Illinois Hoops Recruiting Thread (August 2018)

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#926      
18 months is not too early to evaluate a coach's job performance. Right now his performance is:
1) One of the worst seasons in Illinois basketball history (no first year bump for a good X's & O's coach replacing a bad one)
2) A good 2018 recruiting class - getting Ayo was key
3) Losing a lot of good players to transfer or early departure (style fit perhaps, but not a good sign losing that many)
4) Whiffing on priority 2019 recruits thus far

This is poor performance so far - there just isn't another way to spin it. It was a questionable hire - like many argued at the time - to throw that much money at a coach that has no real tournament success and wasn't that highly sought after. It would be one thing if he was taking a shot at a young coach on the rise, knowing he might take some growing pains to develop, but bring excitement back to the program. That is not the case with BU, he's not going to become a beacon attracting talent to come here all of a sudden. Can anyone think of another example of a coach in his mid 50's with one year of high major HC experience all of a sudden becoming a prominent coach leading his teams to conference titles and runs in the tourny on a consistent basis? The profile rarely/never turns into a consistent successful winner that we're hoping for. I know that is not what anyone wants to hear, because as others have pointed out, we're pot committed to him for several more years, but this will likely not end well.
I am tired of people being so negative about Illini sports. I have been a fan for 56 years and seen the good and bad but I still haven't gave up on them. Give the coaches a chance and quit crying about what was was and not what it can be.
 
#927      
If the six players that left were still here and Ayo was added to the team does anyone think the team would be significantly better this season?
Plus what would next year look like? I would much rather have the people coming in versus the ones that left.
 
#928      
There's a lot of real estate between a rubber stamp and firing the head coach.

Definitely. And I'll concede all of it, as well as the fact that posters are here to talk about the program, voice their opinions, etc.. But the thing that really matters won't be seriously discussed for at least several more seasons.
 
#929      
3) Losing a lot of good players to transfer or early departure (style fit perhaps, but not a good sign losing that many)
This one is debatable. We lost Black early (went pro). It's not like he was a grad transfer out as I've got to believe there would have been a lot of interest in him. Hard to fault Underwood here.
The only other player that landed at a P5 program was Mark Smith and the jury remains out on whether or not he'll become a good player.
Finke certainly qualifies as a good player, although even as a fifth year player I'm not certain he would have started anywhere else in the B10.
 
#930      
If the six players that left were still here and Ayo was added to the team does anyone think the team would be significantly better this season?
Plus what would next year look like? I would much rather have the people coming in versus the ones that left.

I'm in the camp that we needed turnover. Nothing against the players --in fact, I thought we had a good set of guys. But for whatever reason, there just wasn't much buy-in or ability to run Underwood's system. There are many coaching stories out there where it took a couple seasons for the culture to stick. I think we're going through that now, and hope we look back and see it was worth sticking it out. I'm going to keep the bar pretty low this season. I think we have a couple guys that can compete, but we'll struggle with being too reliant on freshman.
 
#931      
Henson, you missed the NCAA the first five years and six of the first seven as head coach of the Illini. ;)

Of course only 32 teams made the tournament in Henson's early years and the B10 was allowed no more than two teams. Lou finished above .500 in each of the years that you mentioned, but one, and would likely have made the tournament in those years if the current format had been in use.
 
#933      
If the six players that left were still here and Ayo was added to the team does anyone think the team would be significantly better this season?
Plus what would next year look like? I would much rather have the people coming in versus the ones that left.

Huh... I must have missed the memo where all the recruits who left were package-deal leaving the Illini. :confused:

I definitely feel we would be significantly better if our roster this coming year was:

1) Trent
2) Kipper
3) Tevian
4) Andres
5) Ayo
6) DaMonte
7) Higgs
8) AJ
9) Kane
10) Black
11) Finke
12) Ebo

Hey, I'll even leave an empty scholarship for good measure... you can add one more. :)
 
#934      

mhuml32

Cincinnati, OH
These two run in direct conflict with each other.

I'm not speaking to the overall message from the previous poster, but the last time Illinois basketball went 14-18, the roster included Sergio, Bradford, Lucas Johnson, Krupalija, and Robert Archibald. It's possible to have a bad overall team and good overall players/potential.
 
#936      
As a true freshman, Lucas averaged 18 minutes a game for a team that finished 9th in conference. You don't think, as a junior, he could be a backup point guard for a decent team?

In the second half of his freshman year, Ebo averaged 14 minutes a game, led the team in offensive rebound percent and was third in defensive rebounding (behind Black and Kipper). You don't think, by his junior year, he could be a backup center for a decent team?

How about Finke? Here's some stats for you: last year Finke had the second highest offensive rating on our team (behind Jordan); Finke turned the ball over less than anyone on our team (81st in the nation lowest turnover rate); Finke shot 62% from the field (best on the team and 116th in the country). He's 6'10 and a career 36% three point shooter. You don't think there's a way that he could play 15 minutes a game for a top 6 team?

Mark Smith will have the chance to prove you wrong or right at Missouri over the next couple years, I expect he will be a contributor for them, if not this year then next.

I think people are doing those kids a disservice by claiming they just aren't good enough to contribute. Not to mention the fact that they wouldn't really be judged by if they could play for a top 6 team, they'd be judged by if they could play for us. Still too early to be making predictions for next season yet, but I'd guess that if we had the first three players I mentioned, I'd be increasing our win total by at least 3.
I don't want to get caught up in a discussion about the kids themselves. I won't claim to know anything about team chemistry and don't have anything bad to say about their effort level or anything like that, and I generally think that it's a bad practice when fans go there.

What I am concerned with is whether or not Illinois has players who can contribute meaningfully to a team that will make the NCAA tournament. That is my one and only yardstick (until , and it's my expectation that we should be looking to that as our primary measure of whether or not this team is performing as it should. That's why I'm writing off some players who, yes, could play for a ninth-place B1G squad. Even if they could contribute to a team more than an incoming freshman, I don't consider it worth the opportunity cost of bringing in someone potentially better to keep someone around who can't get us to that level.

So, yes, Lucas could have slotted in for Andrew Dakich at OSU last season and probably given them a similar performance. Dakich only played 8 mpg or so, and was clearly a weak link there. Lucas turned the ball over way too much, can't shoot, and his foul rate betrayed a weakness on the ball defensively. Maybe he would have progressed, but he had a long way to go.

Finke did some useful things, but among them were neither rebounding nor defending the post, and he was frankly bad at both. And as to his turnover rate, he didn't create any plays beyond the shots he took, so the low figure there would be expected. I honestly think his warts would keep him from the rotation for most competitive teams.

I could be wrong about Mark Smith and he's got a long way to go, but his performance against better competition was not good. I'm not sure I see it with him, to be honest. He might be a contributor two years from now, but that's two years from now.

Ebo was the toughest pill for me to swallow and I think he can be pretty productive, if one-dimensional. I also think that he had valid personal reasons for leaving that didn't relate to the program or the coaching staff, though we'll never know that for sure. I do think that his loss hurt, though.

I'd like to aim higher than what those guys bring to the table, even if it means a short-term setback or two. If you think that these were vital pieces to a winning team, we're probably not gonna agree on how much losing them hurt. I'm more concerned about who's coming in, to be honest with you.
 
#941      

KrushCow31

Former Krush Cow
Chicago, IL
The lack of a new line for the Illini official made me think he only had 4 and we got screwed. What a rush.
 
#943      
I'm not speaking to the overall message from the previous poster, but the last time Illinois basketball went 14-18, the roster included Sergio, Bradford, Lucas Johnson, Krupalija, and Robert Archibald. It's possible to have a bad overall team and good overall players/potential.

Which required a major infusion of 3 McD AAs (Frankie, Cook, Marcus) to start the ascend, a surprisingly large infusion of top talent even for the best recruiting standards at the time.
 
#945      
You're arguing some narrow semantics. If you mean "Evaluate" as a rubber stamp, sure, but if you mean "Evaluate" as an actual, meaningful exercise of actually considering options and change, no.

Whitman has zero thought of doing anything other than providing his full support to Underwood, period. And the reason that he's going to do that is that he already made that commitment to the tune of an 8 figure buyout (i.e. about $12 million currently). He'd be undermining himself if he started undermining Underwood, and that won't change anytime soon. Just ain't gonna happen.
Perhaps we're using the word evaluate differently, but I fully expect Whitman to evaluate BU every year. I expect a conversation about results, about the process by which those results were achieved, the staff that helped or did not help to achieve them, prognostications and goals for the coming year, etc. If my $3 million per year employee isn't up to that, I expect him to resign (he won't, but I expect it).

However, I don't expect to hear about any part of the above conversation. I, as a member of the public, expect Josh to give the coach and staff his support and enthusiasm, no matter what the private conversation was like.
 
#947      

mhuml32

Cincinnati, OH
Which required a major infusion of 3 McD AAs (Frankie, Cook, Marcus) to start the ascend, a surprisingly large infusion of top talent even for the best recruiting standards at the time.

Completely agree, but wasn't the original argument. You can have a handful of good players on a bad team. Each of those guys became vital rotation players on a very successful team, even though they originally resided on a 14-18 team.
 
#948      
Completely agree, but wasn't the original argument. You can have a handful of good players on a bad team. Each of those guys became vital rotation players on a very successful team, even though they originally resided on a 14-18 team.

I agree, but IMO quite many teams could be able to claim the same if they could add such a large number of top talent to their roster.
 
#949      
Huh... I must have missed the memo where all the recruits who left were package-deal leaving the Illini. :confused:

I definitely feel we would be significantly better if our roster this coming year was:

1) Trent
2) Kipper
3) Tevian
4) Andres
5) Ayo
6) DaMonte
7) Higgs
8) AJ
9) Kane
10) Black
11) Finke
12) Ebo

Hey, I'll even leave an empty scholarship for good measure... you can add one more. :)
If all of those had stayed do you think we get Kane?
 
#950      

Joel Goodson

respect my decision™
I like that we get the last visit! Hopefully he makes it.

+infinity

If he doesn't commit to OSU or Miznoz, think we have a fighting chance. Definitely feel we have a much better chance than I felt a few months ago (which was almost nil). disclaimer: no solid info, just gut instinct.
 
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