I've thought the same thing, IHO. I feel more than a little weird being this fixated on it. I tell myself, "self, just ignore that thread and see who shows up on campus next year. Brad will probably field a nice team and coach 'em up real good." but then, a la Michael Corleone - just when I thought I was out - they pull me back in...I wonder how clued in the other players and teammates are in general regarding these commitments. It's funny thinking about all this mental energy spent trying to decipher the tea leaves, when maybe these kids discuss it freely amongst their peers, and its an open secret.
I realize everyone on this board is here primarily for entertainment, and our insiders have their proximity to the team, and that's fine. The more I think about it though the more bizarre the profession of following these kids seems to me.
"Oh hey, nice to meet you, what do you do?" "I follow HS kids and try to guess which school they'll attend 1-4 weeks before they announce it themselves, and then write articles about that"