The metrics clearly favor Indiana in this one, but I think the metrics are a little misleading because Bielema just doesn’t build his teams to blow out teams 66-0. Our game is ball control on offense, and not giving up big plays on defense. That style just isn’t going to produce the disparity in total yards and scoring that Indiana’s style does.
I’ve called out how we’ve given up too many TFLs and sacks so far, and I keep coming back to that deciding the game. If we limit negative plays, I think we will be able to string drives together and grind them down. If we give up negative plays like we did vs Duke I think we lose. Indiana won’t make mistakes like Duke and their offense is too explosive for us to have too many empty drives.
I feel like if we play how we’ve played so far this year, we likely lose by 2 touchdowns. But I feel like this team can play a lot better on both sides of the ball than we have so far. Can we find that for this game? I don’t know.
But a little perspective is in order. We are 3-0, with 3 very convincing wins including a P4 road win against a team that was receiving votes, and I feel like I’ve been underwhelmed so far. This is amazing! If we lose to Indiana, they are likely in the drivers seat for a playoff spot, so no shame in losing to a playoff contender in their house. As long as we stay relatively healthy, I think we are going to have a successful season (8+ wins), even if we fall short of the playoffs.