In the last decade or so, who would we consider our stud prospects? In my mind, I guess i'd say Top 50. About the cutoff of where Baez is now.
Alex Reyes
JJ Weatherholt
Nolan Gorman
Jordan Walker
Masyn Winn
Matt Liberatore (pushing it a bit)
Dylan Carlson
Shelby Miller
Carlos Martinez
Looking at MLB Pipeline, that got dark, 2018-2021 was pretty much just Libby and Gorman over and over again. I'd actually say our biggest issue was not enough stud prospects - Of that group, i'd say probably a fairly average, or maybe slightly above average hit rate.
Obviously, you are correct. The gallen/alcantara for ozuna trade was an unmitigated disaster. But I think those guys were just scouted/developed correctly by the Marlins - to my albeit quick research, they never reached top 75 status.
There will come a time in this rebuild where we can't just stockpile, we have to pick and choose a bit, but man. It is refreshing to see like 9-12 intriguing arms down on the farm where we don't have to bank on just 1 intriguing arm to hit. Or now like 4 different oufield prospects instead of just praying carlson works out (and carlson is def an example of a guy to your point we hung on to too long.)
Edit: I share your concern on Baez btw. We all love the power, but he's regressed back to more strikeouts this year, less OB, and he's not stealing bases like he used to.