Illinois 69, Ohio State 60 Postgame

#180      
But your point is one of the reasons NET is just a tool, one of many metrics the NCAA uses to seed. If NET was the end all be all, and teams were seeded exactly according to their NET ranking....then many coaches would be keeping their foot on the gas for 40 min.
Btw, what do most computer rankings do with overtime wins? Is a win by ten in overtime every considered better than a win by one in regulation?
 
#181      
I'm still waiting for a game where Hawkins, Shannon and Mayer all have excellent offensive nights. This is about the closest they've gotten . . . except for the three of them shooting 3-15 from behind the arc.

The Good: Balanced scoring from Starters (17, 14, 12, 11)

The ‘Concerning’: 9 points from Bench on 33% overall shooting

The Bad: Reserves 0 for 5 from Three Land

The Bright Spot: Ty Rodgers good minutes.

The Brighter Spot: Team finds its footing again and defends Home Court

In general, this Team rolls when Shannon rolls. And doesn’t roll when he doesn’t.

Hawkins and Mayer are essential supplements to Shannon.

The Wild Cards remain the New Guys.

The Puzzler: R J Melendez
 
#182      
Whenever I see a game end like that it irritates me a little. When a team is playing out the clock in a game that both sides know is long over, and takes a shot clock violation turnover with seconds to go, then the losing team takes a shot, I don't like it. How do most people feel? How do the players and coaches feel about it?
That, and tOSU pressing down 14 with a minute to go. If B1G teams are going to play that; Underwood should run up the score until they concede.
 
#183      
Valid point that our 3pt shooting is not elite - however, 40% was just an example. The theory applies regardless of the numbers. We are averaging 33% from 3 on the season, so anything 50% or better inside the arc is higher-value than our "average" 3pt attempt. However, most teams don't get that much better at shooting by stepping 5 feet in from the arc to a mid-range jumper, so the comparison just goes from "55% from 2 is worse than 40% from 3" to "45% from 2 is worse than 33% from 3".

As others have suggested, I think the real key is "good" vs. "bad" 3pt attempts. Qualitatively, a decent number of our threes have been contested shots off the dribble. I would guess we're shooting even worse than 33% on those, and more like 38-40% on open threes within the flow of the offense. We need to cut down on the "chucking" because it takes away from the ultimate goal, which is still shots around the rim or high-quality 3pt looks.
We rank 251st in 3 point percentage, but rank 26th in 3-pointers attempted.
 
#184      
Valid point that our 3pt shooting is not elite - however, 40% was just an example. The theory applies regardless of the numbers. We are averaging 33% from 3 on the season, so anything 50% or better inside the arc is higher-value than our "average" 3pt attempt. However, most teams don't get that much better at shooting by stepping 5 feet in from the arc to a mid-range jumper, so the comparison just goes from "55% from 2 is worse than 40% from 3" to "45% from 2 is worse than 33% from 3".

As others have suggested, I think the real key is "good" vs. "bad" 3pt attempts. Qualitatively, a decent number of our threes have been contested shots off the dribble. I would guess we're shooting even worse than 33% on those, and more like 38-40% on open threes within the flow of the offense. We need to cut down on the "chucking" because it takes away from the ultimate goal, which is still shots around the rim or high-quality 3pt looks.
Also, you can't just ignore who is lined up for the three. If Epps or Mayer is open for a three, I'm way more comfortable with that attempt than anyone else. And this is just semantics, but I wouldn't advise passing up a sure layup for a three, generally. Two things, though: what might look like a good layup at the time might end with the defense moving to block; or, even though our 2 point average is pretty good, we do have a maddening propensity to miss a lot of layups. A couple of games ago, I counted 6 missed layups in the first half.
 
#186      

danielb927

Orange Krush Class of 2013
Rochester, MN
Btw, what do most computer rankings do with overtime wins? Is a win by ten in overtime every considered better than a win by one in regulation?

In your example, yes, a 10-point OT win would almost certainly be considered quite a bit better than a one point regulation win.

Most of the systems out there* are based on three numbers per game:
- Points scored
- Points allowed
- Total # of possessions

Nothing special is done for OT, but an OT game will (usually) have more possessions, so it does still factor in.

For example, in our game against Texas there were 80 total possessions: 70 in regulation and 10 more in OT. We scored 85 and allowed 78 points on 80 possessions, which amounts to 1.06 pts/poss. scored and 0.97 pts/poss. allowed. If you adjust to the # of possessions in regulation, you get a final score of 74-68. So in other words, our 7-point OT win was roughly equivalent to a 6-point regulation win.

*as far as I know
 
#187      

Bigtex

DFW
That, and tOSU pressing down 14 with a minute to go. If B1G teams are going to play that; Underwood should run up the score until they concede.
Doesn't really apply yesterday but not a fan of 2nd team (with limited quality minutes) not running offense and essentially running down shot clock or not even taking a shot. Let them show us fans some of their skills!!!
 
#188      
Doesn't really apply yesterday but not a fan of 2nd team (with limited quality minutes) not running offense and essentially running down shot clock or not even taking a shot. Let them show us fans some of their skills!!!
I agree that teams should just keep playing. Empty your benches and let them play. It shoud be good for both teams and their players. You can still run clock without just standing around with 5 regulars on the court.
 
#190      
We rank 251st in 3 point percentage, but rank 26th in 3-pointers attempted.
Snl Season 47 GIF by Saturday Night Live
 
#191      
Whenever I see a game end like that it irritates me a little. When a team is playing out the clock in a game that both sides know is long over, and takes a shot clock violation turnover with seconds to go, then the losing team takes a shot, I don't like it. How do most people feel? How do the players and coaches feel about it?
Doesn't really bother me in the situation like last night. However when the opposite happens e.g., when the losing team intentionally takes a shot clock violation and the winning team still attempts to score... THAT'S bush league.
 
#192      
Glad we got the W. The defense, passing and rebounding was good. I am concerned by our poor 3 point shooting. 5 - 28 for 17 percent. Most were quality looks and many misses were way off target, specifically RJ's. A number of threes were not air balls but didn't have a chance. I was fine with the quality of most of the threes taken. They need to hit those open looks. This must improve. If they had shot a decent percentage the margin would have been well over 20. Great to win shooting only 17 percent on 28 threes but that won't usually happen. They have to do better and hopefully they will.
 
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#193      
It was a textbook bush league play. I doubt underwood or the team really cares (frankly they shouldn’t and nor should we), but IMO it was very unsportsmanlike.
It was a basketball play which is textbook non-bush. I doubt that OSU cares but IMO it is unsportsmanlike to not take a shot at the end as everyone understands going in that the game lasts 40 minutes, so i will agree to disagree with you on this.
 
#194      

Some Illini chatter right at the beginning.

Tyler Hansbrough sounds like he made it through college with basketball privilege, let's say. Guy is brutal to listen to. Includes a take that Coleman isn't 6'10". That's new to me, I don't get it. Looks that tall to me.
Psh, I bet Hansbrough hasn't even SEEN the photo of Hawkins standing next to Omar Payne.
 
#195      
Glad we got the W. The defense, passing and rebounding was good. I am concerned by our poor 3 point shooting. 5 - 28 for 17 percent. Most were quality looks and many misses were way off target, specifically RJ's. A number of threes were not air balls but didn't have a chance. I was fine with the quality of most of the threes taken. If we need to hit those open looks. This must improve. If we had shot a decent percentage the margin would have been well over 20. Great to win shooting only 17 percent on 28 threes but that won't usually happen. They have to do better and hopefully they will.

I'd have to rewatch the film, but I don't recall us having all that many quality opportunities from three that we missed. The open high quality threes in rhythm we did get, I think we did an ok job shooting. But the low quality guarded/out of rhythm threes we were something like 1 or 2 out of 20+ attempts. The good news was often those threes were so terribly off the mark it led to easy offensive rebounding opportunities and 2nd chance points.

Generally speaking, I do think the players need to have a realization that if the three point attempt you are taking you will make at the very least 37% of the time (this includes not only where on the floor you're shooting from, but also whether you're set/in-rhythm/off-dribble, the defense, and the pass to you) then it's analytically a good attempt, otherwise it's much better to pass the opportunity up in the hopes for something better as 37% from three is pretty much an "average" possession" for a top 50 team. Of the 28 threes we took yesterday, I have a hard time believing even 10 of them would have an expected conversion percentage of over 37%, let alone most, or all of them.

I think one other thing our players need to realize is that if we pass up the "dagger three", "momentum three", or "heat check three" we have a tendency to jack up, and instead just use that energy and momentum to run our offense, there is a high probability that the team, and possibly even that same player will get a much higher quality opportunity for that dagger three that will blow the roof off the building just a little later in the shot clock. Shooting bad threes lets your opponent off the ropes. Instead let your opponent flail around wildly chasing shadows not knowing where the next punch is coming from, while you clinically open them up and deliver the surgical strike knockout. Plus there are very few things more mentally demoralizing than running all over the court defensively chasing the play only to have your opponent's best shooter get that wide open three with less than 5 seconds on the shot as you're sucking air knowing there's nothing you can do to stop it.
 
#200      
Another thing, can anyone explain how Ohio State has a higher NET ranking than us, they have a worse record, worse Quad 1 record, worse Quad 2 record and we just beat the snot out of them. Lastly, we have two better wins than they have. Just asking.
The NET rewards running up the score (there may be a cap). BU tends to slow things down at the end or he gives the bench players court time. His methods are good for team cohesion. They will likely impact our seeding by a line or two a bit over the years. For example, if we had maintained the 15pt lead, instead of eating the clock and taking a 9pt win, we would be 2 positions higher on KP today.

On the other end, the NET doesn't give much credit for beating up cupcakes. We had 6 games against absolutely terrible teams.