skyIdub
Pregame: Illinois vs Missouri, Friday, December 22nd, 8:00pm CT, FS1
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Thanks for the data source, AZ! Made me want to take a peek inside our season so far.I’m kinda diggin’ this Bayesian rating system, and thought it would be interesting to use it to forecast matchups.
Mizzou’s top guys are:
Offense
Carter (6’6” 235), East (6’3” 180), Bates (6’5” 195)
Defense
Vanover (7’5” 230), Nobody (haha!)
If Coleman can pull the Lanky Lumberjack out of the post, or we can get him into foul trouble, they do not seem able to guard much at all.
Team national rankings: Illinois #12, Missouri #79
Highlighted rows are offensive rating, defensive rating, combined rating (rank column is how the players stack up within their respective conferences)…
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EvanMiya CBB Analytics
Advanced college basketball analytics, home of the Bayesian Performance Ratingevanmiya.com
For context, I was curious what the team's threshold might be in terms of starting lineups and win/loss.
And it basically boils down to this. Every team IL has played that has a Collective Starting Lineup Score (CSLS) of less than 26, IL has won.
Collective Starting Lineup Scores (CSLS): Illinois 22.1
Top IL Opponents CSLS:
Marq - 26.85 (L)
Tenn - 26.8 (L)
Kansas - 25.81 (W)
FAU - 24.39 (W)
All other teams IL has played (and beat) this season have a CSLS of less than 26 (and usually far less). The rest of the season (based on current projections) IL will play 1 team with a CSLS higher than 26 in Purdue (33.81?!).
Top Big Ten CSLS
Purdue - 33.81
Ohio St - 22.98
Mich St - 22.21
Wisc - 19.83
Ind - 17.5
Technically, going just by this stat, Illinois has #4 starting lineup in the conference (although its very close with 3 teams with a score of between 22-23). But the reality is, IL has played well when punching above its weight. This has a chance to be a very special season. It's clear Purdue is head and shoulders above the rest, but if IL can split the head-to-head, championship aspirations become very real.
In terms of Braggin Rights: Miznoz has a CSLS of 15.98. Closest comparable game is Rut at 13.15. So playing Miz will be greater than Rutgers, but less than Indiana or any other upper echelon B10 team. This should be a win.
Score prediction: IL - 76 Miz - 67
Are you available to suit up? I'm sure they can find an Orange and Blue uni that'll fit 'ya. Got any eligibility left? If not, can you fake some? Are you an Every Day Guy? Do you have an intense dislike for the Team Across the River? Can you shoot well when it isn't raining? If so...
I’m sure Coach U can find a good use for you.
I went in 1988-9. Old checkerdome, sold out, both bands there, students from both schools there.
The Flying Illini pressed full court and came back from 16 point deficit to win. That was first time we know that team would be special.
Memory Lane: 1988 Braggin' Rights
EACH WEEK, WE'LL TAKE A LOOK BACK AT A MEMORABLE MOMENT IN ILLINI HISTORY, THANKS TO THE WORDS OF LOREN TATE AND THE MEMORIES OF JIM TURPIN.This week: A lookwww.news-gazette.com
Pound the paint and penetrate. If you have to pass, pass deeper into the paint.
Few if any 3 point shots
Thanks for postinig!!!!
GallopingGhost
- Denver, CO
NO MERCY!!!
Fighter of the Nightman
- Chicago, IL
I’ll be watching this one from the hospital with Mrs. Fighter and our new family of three! Really want to welcome our little guy into this world with a Braggin’ Rights win for the Illini. Packed my Illini ugly sweater to wear for the occasion tonight!!
Let’s go!
Let’s go!
Congrats my friend! Hope there's an Illini onesie under the tree!
uofi7477
- Silver & Gold Vandals
Congratulations! Let's win this one for Little Fighter.
Fighter of the Nightman
- Chicago, IL
Thanks, all!
On another note, have they stopped setting sections aside for students at Braggin’ Rights?? I’m watching the 1988 replay on BTN, and it seems like there is a clear student section behind the basket - something I remember on TV watching it growing up. However, I don’t really remember that recently.
On another note, have they stopped setting sections aside for students at Braggin’ Rights?? I’m watching the 1988 replay on BTN, and it seems like there is a clear student section behind the basket - something I remember on TV watching it growing up. However, I don’t really remember that recently.
The Galloping Ghost
- Washington, DC
Govoner Vaugn Fan
- New Orleans
Living in NOLA, I can't get the Illini pre and postgame shows over the air, so I have always used the tune-in app to stream WDWS. For the last couple of days all I get for WDWS is an 'error steam' message. Anyone else use tune-in and having issues with WDWS stream??
SampsonRelpenk
- Edwardsville, IL
Can't speak for Tune In specifically, but I believe WDWS should have a free live stream on their website.
Govoner Vaugn Fan
- New Orleans
Thanks. They do, But I am old and don't like change
I think Tune In has a specific Illinois feed. Try searching sports and Illinois.
pruman91
- Paducah, Ky
Congrats! But... your looking down upon your new little one and softly whispering ‘I - L - L’ and expecting the young soul to respond right away with an ‘I - N - I!’ might be just a bit too ambitious for the day. (Wait until at least NEXT week and THEN try it!...)
35 years ago and I am jumping out of my chair watching this 1988 Braggin' Rights game.
skyIdub
Winged Warrior
35 years ago and I am jumping out of my chair watching this 1988 Braggin' Rights game.
And we can all take a little solace to watching THAT team with turnover issues.
skyIdub
Winged Warrior
Joel Goodson
- ties will be resolved
These days, whether or not you circumcize your infant is a debate of ethics. In my opinion, the bigger controversy is whether or not it is ok to make a human an Illinois fan.
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