Week of 12/4 Games Thread

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#52      

grue2

G
grue2
Second place is 1st loser said:
So, I have a question on FAU for those who are our numbers/metrics gurus. They're highly ranked and highly thought of, but after they play in a conference that's not going to do them a lot of favors from a strength of schedule standpoint.....what numbers are going to get them to a top 4 seed? I see where Lunardi has them as a #3. How will the metrics support that?
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A number of the metric sites are based on relative team results. If FAU "meets expectations", their relative ranking will stay roughly the same.

Hypothetical example:
- FAU is ranked #10 (a 3 seed) before entering league play.
- The metrics based on play thus far this season expect them to win their conference games by an average of 15pts (entirely made up).
If during conference play, FAU wins their games by ~15 pts, their overall ranking will stay pretty stable in the metrics. If their win/loss margin is significantly higher/lower, then they will shift.

This is why it is important for conferences to do well in the early inter-conference games. This is when the rating pie shares are being handed out. Once conference seasons begin, teams are trading shares amongst themselves.
 
#55      

Chad Fleck

Chad Fleck
Eureka, IL
Chad Fleck
I'd prefer Iowa win such a game, for the sake of the conference.

puke GIF
 
#56      

SkyysNotFalling

S
SkyysNotFalling
Second place is 1st loser said:
So, I have a question on FAU for those who are our numbers/metrics gurus. They're highly ranked and highly thought of, but after they play in a conference that's not going to do them a lot of favors from a strength of schedule standpoint.....what numbers are going to get them to a top 4 seed? I see where Lunardi has them as a #3. How will the metrics support that?
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Going to backtrack on this slightly…

Last year Conference-USA had a team in the Final 4, win the NIT & the CIT. that’s mighty impressive. Memphis is really good, I think Tulane has been pretty good so far, SMU would win some games in a power-5 conference, North Texas is very competitive, Wichita State is okay… it’s not like they’re in the NEC or SWAC… They’ve played a decent non-conference schedule as well…. Last year they were what? Like 31-3 going into the tournament? And got a 9 seed? I think this team could lose 4-5 more games and still get a top 4 seed which is very good for an American Conference team… it’ll be a great win going into March for us because they’re a great team.
 
#67      

pruman91

pruman91
Paducah, Ky
pruman91
loosiers now down 20 to satan..........................
 
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