Pregame: Illinois at Texas Tech, Tuesday, November 10th, 7:00pm CT, Peacock

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#151      
If I know Dravyn like I think I know him, he’s going to try and prove a point and it feels like he’s gonna have the 25 points on 18 shot attempts kind of night. He will try and force things
That works perfectly in favor of the Illini
 
#152      
I don't have a good feeling on this game. I love our freshmen, but this will be a tough one for them. A true road game against a top-20 opponent. Seems like one of those games you wish you had more veterans available to play (Mirk & Jake). We'll see. I predict Tech wins this one, 84-73.
Classic Tv Nostalgia GIF by Sony Pictures Television
 
#156      
Peacock / NBC Sports Network (John Fanta & Mike O'Donnell)



"A heavyweight fight is on deck with No. 16 Texas Tech bringing a 48-game non-conference home winning streak into a matchup against No. 3 Illinois"

"Illinois, which advanced to the 2026 Final Four, will be the highest ranked non-conference opponent to ever play against the Red Raiders in Lubbock"

 
#157      
I don't have a good feeling either. If Mirk and Jake were playing, no worries.
Freshmen will have to earn their stripes on the road, in a tough environment.
Here's hoping Dra tries to do too much and actually hurts his team.
I think we win this game by double digits. They only have a real 7 man rotation. They also dont have anyone over 6'8. I think this could actually get really ugly for them unless they make a ridiculous amount of 3's and even then I dont see how they aren't half dead with 10 minutes left in the game with their short bench.
 
#158      
I don't have a good feeling either. If Mirk and Jake were playing, no worries.
Freshmen will have to earn their stripes on the road, in a tough environment.
Here's hoping Dra tries to do too much and actually hurts his team.
I'm excited for a true road test. The freshmen and whole team went away and performed at Cincy. TTU is definitely a tougher test, but i think we show our mettle.

No disrespect to DGL, but he was allowed to transfer for a reason. We are even better than that '24-25 team.
 
#162      
Here's a fun one for you. TTU's average height through two games is 76.6". The last time that Illinois lost to a team this short or shorter was on December 9th, 2023 away against Tennessee.
Why'd you have to go and jinx it by bringing that up?? 😭
 
#163      
I don't have a good feeling on this game. I love our freshmen, but this will be a tough one for them. A true road game against a top-20 opponent. Seems like one of those games you wish you had more veterans available to play (Mirk & Jake). We'll see. I predict Tech wins this one, 84-73.
If you're buying TTU stock, I'm selling it.

I don't like taking super hard stances on here (because I'm superstitious and don't want to jinx us), but if there are any games that I'm fairly confident will be comfortable wins (to all-out beatdowns), it's this one.

With JT Toppin out, they don't have many options to turn to in their front court to supplement his eliteness. They're relying on elite guard play from DGL and Cruz Davis. Both are good but still unproven if they're good-good or mid-major good. Both were previously on P5 teams and both struggled to crack the rotation, and went on to be very good at the mid-major level. I'm not 100% convinced that success will translate back to the high-major level. Together, they scored 17 pts on 5-23 from the field in their exhibition loss to Kentucky. Further, I'm not sure that you could say they're sufficient replacements for the value that (lottery pick) Christian Anderson and Jaylen Petty brought to their front court.

This is a Texas Tech team that, so far, likes to play slow and barely out-rebounded Jackson St and Bethune-Cookman. People have been making the Baylor comparison, but frankly, the comparison ends at rebounding. We're going to demolish them on the boards. They only play a 7-8 man rotation currently and they're going to have a much harder time slowing us down than we will have speeding them up, especially as the game goes on.

Give me Illinois 106-74.
 
#164      
I updated sandbox tools for 2026-27 today, since there is now some data to work with. In a 100 game Monte Carlo simulation, Illinois wins this game 58x.

1794278410431.png


NOTE 1: Average scores are high because of Illinois pace to begin the season. Unsure if we sustain 82 poss/game, but that's where we are at now.

NOTE 2: The simulation does take into account David Mirkovic and Jake Davis DNPs.
 
#165      
If I know Dravyn like I think I know him, he’s going to try and prove a point and it feels like he’s gonna have the 25 points on 18 shot attempts kind of night. He will try and force things
I think Quentin can keep him in check, just needs to stay out of foul trouble.
 
#166      
Believe our defense is going to depend on rim protection I.e. the twins. We have the athleticism to keep pressure on the ball and keep the ball movement uncomfortable. Dre, Q, Lincoln and Ethan will be good and Vaaks will be adequate.
Will be interesting to see how the freshman play defensively.

Big physical difference between guarding the Penns of the world vs Texas Tech.
 
#169      
Here's a fun one for you. TTU's average height through two games is 76.6". The last time that Illinois lost to a team this short or shorter was on December 9th, 2023 away against Tennessee.
One thing that can sometimes beat size is quickness. We seem VERY quick. Is it possible that TT is even quicker?
It sounds like the answer is "no."
 
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#171      
I've been staking all of my ball-knower credibility (what little I have) on Illinois absolutely smoking TTU. I simply think there's no physical way they'll be able to hang with us, even if they go nuclear from 3.

We've been playing a decent amount of small ball (especially with Mirk out), and through two games, our average lineups still outsize theirs by 2.6" per player. Against Jackson St, TTU was +4 on the boards. Jackson St. is ranked 306th in the country in average height. TTU outrebounded Bethune-Cookman by 7.

Through 2 games, we're +37 on the boards (+45 against FDU and +29 against Penn). I don't see a world where we're less than +20 rebounding against TTU, which is 20 fewer opportunities for them to get second-chance points and/or 20 more opportunities for us to get second-chance points.

Give me Illinois winning 106-73.
I like the way you think.
 
#175      
On the basketball shoes sidebar (assuming basketball shoes sidebar is fine given history of cottage cheese discussions):

Anyone remember Reebok Pumps? Those were all the rage in 8th grade. I begged and begged for a pair and one of them stopped working after like 4 days. o_O
pump it up nostalgia GIF
reebok pump GIF


I seem to remember when the “ Reebok Pumps” were the thing, Reebok…ever-so briefly overtook Nike in Shoe Sales.
 
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