our competition can recruit: 100
Top 100 Players Underwood can recruit (with the expectation they can handle his style): 60?

Top 25 players our competition can recruit: 25
Top 25 Players Underwood can recruit (with the expectation they can handle his style): 10?

Brad is out here winning games with one hand tied behind his back. It really is impressive, but i feel like we learned this year that it isn't going to change, and Whitman would prefer a coach who can and will use both hands. Those donors who would be happy to spend money to help Illinois succeed would like to spend it on even higher level recruits and then have them stick around or get drafted. That doesn't seem like the Brad Underwood trajectory at this point.
 
#867      
Absolutely agree with this type of mindset. This is a logical and well thought out rationale regarding not going after disloyal coaches. Although guys like Painter, Matta, and Altman haven't won national championships, they have all made it to the Elite 8/Final 4 while maintaining loyalty to the institutions that hired them. We can get the best of both worlds here. In the long run, maybe Underwood is that but maybe he isn't. I'm not willing to cut bait on him yet but I also agree that we need to see some improvement when it matters in March
Well thank you. But let me clarify. I’m not 100 percent opposed to getting someone like a Sean Miller. If he could get us over the top. That would be great. (Pitino…forget it…that’s the day I trade in my Illini stuff for Badgers wear.)…but if I had my druthers it would be more like someone I described.

Loyal\Disloyal is kinda dramatic…because everybody wants to do the best they can.$$ But not everybody needs a helicopter to be happy at a place.
 
#869      
There seems to be a big assumption here, and that is that Skyy came here courtesy of a rich donor. Do we know that to be the case? Do we know the name of that rich donor, and/or where Skyy's Name, Image and Likeness were put to use? Or did Skyy receive a series of checks from an Illinois collective?
Thank you for the kind words!
I use donor singular just to simplify. I am sure that is not how it works in reality. In reality there are far more people who feel their money/time/efforts went to waste. When the post is so long to begin with i feel like i gotta cut some corners. :ROFLMAO:
 
#870      
I refuse to believe it is anything more or less than simply getting BU a true QB PG that can run the team on the floor.
Maybe we had it in Skyy and lost it. Whatever.
He literally oversaw turning Trent into one.
A 5’8 dynamo just propelled KState into the E8.
Imagine our team this year with a playmaking leader that could command the teams attention when they tune out the coach.
It’s that simple.
Completely agree. I've heard a lot of folks (not necessarily on this board) mention how point guards are no longer important in the modern-era of basketball. That may true to an extent in the NBA, but not in the college game. The importance of a solid point guard can't be understated.
 
#871      
I don't think Josh is 'worried' about the well drying up either, but a big part of his job is water management, and the more water the better! I would say that in your last sentence (emphasis mine) i would change "plenty" to "a finite number." That finite number may currently be plenty, but a lot of time goes into managing those relationships for a reason. They can be lost faster than they can be gained.

I certainly agree that there are rich donors who want Illinois to succeed and are willing to pay to help, but the last part is the key. The question is - Did paying Skyy Clark help Illinois succeed? I think that answer is obviously no. The money spent on Skyy was a total loss for whomever spent it, and i'm not sure there are any donors who wouldn't be disappointed with that.
I agree. Also I think that if Josh is letting donors run the program then he is not doing his job. And the increase in of buyout the new contract is telling me, and the donors, that Josh wants BU to stay.
 
#872      
If Whitman is so enthralled in getting Miller, and we have the ability to strong arm Xavier for him, why do we need to rely on other dominoes to play out to make it happen? Is Xavier a satisfactory landing spot for BU if he's truly seeking a restart?
 
#873      

redwingillini11

White and Sixth
North Aurora
If Whitman is so enthralled in getting Miller, and we have the ability to strong arm Xavier for him, why do we need to rely on other dominoes to play out to make it happen? Is Xavier a satisfactory landing spot for BU if he's truly seeking a restart?
Lol are you suggesting a coaching trade?
 
#875      
I think the Underwood era is at a similar point to where Lon Kruger was when he left. Not really upset if he leaves, and are confident an upgrade can be made to get to the next level.

Kruger was a solid coach, but at the end I think many were ready for him to leave. His recruiting misses on all that Chicago talent in 1998-99 was very disheartening (Simmons,Richardson, Lance Williams, Steven Hunter, Corey Maggette) and then physically our teams would get punked by Michigan State. We were physically weak, but when Self came in that changed.
 
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