Week of 1/26 Bracketology

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#2      
DeonThomas
#8 AP/Coaches

And 2-seed in all the new Bracketology releases (ESPN, DeCourcey, et.al.).......

We jump Purdue, Houston and Iowa St.
 
#4      
Fighter of the Nightman
Illinialldayeveryday said:
Feels good to be in drivers seat for a 2 or 3 seed this early. Big couple weeks ahead.
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Hindsight will be 20/20 in March, but we just won what I had previously thought to be our most difficult Big Ten game. Lotta tests ahead, as you noted, but there’s nothing left on the schedule where I’ll go in less optimistic than I was on Saturday! And that feels great.
 
#6      
the juiceman cometh
Calvin said:
Only a handful of projections for a 4 seed, and all of them were dated before Saturday. Think we're squarely in the 2/3 discussion as of today.
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With updates throughout the week I think there's a decent chance we'll sneak into the 2-line on Bracket Matrix before we play Washington, or maybe be the top 3-seed. I have a feeling we'd pass Purdue and Houston. Will also be interesting to see what happens to the loser of Nebraska/Michigan tomorrow.
 
#7      
drsmitty74
Lunardi has us at a 2 seed now.



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#16      
LouHenson
Fighter of the Nightman said:
I have to think that would be easier than getting into the Chicago Regional, right? All seeds up to #4 are at least theoretically protected.
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Yep it looks like in some we are getting exactly that - STL to Washington in the East. With Nebraska, scUM, MSU, ISU and Purdue all being very good and preferred sites for any of those teams and us? Feels like we need to be a 1 seed unless somehow scUM goes out East (Buffalo)? Not sure if scUM would want Chicago first?
 
#17      
aaeismacgychel
Second place is 1st loser said:
How do we get ourselves into St. Louis for rounds 1 and 2?
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It's going to come down to who finishes ahead of us that would also want to be in that pod.
So if we go down the list:
1. Zona, UCONN, Duke, Michigan- all will have 1st choice in different pod
2. Nebraska, Purdue, Houston, Gonzaga- Houston would take OKC. Fair question of whether Nebraska would also want OKC or want Chicago instead. Purdue would definitely want Chicago.
3. Iowa State, MSU, Illinois, BYU. This is where things get interesting as theoretically Iowa State, MSU, and Illinois could all want Chicago. Iowa State could go OKC and MSU could go Philly. BYU would be out West. We would obviously want Chicago.
4-5. Vandy, UVa, Texas Tech, Florida, Kansas, Bama, Arkansas, St. John's would all want elsewhere as a 1st pick.

The Top 2 Chicago pod wanting teams will go there, so our biggest competition is Purdue, maybe Nebraska, maybe Iowa State, maybe MSU. If Houston, Nebraska, and Iowa State all get slots ahead of us, one will probably get Chicago. So to answer your question, to get the Chicago pod, we likely need to finish as a Top 4 seed ahead of Purdue and MSU or ahead of Nebraska/Iowa State and MSU.
 
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#18      
aaeismacgychel
LouHenson said:
Yep it looks like in some we are getting exactly that - STL to Washington in the East. With Nebraska, scUM, MSU, ISU and Purdue all being very good and preferred sites for any of those teams and us? Feels like we need to be a 1 seed unless somehow scUM goes out East (Buffalo)? Not sure if scUM would want Chicago first?
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I think Michigan would go to Philly for pod. MSU I think would want Chicago over Philly but not sure. Iowa State may want OKC over Chicago?
 
#19      
Iloveorangekoolaid
aaeismacgychel said:
I think Michigan would go to Philly for pod. MSU I think would want Chicago over Philly but not sure. Iowa State may want OKC over Chicago?
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Michigan would go to Buffalo. Philly is a 1/2 round site. Chicago is a regional. If we want Chicago as a guarantee we would need to get a 1 seed. Otherwise it comes down to luck because Michigan, MSU, Nebraska, Iowa St, Purdue would all go to Chicago as the closest option for a regional. So whoever gets a 1 seed out of that group will get Chicago unless 2 of those teams get 1 seeds then the second one would obviously go somewhere else.
 
#20      
Fighter of the Nightman
I’ll look it up tomorrow (been a wild day, and still waiting for my wife in the ER lobby, she’s fine!), but there is a ton of precedent for a scenario similar to #1 seed Michigan and #2 Illinois both being in Chicago, with the former seemingly getting a “raw deal” as the higher seed. It’s by no means utterly taboo.
 
#22      
Iloveorangekoolaid
Fighter of the Nightman said:
I’ll look it up tomorrow (been a wild day, and still waiting for my wife in the ER lobby, she’s fine!), but there is a ton of precedent for a scenario similar to #1 seed Michigan and #2 Illinois both being in Chicago, with the former seemingly getting a “raw deal” as the higher seed. It’s by no means utterly taboo.
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Hope she’s doing okay! It can happen but it’s going to be really difficult to happen because the first 4 teams from each conference(that qualify for a top 4 seed) must be placed into different regions. So for example we would need 1. Michigan to get Chicago. 1 seed Nebraska to get South(Houston. 2. Michigan State to get East(DC). 2. Purdue get West(San Jose) and Illinois would have to be the fifth lowest on the seed line out of all our conference teams to get Chicago because they would have to split the top 4 teams apart and the highest seeded B1G ten team this year is almost guaranteed to be the 1 seed in the Midwest. All top 5 teams are closest to Chicago. The only non B1G teams right now ranked in the top 15that would be close to Chicago would be Iowa state and Kansas. The other scenario is no Big Ten teams get a 1 seed, EX: Arizona, UConn, Gonzaga, Houston. Then they just follow the seed list to fill in the teams from there and we get lucky to get placed into the Midwest.
 
#23      
DeonThomas
Iloveorangekoolaid said:
Hope she’s doing okay! It can happen but it’s going to be really difficult to happen because the first 4 teams from each conference(that qualify for a top 4 seed) must be placed into different regions. So for example we would need 1. Michigan to get Chicago. 1 seed Nebraska to get South(Houston. 2. Michigan State to get East(DC). 2. Purdue get West(San Jose) and Illinois would have to be the fifth lowest on the seed line out of all our conference teams to get Chicago because they would have to split the top 4 teams apart and the highest seeded B1G ten team this year is almost guaranteed to be the 1 seed in the Midwest. All top 5 teams are closest to Chicago. The only non B1G teams right now ranked in the top 15that would be close to Chicago would be Iowa state and Kansas. The other scenario is no Big Ten teams get a 1 seed, EX: Arizona, UConn, Gonzaga, Houston. Then they just follow the seed list to fill in the teams from there and we get lucky to get placed into the Midwest.
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Or we get a #1 seed?
 
#25      
Iloveorangekoolaid
DeonThomas said:
Or we get a #1 seed?
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The whole argument was to be in Chicago as a non 1 seed with another B10 team ala Michigan getting the 1 in the Midwest. I pointed out whichever B1G team has the top resume has the 1 seed in Chicago with all 5 teams being closest to Chicago unless we cannibalize each other and no teams from the B10 get a 1, which is pretty unlikely.
 
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