Illini Football 2022

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#351      
Screenshot 2022-09-07 12.01.25 AM.png
Screenshot 2022-09-07 12.02.07 AM.png


nothing to see here. move along....
 
#352      

mhuml32

Cincinnati, OH
I'll provide a couple updates throughout the season but here are the 2022 offensive stats compared to the 2021 season


Offensive Plays Per Game
2021: 67.7 (93rd)
2022: 81.7 (15th) (!!)

Offensive Yards Per Game
2021: 326.9 (111th)
2022: 440.7 (42nd)

Offensive Yards Per Play
2021: 4.8 (109th)
2022: 5.4 (59th)

Yards per Pass Attempt
2021: 5.8 (121st)
2022: 6.4 (77th)

Average Time of Possession
2021: 29:19 (83rd)
2022: 35:40 (16th) (!!)

Third Down Conversion Percentage
2021: 37.99% (76th)
2022: 44.66% (41st)


The offensive plays number is startling to me compared to last year, but each of these has taken a massive leap forward. While it's one heck of a caveat but this offensive is just needing some positive regression on turnovers away from contending for best Illinois offense in 10 years.
 
#353      

ChiefGritty

Chicago, IL
I'll provide a couple updates throughout the season but here are the 2022 offensive stats compared to the 2021 season


Offensive Plays Per Game
2021: 67.7 (93rd)
2022: 81.7 (15th) (!!)

Offensive Yards Per Game
2021: 326.9 (111th)
2022: 440.7 (42nd)

Offensive Yards Per Play
2021: 4.8 (109th)
2022: 5.4 (59th)

Yards per Pass Attempt
2021: 5.8 (121st)
2022: 6.4 (77th)

Average Time of Possession
2021: 29:19 (83rd)
2022: 35:40 (16th) (!!)

Third Down Conversion Percentage
2021: 37.99% (76th)
2022: 44.66% (41st)


The offensive plays number is startling to me compared to last year, but each of these has taken a massive leap forward. While it's one heck of a caveat but this offensive is just needing some positive regression on turnovers away from contending for best Illinois offense in 10 years.
It's easy to describe the way to play with a higher tempo but nonetheless in a ball-controlling, defense-resting way. It is extremely difficult to actually pull it off. Early days against weak opponents but thusfar Lunney & Co are pulling it off.

Thus far it has been exactly what I'd hoped for in style terms: basically the same as Petersen, just better.

Now, it's all for naught if we don't catch the ball and avoid turnovers and penalties, but the fear that tempo was going to ruin how we play has not been founded thus far.
 
#354      

mhuml32

Cincinnati, OH
Connelly's final preseason SP+ is posted. Illinois has creeped up a little bit since the first one (82 --> 79). Here are the SP+ rankings for each of Illinois' opponents:

Wyoming (home): 111
Indiana (road): 86
Virginia (home): 65
Chattanooga (home): NR
Wisconsin (road): 17
Iowa (home): 27
Minnesota (home): 31
Nebraska (road): 44
Michigan State (home): 15
Purdue (home): 34
Michigan (road): 6
Northwestern (road): 89

Above is SP+ preseason rankings, here are where things stand right now (green for better than preseason, red for worse):

Illinois: 63

Wyoming (home): 109 - WIN
Indiana (road): 81 - LOSS
Virginia (home): 75 - WIN
Chattanooga (home): NR
Wisconsin (road): 21
Iowa (home): 39
Minnesota (home): 20
Nebraska (road): 51
Michigan State (home): 13
Purdue (home): 29
Michigan (road): 4
Northwestern (road): 89 (no change)


Your B1G West SP+ rankings as of now:

Minnesota - 20 (⬆️ 11)

Wisconsin - 21 (⬇️ 4)

Purdue - 29 (⬆️ 5)

Iowa - 39 (⬇️12)

Nebraska - 51 (⬇️ 7)

Illinois - 63 (⬆️ 16)

Northwestern - 89 (no change)
 
#358      
This program has taken big strides already in the short time BB has been here. We have given some games away but we are ahead of schedule on this program turning around.

Looked back 10 seasons and some of the losing streaks have been horrific......

2012-2014 (not typing his name)

2012 9 Game Losing Streak
2013 6 Game Losing Streak
2014 2 Game Losing Streak and 3 Game Losing Streak

2015 (Cubit)

2015 3 Game Losing Streak and 3 Game Losing Streak


2016-2020 (Lovie)

2016 2 Game Losing Streak and 3 Game Losing Streak and 4 Game Losing Streak
2017 10 Game Losing Streak
2018 2 Game Losing Streak and 3 Game Losing Streak and 3 Game Losing Streak
2019 4 Game Losing Streak and 3 Game Losing Streak
2020 3 Game Losing Streak and 3 Game Losing Streak (Lovie fired before that last game where Penn St blew us out was last game on streak)


2021-current (BB)

2021 3 Game Losing Streak
2022 TBD

Started 1-4, 6-4 since that time and we have not lost back to back games in almost a year of this post. Illinois is building an identity and culture change has taken place. JMO but I feel we have overachieved since BB has arrived. He has stated before we are paper thin at certain positions. He is adding recruits, transfers and depth. I am excited to see what he can do with this program given more time.
 
#359      

redwingillini11

White and Sixth
North Aurora
#361      
Folks, Chase Brown leads the nation in rushing.

Chase Brown for Heisman, is what all the people are saying, you're hearing it more and more.
Funny thing about this is Kentucky RB Rodriguez Jr who hasn't played a game yet has odds around 125/1 to 250/1.

Will say I would be thrilled if Brown can keep this up and land on AA team. Same time will have to see if the carries can be managed more plus hopefully the return of McCray in few weeks can lighten his load.
 
#362      

mhuml32

Cincinnati, OH
Dec. 29Pinstripe team logo
North Carolina
vs.
team logo
Illinois
ACC vs. Big Ten2 p.m.New York, N.Y.

Saw NIU v. UI in the Motor City Bowl from the ESPN prognosticators. I'm all for facing a team not as talented as UNC in a bowl but it's lose-lose to play NIU.
 
#363      

Epsilon

M tipping over
Pdx
Folks, Chase Brown leads the nation in rushing.

Chase Brown for Heisman, is what all the people are saying, you're hearing it more and more.
I was wondering when the Heisman watchlist would start circulating and if CB would be on it. He keeps this up and he has a legit shot.
 
#364      

Epsilon

M tipping over
Pdx
I was wondering when the Heisman watchlist would start circulating and if CB would be on it. He keeps this up and he has a legit shot.
For the record I know the original post was tongue in cheek, but at some point the numbers don’t lie. I know it’s early and we will be playing tougher competition but I think his utilization rate will stay high, especially when we run into situations when the run is the only thing working for us.

At this point, his name isn’t on the betting lists, but I think at some point he will get on the list. Just my fanboy opinion.

 
#365      
For the record I know the original post was tongue in cheek, but at some point the numbers don’t lie. I know it’s early and we will be playing tougher competition but I think his utilization rate will stay high, especially when we run into situations when the run is the only thing working for us.

At this point, his name isn’t on the betting lists, but I think at some point he will get on the list. Just my fanboy opinion.

Playing a WHAT IF scenario....if he keeps pace with his yardage numbers for the rest of the season. Still would need Illinois to finish 8-4 or better likely plus he would have to add a TON of TD runs into it as well.

Long season and bound to change but the first few leading rushers are from Illinois, Nebraska, UConn and Florida Atlantic. It is fun to think about but would be cool if he could finish at the top or near the top of the leading rushers in the nation. Only thing I want is for him to stay healthy or this offense will be in real trouble. Love the exposure he is getting and also brings to the school. Helps lure in more recruits and hopefully he can land on All American or All Big Ten with a full year schedule.
 
#366      

DeonThomas

South Carolina
I'll provide a couple updates throughout the season but here are the 2022 offensive stats compared to the 2021 season


Offensive Plays Per Game
2021: 67.7 (93rd)
2022: 81.7 (15th) (!!)

Offensive Yards Per Game
2021: 326.9 (111th)
2022: 440.7 (42nd)

Offensive Yards Per Play
2021: 4.8 (109th)
2022: 5.4 (59th)

Yards per Pass Attempt
2021: 5.8 (121st)
2022: 6.4 (77th)

Average Time of Possession
2021: 29:19 (83rd)
2022: 35:40 (16th) (!!)

Third Down Conversion Percentage
2021: 37.99% (76th)
2022: 44.66% (41st)


The offensive plays number is startling to me compared to last year, but each of these has taken a massive leap forward. While it's one heck of a caveat but this offensive is just needing some positive regression on turnovers away from contending for best Illinois offense in 10 years.
Extremely interesting. Great post! Periodic updates would be much appreciated.

Betting that our defensive improvement stats through 3 games this year would be equally as pronounced.
 
#367      

DeonThomas

South Carolina
This program has taken big strides already in the short time BB has been here. We have given some games away but we are ahead of schedule on this program turning around.

Looked back 10 seasons and some of the losing streaks have been horrific......

2012-2014 (not typing his name)

2012 9 Game Losing Streak
2013 6 Game Losing Streak
2014 2 Game Losing Streak and 3 Game Losing Streak

2015 (Cubit)

2015 3 Game Losing Streak and 3 Game Losing Streak


2016-2020 (Lovie)

2016 2 Game Losing Streak and 3 Game Losing Streak and 4 Game Losing Streak
2017 10 Game Losing Streak
2018 2 Game Losing Streak and 3 Game Losing Streak and 3 Game Losing Streak
2019 4 Game Losing Streak and 3 Game Losing Streak
2020 3 Game Losing Streak and 3 Game Losing Streak (Lovie fired before that last game where Penn St blew us out was last game on streak)


2021-current (BB)

2021 3 Game Losing Streak
2022 TBD

Started 1-4, 6-4 since that time and we have not lost back to back games in almost a year of this post. Illinois is building an identity and culture change has taken place. JMO but I feel we have overachieved since BB has arrived. He has stated before we are paper thin at certain positions. He is adding recruits, transfers and depth. I am excited to see what he can do with this program given more time.
I believe I heard the announcers comment in one of our first two games (Indiana perhaps) that Bielema is a great coach and an outstanding College Football CEO.

I agree. He has a great organization with outstanding leaders working under him. He takes a personal interest in each of his players and their families. He knows what is required to win Power 5 football games. And he's personally knowledgable of what's going on throughout the entire program, with lots of breadth and depth. Very impressed!
 
#369      

IlliniFan85

Colorado Springs, CO
Just need him to not run his mouth as much. We don't need an unsportsmanlike conduct penalty. I love his swagger and confidence though. He just needs to ensure he isn't yapping into the opposing players face. It has looked like a few times he could have been flagged.

But of course we don't know what he is saying. He could be asking for grandma's chocolate chip cookie recipe or making dinner plans.
 
#370      

Joel Goodson

respect my decision™
Spoon is a day 2 draft pick, for sure (barring injury). Quite possibly, early day 2. Kudos to him.

Augers very well for our DB room and Coach Henry. Several of the younger guys are promising. Hopefully, we land Hill and Karriem. We can sell Hill on potential immediate playing time, which should give us an edge.
 
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#371      
Just need him to not run his mouth as much. We don't need an unsportsmanlike conduct penalty. I love his swagger and confidence though. He just needs to ensure he isn't yapping into the opposing players face. It has looked like a few times he could have been flagged.

But of course we don't know what he is saying. He could be asking for grandma's chocolate chip cookie recipe or making dinner plans.
Agree 100%: but then again I’m old and believe that if you are going to make an idiot out yourself celebrating a great play, be it a pass breakup, an interception, a sack, or a tackle for loss, the media ought to highlight and have large graphics and slo-mo replay pointing you out when you get absolutely toasted for a 90 yard touchdown reception, etc.

Now, GET OFF MY LAWN!
 
#372      

mhuml32

Cincinnati, OH
For those wanting unbridled optimism:


PFF has Illinois ranked 31st in their power rankings.

49th ranked schedule for games they've already played, 40th toughest schedule remaining. Gives them a 79% chance of making a bowl and an average number of wins at 7.1
 
#375      

Champaign Toast

Fan since Kiwane Garris
When Bielema was hired, we knew his style (from Wisconsin) as stout defense and strong run game. Doing it against Wyoming, Indiana, and Virginia isn't the same as doing it against the top Big Ten programs; nevertheless, it's encouraging to see our team displaying those characteristics early this season.
 
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