NBA Draft 2027

HoopsterMan said:

The standouts, sure. This day and age, SamV is spitballing for content sake - the man is in Australia.

As mentioned last years draft had a high predictability index with multiple slam dunks. Wasserman only had 10 players right in his preseason

This years draft, outside of the top 4 kids (and Stokes is the only truly sure bet), is highly variable. There are 50-60 players that can shuffle into the other 26 spots.

A kid like Braylon Mullins could go 5th or could go 30t. All these kids have to play their way into the draft with a good year. No one is taking them on their HS eval.

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If the argument is that a mock draft this far away from the draft is going to have very little predictive value, I agree.

I was more responding to the idea that incoming freshmen particularly should not be considered. Everyone's stock value is variable at this point. Based on what we know about Mirk, he could end up a lottery pick. He could also end up being a 5-year player who never gets drafted. That's still a pretty wide range of possibilities for a guy who does have a full year of college ball to analyze.

the juiceman cometh said:

If the argument is that a mock draft this far away from the draft is going to have very little predictive value, I agree.

I was more responding to the idea that incoming freshmen particularly should not be considered. Everyone's stock value is variable at this point. Based on what we know about Mirk, he could end up a lottery pick. He could also end up being a 5-year player who never gets drafted. That's still a pretty wide range of possibilities for a guy who does have a full year of college ball to analyze.

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Indeed - outside exceptional standout talent (ADJ, DP, Boozer, Flagg, Harper,) that have obvious traits, players have to play their way in. Last years freshman class was loaded with about 10 blue chip kids that everyone knew was going first round (Acuff, Ament, Wilson, Brown, Cenac, Peat). This year there is Stokes, Smith and Holt.

A Coleman, Vaaks and Mirk all have a chance of playing deep into this draft with a good year. I think most of the top teams have multiple players that can. Duke is obvious. UConn has Hines, Mullins, Landrew. Arizona has Holt, Krivas, the Russian.

Here's one from SBNation from November of last year, it actually does OK, seems to have 2/3 of the first rounders in there.