A little more on this:
So, Andrej last season averaged 0.312 points per possession (second on the team; Keaton was 0.322).
Illinois averaged 65.7 possessions per 40 minutes and Andrej played 26.3 minutes per game.
How we mathematically get to his season average of 13.5 points per game:
0.312 x 65.7 =20.498 points per 40
(20.498 / 40) x 26.3 =13.477 points per game
However, I think it’s reasonable to think that both our pace and Andrej’s minutes will increase from this year to next.
Our poss per 40 of 65.7 ranked in the 300s this past season. Just as a guess, let’s say it increases to 68.0 next season (which would rank around 200 nationally).
Now, let’s say Andrej’s minutes increase to 32.0 per game.
Taking the exact ppp rate he had last year (0.312), here’s his projected point per game in that circumstance:
0.312 x 68.0 =21.216
(21.216 / 40) x 32 =
16.973 (would be shown as 17.0 on all the stats sites since they round to tenth)
Really think he’s the sleeper B10 POY candidate no one’s talking about.