NFL Draft

illinidarrin said:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1745871967754895579

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I think this is just a graphic because he can't have any remaining eligibility (right??).

2019: 8 games (no redshirt)
2020: Free year
2021: 12 games
2022: 12 games
2023: 9 games

BashCtIllini said:

I'd trade Fields and the #9 pick for hopefully the #2-#4 and a 1st next year, then see if you can get Williams #1 overall and Marvin Harrison Jr with that 2nd pick.

Extremely unlikely, but worth some phone calls

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My understanding is that a trade return for Fields is more likely in the neighborhood of a 2nd round pick, possibly paired with a later round pick.

The common wisdom seems to be that QBs who aren't proven stars, or at least proven winners by the start of year 4 are not good gambles, particularly because of how inflated their salaries get. I understand the thinking, but it doesn't seem to account for how roulette-like the draft is for QBs.

I'm just a casual, but in Fields, I see a guy with a decently high floor (certainly not a bust) and who appears to still be improving. The league currently seems to undervalue that profile, and overrate the projectability of draft prospects.

Will one of the 2024 QBs become a star? Maybe. 32 QBs were selected in the 1st round over the last 10 drafts. 17 of them were top 5 picks. How many of the below would you be thrilled to have as your starter next year? I count maybe 6-7. If you see more than 11-ish, I'd be surprised to hear it. Either way, not a good ratio. And more of the best came from outside the top 5 than inside.

(2023: 01) Bryce Young
(2023: 02) CJ Stroud
(2023: 03) Anthony Richardson
(2022: 20) Kenny Pickett
(2021: 01) Trevor Lawrence
(2021: 02) Zach Wilson
(2021: 03) Trey Lance
(2021: 15) Mac Jones
(2020: 01) Joe Burrow
(2020: 05) Tua Tagovailoa
(2020: 06) Justin Herbert
(2020: 26) Jordan Love
(2019: 01) Kyler Murray
(2019: 06) Daniel Jones
(2019: 15) Dwayne Haskins
(2018: 01) Baker Mayfield
(2018: 03) Sam Darnold
(2018: 07) Josh Allen
(2018: 10) Josh Rosen
(2018: 32) Lamar Jackson
(2017: 02) Mitchell Trubisky
(2017: 10) Patrick Mahomes
(2017: 12) Deshaun Watson
(2016: 01) Jared Goff
(2016: 02) Carson Wentz
(2016: 26) Paxton Lynch
(2015: 01) Jameis Winston
(2015: 02) Marcus Mariota
(2014: 03) Blake Bortles
(2014: 22) Johnny Manziel
(2014: 32) Teddy Bridgewater