The teams that will avoid early exits are imo ones that have good defense, especially on the 3 point line where the smaller or lower seeded teams can hurt you. Illinois and Indiana should advance to the round of 32 based upon this metric. Rutgers has a bit tougher path for that, only because their offensive numbers aren't stellar. But they should beat Notre Dame and Alabama imo. On this site I make no predictions beyond the play-ins and 1st round for now.
For B1G play only, Illinois is the only team in the top 5 in both offense and defense. "Points for" minus "points against" is 8.2, which is the 3rd best in the B1G behind Iowa (12.5) and PU (11.1). That bodes well for the Illini.