USC, UCLA to join the Big Ten in 2024

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#701      

BZuppke

Plainfield
U of Chicago ALWAYS had a focus on academics. The deemphasis on athletics wasn't a factor in academic focus.

The state of Illinois has done a piss poor job at funding higher education for a loooong time (at least since Big Jim). Some administrations have been worse than others, no doubt, but it's been bad. As Illinois is at the top of the food chain, it's hit hasn't been as bad relative to its brethren. Thankfully, this sorry situation is finally being righted (due to large tax increases). But a LOT of damage has been done.

As to athletic funding, thank God we're in the BIG and that we have a large, engaged fanbase.
Illinois also derives 85% of its revenues for sources other than the State. It’s the smaller schools that have suffered.
 
#703      

mattcoldagelli

The Transfer Portal
What are you guys talking about when you say "oh no, this will be like the NFL now"? Did you have any classes at Halas Hall? Room across from Soldier Field freshman year?

Sure, CFB has its endearing peculiarities (not all of them great/worth going to the mattresses for, I might add) but for me, the thing that makes it (and the rest of college athletics) most substantially different - by a wide margin - is the connection I have to the institution. That's not going to be impacted a whit by the fact that maybe we won't get to do home-and-homes with Fresno State.
 
#704      

ChiefGritty

Chicago, IL
I mean that is a pretty flawed argument. First off it is assuming the Superbowl winner is the best team. The 2007 Patriots would like to talk about that. Second it assumes that one season's success translates to the next season in the NFL. Third the salary cap in the NFL as well as the way scheduling works is set up to create parity.

The only time a team can have more than one loss in the CFP era is if they start the season in the top 5. A team starting near the bottom of the top 25 almost certainly has to go undefeated to have a hope at the CFP.

The only point I was really making there was that what constitutes a championship level record is contingent on the context.

More best vs best scheduling and a bigger playoff are the things that grab the immediate cash, so all roads are going to lead in that direction. Not sure exactly when or in what format, but I don't think there can be much doubt that 2 or 3 loss teams are going to start being regular features of the business end of the title race, and of course as you say correctly, that leeway is going to benefit Alabama and Ohio State, not Mizzou and Illinois.

(The future of playoff expansion is the question I feel like is being under-discussed, and would benefit from some reporting from journalists with good contacts in the B1G and SEC. Do they maybe benefit from staying at 4? I think you could make that argument. I don't think they have the horses to just play champion against champion and shut the rest of the system out yet, but do Warren and Sankey think that?)

What are you guys talking about when you say "oh no, this will be like the NFL now"?

I actually think moving to the NFL model would be beneficial for the P5 schools. Create a salary cap and draft recruits. That would create much more parity and your school of choice would have a pretty good chance if your coach could develop talent.
Argue amongst yourselves fellas. ;)

I would say though Matt, to your point about the centrality of ties to the school and having that in common with the athletes, I 1000% agree and that's where I take a much different view of the explosion of transfer liberalization than most people of the general "the NCAA sucks, pay the players" disposition.

Players routinely having careers at multiple major programs undermines the core ethos of college sports in a way NIL does not. Transfer liberalization was pursued as a release valve to try and sustain labor peace, but that dam was collapsing so fast it has wound up getting lumped in with other player rights issues in an unhelpful way. Financial compensation as an inducement and bargained-for exchange tying a player to a school is a much better framework, but I fear that horse has permanently left the barn.

You can bet your bottom dollar that when this ship starts to sink, every last bit of it will be blamed on the players.
 
#705      

Ransom Stoddard

Ordained Dudeist Priest
Bloomington, IL
The only point I was really making there was that what constitutes a championship level record is contingent on the context.

More best vs best scheduling and a bigger playoff are the things that grab the immediate cash, so all roads are going to lead in that direction. Not sure exactly when or in what format, but I don't think there can be much doubt that 2 or 3 loss teams are going to start being regular features of the business end of the title race, and of course as you say correctly, that leeway is going to benefit Alabama and Ohio State, not Mizzou and Illinois.

(The future of playoff expansion is the question I feel like is being under-discussed, and would benefit from some reporting from journalists with good contacts in the B1G and SEC. Do they maybe benefit from staying at 4? I think you could make that argument. I don't think they have the horses to just play champion against champion and shut the rest of the system out yet, but do Warren and Sankey think that?)




Argue amongst yourselves fellas. ;)

I would say though Matt, to your point about the centrality of ties to the school and having that in common with the athletes, I 1000% agree and that's where I take a much different view of the explosion of transfer liberalization than most people of the general "the NCAA sucks, pay the players" disposition.

Players routinely having careers at multiple major programs undermines the core ethos of college sports in a way NIL does not. Transfer liberalization was pursued as a release valve to try and sustain labor peace, but that dam was collapsing so fast it has wound up getting lumped in with other player rights issues in an unhelpful way. Financial compensation as an inducement and bargained-for exchange tying a player to a school is a much better framework, but I fear that horse has permanently left the barn.

You can bet your bottom dollar that when this ship starts to sink, every last bit of it will be blamed on the players.
I can't agree with your point about transfers. Fans of a school are fans of the school no matter whose name is on the back of a jersey. Players were only at an institution for 4-5 years anyway, so changing that to a lower number isn't that big of a deal in my mind.

Free agency changed pro sports but didn't kill the leagues. Transfers will continue to change college athletics, but I don't see it as doomsday. Marching bands will continue to play, fans will continue to tailgate, and games will continue to be played.
 
#706      

sacraig

The desert
I can't agree with your point about transfers. Fans of a school are fans of the school no matter whose name is on the back of a jersey. Players were only at an institution for 4-5 years anyway, so changing that to a lower number isn't that big of a deal in my mind.

Free agency changed pro sports but didn't kill the leagues. Transfers will continue to change college athletics, but I don't see it as doomsday. Marching bands will continue to play, fans will continue to tailgate, and games will continue to be played.
Pee Wee Herman Shh Im Listening To Reason GIF
 
#707      
Even if the NCAA collapses and all the talented high school kids skip college and play in some version of Overtime elite or the G-League, I'd still watch whatever intramural level squads Illinois and the rest of college basketball turns out since, as Matt pointed out, I have a very strong connection to this university and will irrationally support any football or basketball team it trots out.
 
#708      

ChiefGritty

Chicago, IL

Guys, free advice, you need to shiv Iowa State, Kansas State, Oregon State, and Washington State and create a new 3rd thing.

I don't approve of such behavior obviously, but the financial interests of the bigger free agent schools are not rocket science here. Again, the Catholic 7 was the only time there has ever been collective initiative displayed by the schools.

Phil Knight and Tim Cook need to hop on the phone and just put a deal together.

(The heck is going on with Stanford and Cal btw? Is Stanford really just fine with becoming Rice? Is Cal's financial situation beyond salvage at this point?)
 
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#710      

ChiefGritty

Chicago, IL
#712      

ChiefGritty

Chicago, IL
Seems like an exercise in futility until the dust settles.
You can sympathize with the league offices panicking. They're a press release away from all not having jobs anymore.

But for the schools, as uncomfortable as uncertainty is in the meantime, they really need to understand that their best leverage point comes when the Big Ten signs its next deal and thereby rejects bidders who are left with piles of money and no football to broadcast. That is the moment their best opportunity is going to arrive, whatever shape it may take.

And it seems to me their best move is to make something new, stay small, stay to the West in markets you have to yourself, and leave yourself and your broadcast partner running room to take advantage of the inevitable collapse of the ACC and any other chaos that may ensue. The Big XII did itself no favors taking on UCF as a mouth to feed. But that's just me spitballing. Do whatever Amazon tells you to do.
 
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#713      

mattcoldagelli

The Transfer Portal
Players routinely having careers at multiple major programs undermines the core ethos of college sports in a way NIL does not. Transfer liberalization was pursued as a release valve to try and sustain labor peace, but that dam was collapsing so fast it has wound up getting lumped in with other player rights issues in an unhelpful way.

Theoretically, I am (or, was) aligned - I was worried that #PortalLyfe was going to be the thing that actually destabilized college athletics in the way that the "but muh amateurism!" crowd always said paying the players would. The defining feature of Braggin' Rights is that you have to pick one side and Mark Smith picked both!

But in practice? Andres Feliz is one of my favorite Illini ever. Gonna be pulling for Slim Jake to thrive at Duke this year. Was fine with Adam Miller wanting to come back, regardless of how legitimate that ever was. I dunno, maybe I'd feel different if we were Michigan St. and had Izzo digging his heels in and grousing about it every chance he got, but fortunately we're not.
 
#714      

Mr. Tibbs

southeast DuPage
(The heck is going on with Stanford and Cal btw? Is Stanford really just fine with becoming Rice? Is Cal's financial situation beyond salvage at this point?)
strange
I can see Cal going the way of Rice or UChicago
but I have a hard time seeing Stanford doing that

I really saw Stanford coming into the B1G until reading things this weekend - now it seems unlikely unless ND comes in
 
#715      

ChiefGritty

Chicago, IL
Theoretically, I am (or, was) aligned - I was worried that #PortalLyfe was going to be the thing that actually destabilized college athletics in the way that the "but muh amateurism!" crowd always said paying the players would. The defining feature of Braggin' Rights is that you have to pick one side and Mark Smith picked both!

But in practice? Andres Feliz is one of my favorite Illini ever. Gonna be pulling for Slim Jake to thrive at Duke this year. Was fine with Adam Miller wanting to come back, regardless of how legitimate that ever was. I dunno, maybe I'd feel different if we were Michigan St. and had Izzo digging his heels in and grousing about it every chance he got, but fortunately we're not.
We're at the 99th percentile though.

On net, the emerging reality of every roster being a free for all every year is damaging to fan connection and engagement at the margin.

(Even for me, I can remember putting a ton of time into the minutae of a scholarship grid in years past, but that's foolish now, it's all going to be thrown in a blender multiple times between now and 2026)

It's not doomsday, it's just decline.

These teams and conferences are not just free floating pieces of intellectual property that can be disassembled and reassembled at will. The mortar that goes between the bricks was built over decades, and without that you've got a pile of bricks, not a wall.

I sound like an 18th century French nobleman here, but there's an element of that. Whatever good modernity has brought us, it has not meant viewer growth for jousting has it?
 
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#716      
Seems like an exercise in futility until the dust settles.
The dust might never settle. I see it more that the presidents are performing their proper due diligence so that they can decide whether to jump ship to the Big 12 or try to make something out of the Pac 10.
 
#717      

GrayGhost77

Centennial, CO
We're at the 99th percentile though.

On net, the emerging reality of every roster being a free for all every year is damaging to fan connection and engagement at the margin.

(Even for me, I can remember putting a ton of time into the minutae of a scholarship grid in years past, but that's foolish now, it's all going to be thrown in a blender multiple times between now and 2026)

It's not doomsday, it's just decline.

These teams and conferences are not just free floating pieces of intellectual property that can be disassembled and reassembled at will. The mortar that goes between the bricks was built over decades, and without that you've got a pile of bricks, not a wall.

I sound like an 18th century French nobleman here, but there's an element of that. Whatever good modernity has brought us, it has not meant viewer growth for jousting has it?
On the contrary, I'd say overall population growth, renaissance faires, and Medieval Times has brought substantial viewer growth to jousting.
 
#718      
Which, to be clear:

For those of you who missed a link within that article...
http://archive.boston.com/sports/colleges/articles/2011/10/09/power_move_by_acc/?page=full

How did I never see this article from 2011 before? Interesting read in and of itself. I think you'll like it.
 
#720      
Is Cincinnati within close-enough shouting distance to West Virginia to make its membership not seem geographically ridiculous?

How happy is WVU in the Big 12? If the Big 12 pushes out to 18-20 teams, would WVU shop the ACC, SEC or Big 10?
 
#721      

ChiefGritty

Chicago, IL
strange
I can see Cal going the way of Rice or UChicago
but I have a hard time seeing Stanford doing that

I really saw Stanford coming into the B1G until reading things this weekend - now it seems unlikely unless ND comes in
Cal's a very different sort of institution than Rice or UChicago. Among other things under common leadership with UCLA which must be a tad awkward.

The other thing to know about Cal, besides their athletic department being badly in debt as many are, is that their campus and Berkeley in general have an absolutely insane housing crisis at the moment and while razing their stadium is far from a solution, it might be a release valve to kick the can down the road a bit.

What a shame.

On the contrary, I'd say overall population growth, renaissance faires, and Medieval Times has brought substantial viewer growth to jousting.
As my ancien regime alter-ego, let me say: touche

For those of you who missed a link within that article...
http://archive.boston.com/sports/colleges/articles/2011/10/09/power_move_by_acc/?page=full

How did I never see this article from 2011 before? Interesting read in and of itself. I think you'll like it.
Pretty decent artifact for the proposition that when all is said and done revenue will win the day over historic brand value in college basketball. The ACC slipping behind leagues with more football money coming in is visible for all to see.

Is Cincinnati within close-enough shouting distance to West Virginia to make its membership not seem geographically ridiculous?

How happy is WVU in the Big 12? If the Big 12 pushes out to 18-20 teams, would WVU shop the ACC, SEC or Big 10?
Any port in a storm. WVU would happily join any of those leagues, but an invitation is not forthcoming.
 
#722      

ChiefGritty

Chicago, IL


EDIT: Oooh, hang on a minute


Obviously: the Pac 12 needs to do this in order to engage other parties including streamers who may well be their white knights in all of this.

Less obviously: does the Pac 12's exclusive window obligation also apply to its individual schools? Because that would mean they need to run that clock down in order to really engage with creating a new 3rd league.
 
#724      
Which, to be clear:

Even a national sportswriter who presumably understands context gets the framing wrong. "ESPN" doesn't have a strategy. "ESPN" is not a business. It's a media brand name for sports content. Along with ESPN+, Hulu, etc. OK, maybe that's all just semantics but the dynamic here is not TV networks paying money to broadcast games. It's a conglomerate--in this case, Disney--choosing the properties over which it wants to control media rights. It's just like what happened with the NHL. So OK Disney got the rights to televise the Stanley Cup finals on ABC. That was not the main part of the the deal. Disney paid $350 million to buy the NHL's shares in the company that manages the platforms for the league's streaming services. The broadcast TV rights to playoff games, that was just a throw-in.

I don't know how all this factors into conference realignment. I'm not that informed or smart. But if you're a sportwriter who is quoting something an AD said in 2011, I think you're probably missing much of the point.
 
#725      
I think the point lost in all this talk of transfers being bad for college sports is that the majority of college sports fans are far more casual than those on this site and maybe know one or two names on the team at any given time. They don't care who came in as a freshman or how many different schools' jerseys a player has worn. And based on what I've seen on here, most well informed fans either 1. Don't have a problem with it or 2. Have a problem with it but just complain about it and watch the games anyway. In fact, you could argue there are signs of increased engagement among hardcore fans with a more active and eventful offseason. If transfers were going to be the end of college sports I think we'd have seen some evidence by now but it looks to me like a lot of grumbling but not much disengagement.
 
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