Right. That's what I got 21-10.Unless we drop some bad ones our noncon schedule really can't hurt us. If you assume we lose all the toss-ups (Marquette, FAU, Tenn, Miz) and win everything else that's still a 7-4 record. Now obviously if you go 10-10 in B10 play thats a 17-14 record and you likely miss the tourney. I'd assume if this roster goes 10-10 in the conference this year that Brad's seat would be extremely hot.
If you assume we instead take one of the toss-ups and go 13-7 in conference that's a 21-10 record ( I think? ) and would be a top-6 seed.
If you can't wait for Friday, re-watch the Illini game against Northwestern on 2/23/2023 on YouTube. That is a gem of a second half!