John Groce at Illinois

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#1,152      

illinitrav

NW Suburbs
As someone who follows NIU Hoops closely, take Montgomery off the list. They are having a great season and I'm loving it, but he is not qualified to coach at Illinois.
 
#1,153      
So, Groce gets the team dancing as a #10 seed and we lose our first game. You fire him for that?

Or if he is a top 4 seed? and loses? Can 'em? Don't think so. There are always more factors than making a blanket statement like "If you lose x amount of games, you're gone." Or "If you don't win a tourney game, you're fired!"
 
#1,154      
So, Groce gets the team dancing as a #10 seed and we lose our first game. You fire him for that?
I guess I am trying to decide what it really means if we make the tournament next year but we don't get a win? Would that make me feel like JG is suddenly a good X and O coach? Not really. I think that can be determined by watching 4 years of play. Would making the tournament make me think that JG is a great recruiter? Not really. I think that can be judged at this point as well. He could really help the cause with a good 17 class.

Overall, I feel we should pursue other options barring some amazing run or recruiting coup... With that being said, I agree with those that say he will get another year. My guess is that we will squeeze into the tournament next year. Maybe we will win a game and maybe we won't. Then we will be discussing this again around 2018 or 2019. As we debate it all over again, some will want to stick with Groce. By that time, our program will be completely undesirable and "who can we get that would be any better?"
 
#1,155      
As someone who follows NIU Hoops closely, take Montgomery off the list. They are having a great season and I'm loving it, but he is not qualified to coach at Illinois.

+100

The average MAC coach experiment hasn't worked no need to try it again.

I still have nightmares of watching that Eastern Michigan game where Northern scored 4 points in the first half.
 
#1,156      
Didn't Tubby take MN to the tourney and win a game (as a lower seed maybe?) the year he got fired? The grass isn't always greener.
 
#1,157      
Or if he is a top 4 seed? and loses? Can 'em? Don't think so. There are always more factors than making a blanket statement like "If you lose x amount of games, you're gone." Or "If you don't win a tourney game, you're fired!"
That's an interesting twist.

Under this scenario, though, I still don't think that's going to be grounds to cut ties unless Groce does something to impugn his own character. If we're a #4 seed or better, then that means that he's done something right, and that's going to boost his popularity. Why fire a popular coach who's produced a good team? It's not fair to can a coach who's organized a successful regular season and loses in March. Otherwise, Bill Self would be jobless... multiple times over.
 
#1,158      
Dave Rice or his top recruiter wouldn't be horrible additions to the staff. I still stand behind Groce being the man to take us back to the promise land. Patience :illinois:

Try not to tell anyone, but I still think we can make the NCAA tournament. A win tonight allows for a descent into the upper atmosphere of the NIT bubble.
 
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#1,159      
Lol.

Yeah, he can rebound, has a decent jumpshot, and has shown flashes of great play (last year vs. Purdue, rumors of the Euro trip).

I'm sure he'll put it all together and reign in the fouls eventually.

It wasn't rumors. Pull up the stat sheets if you can. He averaged a double-double on the whole trip.
 
#1,160      
Dave Rice or his top recruiter wouldn't be horrible additions to the staff. I still stand behind Groce being the man to take us back to the promise land. Patience :illinois:

Try not to tell anyone, but I still think we can make the NCAA tournament. A win tonight allows for a descent into the upper atmosphere of the NIT bubble.

Wasn't K-State on the bubble last year despite having a record of like 15-15 because they had a ridiculous SOS?
 
#1,161      
It wasn't rumors. Pull up the stat sheets if you can. He averaged a double-double on the whole trip.

I'd take these stats with a grain of salt, especially given the lack of live coverage, but more importantly, the level of competition. The days when college teams competed with good club teams in Europe and elsewhere abroad are long gone. International basketball has improved tremendously, and most good club teams will simply beat average college teams with ease.

With the exception of the NT of Netherlands, when we easily lost in their preparation scrimmage (Netherlands is low level basketball in Europe), the rest were local town teams with not much talent.

I think Leron has talent and potential, but he has to first prove he can be a consistent college player in real competition.
 
#1,162      
Try not to tell anyone, but I still think we can make the NCAA tournament. A win tonight allows for a descent into the upper atmosphere of the NIT bubble.

I'll try not to tell anyone... because it would take an absolute miracle to even make it to the NIT, let alone be anywhere around the bubble. Michigan, with significant injuries last year, still went 8-10 in B1G, absolutely killed us in the B1G tournament and still did not make it to the NIT.
 
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#1,163      

FanUND

The Bend: South Bend, Indiana
All of you will be tired of my constant mentions of Notre Dame, but their having played the Illini in hoops helps the Illinois strength of schedule.

You may wonder why I'm also an Illini fan, especially football. It goes back to growing up with the Chicago TV stations, which also piqued my interest in Northwestern football (remember "The Dennis Green Show?"). I used to follow the Mike White & John Mackovic teams very closely.

My HS alma mater's fight song (SB Adams) is played to the tune of the Illini song. My dad's old HS, the former SB Central, had colors Orange & Blue. And of course I live in Bears territory, so the orange & blue are prevalent here.

There's no question that the B1G is at the very top of bb conferences -- the Illini will have to hope for few if any true "surprise" mid-major tournament champions, obviously, which in the past have derailed NCAA tourney hopefuls many times.
 
#1,165      
Sure, our resume is still OK, we just need a lot more wins. Like almost all of the remaining games. And then a couple in the BTT.
I think if we win all of our remaining regular season games, we will make the NCAA tourney, regardless of BT tournament wins.....won't be wagering on it, though.
 
#1,166      

UofIChE06

Pittsburgh
For those of you who would like to see Groce replaced at the end of the year, what kind of coaching candidate would you be interested in us hiring?

Below is a list of current head coaches (that MIGHT take the UIUC job if offered). Please feel free to correct anything here as I put this together somewhat quickly:

1. Gregg Marshall: Wichita State: 52
Pros: Obvious
Cons: Buyout, likelihood of coming

2. Archie Miller: Dayton: 37
Pros: Obvious
Cons: Likelihood of coming

3. Ben Jacobson: Northern Iowa: 45
Pros: Best winning percentage at N. Iowa in modern history; good performance in good conf.
Cons: Likelihood of coming; low-diversity of playing/coaching experience (all in Iowa and North Dakota)

4. Bryce Drew: Valpo: 41
Pros: continued winning tradition at Valpo; good family coaching history; Roger as assistant; former professional player
Cons: Only college experience is at Valpo

5. Jerod Haase: UAB: 41
Pros: Bringing UAB back to top of CUSA; strong college pedigree at Kansas and N. Carolina
Cons: CUSA is weaker than in the past and UAB has always been fairly good; some fans may not like his background at Kansas and N. Carolina

6. Keith Dambrot: Akron: 57
Pros: Has 20+ wins at Akron each of the last 10 years; been to NCAA tourney 3 times; LeBron swag
Cons: Age (old); college pedigree

7. Mike Lonergan: George Washington: 50
Pros: Been successful at all stops; brought GW back to prominence
Cons: Only coached on the east coast; some may think GW’s recovery has been too slow

8. Dan Majerle: Grand Canyon: 50
Pros: 3x NBA all-star; NBA assistant coach; Has Grand Canyon at 17-2 this year with a win over San Diego State
Cons: Grand Canyon’s competition is pretty abysmal; might jump for pro job if he has success at a high major

9. Russell Turner: UC-Irvine: 45
Pros: UCI has improved in every year since he’s been there; took them to their first NCAA tournament last year; diverse assis. coaching background including 6 years with the warriors
Cons: Relative unknown; coaches in fairly weak conf. the warriors only made the playoffs once while he was an assistant

10. Will Wade: VCU: 33
Pros: Took over struggling Chattanooga program and improved them for 2 years; has started off relatively well at VCU; assistant at VCU under Shaka during final four run
Cons: Age (young); lost all big non-conf games this year

11. Matthew Driscoll: North Florida: 51
Pros: Slowly built North Florida into a solid program; strong assistant coaching background
Cons: Took 6 years to make North Florida relevant in a bad conf.

12. Mark Montgomery: Northern Illinois: 45
Pros: Has NIU competing for the first time in forever (or ever) in the MAC; NIU improved each year under his direction; longtime Izzo assistant
Cons: Probably still a few years away as record at NIU was bad the last 4 seasons

13. Chris Beard: Ark. Little-Rock: 43
Pros: Has A-LR at 17-2 with some decent non-conf. wins; Successful Head coaching experience at many levels
Cons: Has an odd coaching background; 1st year as div. 1 head coach; almost exclusively coached in Texas

Others: Leon Rice (Boise State); Steve Pikiell (Stoney Brook); King Rice (Monmouth); Dana Ford (Tennessee State).

Generally don't really like looking at possible replacement especially during the season but that's basically what this thread is. So with that what do folks think of Bobby Lutz. Had some success at UAB and has been able to recruit like bonkers at NCSt. You would think he would want to get back to a HC position at some point. I would be worried about progression as it seems like most of those high level recruits haven't done a ton at NCSt but I have no doubt he and his staff (basically all the NCSt assistants have more ties to him than Gottfried) could pull talent.

Don't think they get either of the top 2. Drew might not be bad and Powell could definitely tell him about Dee Brown and get him on staff.
 
#1,167      

whovous

Washington, DC
It wasn't rumors. Pull up the stat sheets if you can. He averaged a double-double on the whole trip.

And he averaged that double-double whilst playing 20 minutes per game. If and when he is ever fit (and in my gut I am worried about that happening), he will be a very good player and he won't have the rough play problems from his first year at CU.
 
#1,168      
I think if we win all of our remaining regular season games, we will make the NCAA tourney, regardless of BT tournament wins.....won't be wagering on it, though.

I think this discussion is turning from what is reasonably possible to whether Illinois has already been mathematically eliminated. :)
 
#1,169      

zpfled

Logan Square, Chicago
I think if we win all of our remaining regular season games, we will make the NCAA tourney, regardless of BT tournament wins.....won't be wagering on it, though.

I think if we lose out the regular season, and then win every game starting with the BTT, we'll all be really happy.
 
#1,171      
Our record next year is almost irrelevant. What matters is who is signed this fall from the 17 class. If we strike out completely I think you fire Groce even if we go to the Sweet Sixteen. Conversely, if we land a monster class we can miss the tournament again and I'd want to keep him.
if "the hot seat" is reality (who knows what the AD thoughts will be), JG is at a disadvantage in 2017 recruiting. The AD signals will be key IMO.
 
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#1,172      
Our record next year is almost irrelevant. What matters is who is signed this fall from the 17 class. If we strike out completely I think you fire Groce even if we go to the Sweet Sixteen. Conversely, if we land a monster class we can miss the tournament again and I'd want to keep him.

While I agree that landing a monster class may keep Groce even if he misses the tournament, he will also most definitely survive with a S16. But barely making the tournament and losing a game may not be enough, will depend on other factors.
 
#1,173      
So, Groce gets the team dancing as a #10 seed and we lose our first game. You fire him for that?

In my opinion, Groce has not earned the opportunity to have a successful regular season only to lose in the first round AND keep his job. So, yes.

Believe me, I am rooting for him. Next season, we will have the experience, depth and talent to not only make the tourney, but win some games IF we have a quality coach to get us there. We shall see.
 
#1,174      
1. He didn't. He brought them back when they were cleared to play.
2. He didn't. Two different scholarships, plus there is no real evidence Colbert was shown the door.
3. Cosby looked decent in his freshman year. I'd be interested in learning how anyone could have predicted the dropoff in his play, although I suppose his attitude problem might have been found with the proper due diligence. Starks was expected to play the year before on a hardship waiver. For that year, he was simply a last minute pickup to fill a scholarship that would have otherwise sat empty. That would have been a decent result for that year. He would have competed with JT for playing time to backup Tracy (prior to TA's first injury).

I'd give Groce another year almost regardless of what happens the rest of this year. Then again, it took the Nebraska game before I finally turned on Weber. I'm just not a big fan of firing coaches.

Big men with leg/ankle/foot injuries take more time to not only heal, but be productive. I realize they were medically cleared to play basketball. That means they are cleared to practice. As the head coach, Groce should have considered long term health. One more week for each player to practice and rehab might have kept them from re-injuring themselves.

I think Groce panicked and rushed them back onto the court b/c the team needs the size.
 
#1,175      
Big men with leg/ankle/foot injuries take more time to not only heal, but be productive. I realize they were medically cleared to play basketball. That means they are cleared to practice. As the head coach, Groce should have considered long term health. One more week for each player to practice and rehab might have kept them from re-injuring themselves.

I think Groce panicked and rushed them back onto the court b/c the team needs the size.

I don't think Groce rushed them back, I think the players were cleared by the doctors and they insisted they could play. Groce probably saw they weren't 100% but since the doc and players said they could play wasn't really in a position to be picky.

Once he saw it wasn't just rust/conditioning he shut down Leron and is being more cautions with Thorne.
 
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