There's certainly a few ways this game could go, but my biggest worry would be Nebraska jumps ahead early, the crowd starts really getting into it, and their o-line dominates us so badly in run protection that Nebraska never needs to put the ball in Raiola's hands to test the secondary. I do think there's a universe though where we score on our first drive, our defense strings enough consecutive good plays each drive that the game turns into a slog through most of the first half with a 1 possession game at halftime, we force Nebraska to be a bit too impatient in the 2nd half and have a big interception and then Luke seals this one up with a long drive filled with backbreaking 3rd down completions after we take back the lead leaving Nebraska befuddled and bewildered at what just happened.
That said, gut feel is Nebraska's oline and dline are just going to be way too much for us and that their obliterate us in the run game on both sides of the ball allowing them to limit the number of plays our safeties and nickels are able to get involved in, as well as forcing Luke into obvious passing downs where they can pin their ears back and straight pass rush. And this being our first road game of the season in a primetime game doesn't make me feel any better
As such, I've got:
Nebraska: 31
Illinois: 13
That said, this is probably good news for 2 reasons. First, my picks have been a disaster this year (2-1 Straight up, 0-3 ATS) and second, my gut feel is that if we get worked this game, we're going to show up in Happy Valley and push them to their limits. In any case, I've got fairly low expectations for this one, but looking forward to being dead wrong. Let's keep this magical start going and get the upset!