NBA Thread 2026-2027
If it were VJ instead of George, then I think it would’ve made a lot more sense.
But now it’s a hideous trade.
Did they HAVE to get rid of Brown? If the offers are that underwhelming, then you don’t need to move him.
But now it’s a hideous trade.
Did they HAVE to get rid of Brown? If the offers are that underwhelming, then you don’t need to move him.
Lakers had to give up more for Kessler, just a few hours beforehand.
Kind of sad how very good, contending teams get ruined due to bad management. He literally won a championship there two years ago, and was just an MVP candidate.
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Here's the pick compensation explanation for Brown to Philly:
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The more I read about the whole Jaylen Brown thing, it's obvious to me that this is all a really interesting litmus test for the application of advanced metrics.
According to Boston and detractors, the metrics do not like Jaylen Brown.
He is an inefficient, volume scorer who takes bad shots, turns the ball over, and doesn't do enough of thr other helpful things like rebound and generate turnovers. Analytics say that the rest of the deep Boston roster, not Brown, gets the credit for keeping things going with Tatum out. Some have pointed out that Boston's record over the last 4 years in games that Brown has not played is an absurd 47-10 (which paces out to 68 wins over an 82 game season). People have also pointed out on/off splits showing the Celtics doing better when Brown is on the bench. They outscored opponents by 5.7 points per 100 possessions with him on the court, and by 9.4 points per 100 with him on the bench. Of course there are other ways to interpret this data, and I'm not convinced the analytics are as bad for Brown as the Celtics seem to now be suggesting. He was #11 in PER, #21 in Box Plus/Minus, #21 in VORP, #32 in Win Shares. So a lot of metrics do like him (though do suggest he was a bit overrated). But it'll be interesting to see if the theories about his impact on the Celtics' success hold.
Obviously, Brown has had a ton of success in Boston so it's kinda shocking the Celtics are willing to take a massive bet on the analytics being right. Why fix what's not broke? Most NBA front offices would look at the analytics, maybe agree with the analytics, but then still not make this move because if it backfires you look terrible.
I absolutely would not take this risk if I was the Celtics, but honestly hats off to Stevens for going for it. It's going to be a really interesting test that tells us a lot about whether analytics is using the right models and inputs to determine player value.
According to Boston and detractors, the metrics do not like Jaylen Brown.
He is an inefficient, volume scorer who takes bad shots, turns the ball over, and doesn't do enough of thr other helpful things like rebound and generate turnovers. Analytics say that the rest of the deep Boston roster, not Brown, gets the credit for keeping things going with Tatum out. Some have pointed out that Boston's record over the last 4 years in games that Brown has not played is an absurd 47-10 (which paces out to 68 wins over an 82 game season). People have also pointed out on/off splits showing the Celtics doing better when Brown is on the bench. They outscored opponents by 5.7 points per 100 possessions with him on the court, and by 9.4 points per 100 with him on the bench. Of course there are other ways to interpret this data, and I'm not convinced the analytics are as bad for Brown as the Celtics seem to now be suggesting. He was #11 in PER, #21 in Box Plus/Minus, #21 in VORP, #32 in Win Shares. So a lot of metrics do like him (though do suggest he was a bit overrated). But it'll be interesting to see if the theories about his impact on the Celtics' success hold.
Obviously, Brown has had a ton of success in Boston so it's kinda shocking the Celtics are willing to take a massive bet on the analytics being right. Why fix what's not broke? Most NBA front offices would look at the analytics, maybe agree with the analytics, but then still not make this move because if it backfires you look terrible.
I absolutely would not take this risk if I was the Celtics, but honestly hats off to Stevens for going for it. It's going to be a really interesting test that tells us a lot about whether analytics is using the right models and inputs to determine player value.