Illinois #14 in 1/29 AP Poll

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#102      
Link please. I have no idea what this is.
Search This Is It Furniture commercials or downer downer commercials on YouTube. It was (is?) a furniture store on the west end of Champaign near where I-72 stopped. They were truly unforgettable commercials
 
#103      
By the time the Maryland games takes place, I would not be surprised that you can get close to even money there from the books. This is especially true if Maryland wins at the Breslin Center tomorrow and then handles business up to the 2/17 rematch. I expect a very tight spread in the Maryland game.

That's a lot of assumptions there, but sure, they're all plausible. But as of this current moment, none of those things have happened yet.
 
#104      
I wouldn't give you even money in @MD or @Iowa, but I'd certainly take even money that we lose at least one of those games.

To me, a "top 10" team would have something like a 30% chance of getting 8 or more wins with our remaining schedule. A "top 25" (but not top 10) team would have more like a 20% chance.

Sure, it's a reasonable outcome in both cases, but if it happens it's quite a bit of evidence that we're legitimately "top 10". Beyond that it just comes down to your standard for "proof".

Edit: I also think that the margin in those 10 games will be hugely telling. If we go 8-2 with two blowout Ls and 5 squeaker wins, that's way different than 8 solid wins and 2 close Ls.

That's kind of exactly what I'm saying.

To me, the difference in likelihood (30% vs. 20% in your example), isn't great enough between those two tiers for going 8-2 to be enough evidence. Again, for me.
 
#105      
all I care about is a Nebby win tonight.

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#107      
4 Big Ten teams in the the 40 vote getters is still just stunning.
 
#108      
4 Big Ten teams in the the 40 vote getters is still just stunning.
Very 2005-esque, with Purdue being (a lesser!) 2005 Illini, and Wisconsin/Illinois being 2005 MSU/Wisconsin. In other words, a top 5 team, two other ranked teams and a bunch of “meh” below that. With that said, I think NU is very good, and I think Nebraska is dangerous so a better middle than 2005.
 
#109      
By the time the Maryland games takes place, I would not be surprised that you can get close to even money there from the books. This is especially true if Maryland wins at the Breslin Center tomorrow and then handles business up to the 2/17 rematch. I expect a very tight spread in the Maryland game.
This did not age well.
 
#110      
This did not age well.
I never really expected Maryland to win at Breslin, but I stand by my prediction that the spread will be very tight for our rematch (likely in the range of the game in Columbus). And if that is the case, I think there is great value in Illini covering spread. I think Illini will be about -150 favorites, but a lot can change between now and then.
 
#113      
Wisky should see a big drop this week with 2 straight loses

Houston will drop a couple spots but will remain top 10

KU and Marquette will jump Duke. Duke probably stay ahead of us


UK with 2 straight loses should fall behind us

Arizona will move up

ISU and Creighton will drop. Texas Tech will also drop us


So Wisky UK ISU and Creighton should be ranked behind us. Does Auburn leap frog us?

We should be 10 or 11 tomorrow
 
#115      
If Wiscy hadn't lost to Nebraska, I'd say that the loss to #2 Purdue wouldn't really kill them. With two losses I think the pollsters punish them this week tho, dropping them 5 or 6 spots. I'm betting Kucky drops similarly . . .
 
#117      
If we move to 10, I would be ecstatic. It sure would be great if this team was clicking on all cylinders the rest of the year.
 
#120      
I don't think that we pass Wisky just yet.
Wisconsin @10
Illinois @11
Kinda hard to forecast a bunch of teams on that board.

And the outcome will be what it always is, not a single decision, but the aggregate of a bunch of movements on ballots that don't have the same order.

I do think there is a degree of skepticism of putting us in the single digits, which is frankly understandable when you look at the teams we've actually beaten.

Nice to see FAU getting their stuff together on that front.
 
#121      
I never really expected Maryland to win at Breslin, but I stand by my prediction that the spread will be very tight for our rematch (likely in the range of the game in Columbus). And if that is the case, I think there is great value in Illini covering spread. I think Illini will be about -150 favorites, but a lot can change between now and then.

Agreed - KenPom has it as a 3 point game for now and that's with no baked-in assumption that MD has our number (which I expect might be worth a point or two in Vegas).
 
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