Week of 2/16 Bracketology

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#376      
FreshlySqueezed
OrangeBlue98 said:
I’ll gladly take the bracket shown today. I reserve the right to change my tune after today, but Duke doesn’t scare me in the least. And KU and Vanderbilt are very, very beatable.
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KU and Vandy likely aren't on those seed lines anymore after today.

And since our options are AZ, Duke, or ISU/Houston/UConn, Duke is no worse than the 2nd best option.
 
#377      
jamie13197
Houston is a good man to man team. Arizona is the best. My goodness they are loaded and play defense. Hilarious that Houstons court is named after 2 mobster betting gambling fools. You can't make up the wolrd we live in now.
 
#378      
AirTran
Alot of basketball still to be played - Those brackets aren't even written in chalk. But they do give everyone something to talk about. The only team that has impressed me thus far today is Cincinnatti. I don't know if the tournament started Wednesday, that they are in. Virginia is much better than the first time I saw them (vs. Maryland).
 
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#379      
jamie13197
IMO we match up against most elite teams in Arizona, Duke, Iowa State. I like what coach said 7 or 10 days ago. We didn't scout Indiana. We focused solely on what we run. There is not anyone in country except Iowa St. and probably Kansas that can guard our bigs on perimeter. I will say if we beat Michigan, we are better. Give me a 1 or 2 seed and I'm happy. I do not like that BigZ is playing less. He has lost his rhythm. He is our add on spark plug!
 
#380      
Lysol623
Noblesville Illini said:
IMHO…..Put me in the camp to hope to be the 2nd or 3rd #1. We play more focused on the road. As awesome it would be to play in Chicago, I don’t know if we would play our best ball. Send us somewhere after St.Louis and I bet we have our best shot. Hopefully matchups favor us as well obviously.
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This is the tournament and you need every advantage you can get. The best case is us getting into the Midwest and playing potentially two tough games in Chicago.
 
#384      
21ChampaignSt
Lysol623 said:
This is the tournament and you need every advantage you can get. The best case is us getting into the Midwest and playing potentially two tough games in Chicago.
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I think it's arguable which is more advantageous, a 1 seed or a 2 or 3 seed in a regional close to campus.

I'm taking the 1 seed route without much debate but would be interesting to see the data on it.
 
#387      
kyillinifan
Duke loses tonight we beat ucla and Mich on Fri. Duke doesn't win the ACC . That could mean we could move up to a 1 seed.
 
#388      
Piotyr
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#390      
casemeau
I’m telling you, Loyalty, this team has NO reason to fear anyone. I swear not one team. Not even teams with good guards that can turn the corner.

This team is right on the cusp of realizing that it can dominate, yes, dominate, any team it plays. Truly.

Michigan?, Duke? Arizona?, UCONN?, Houston?, Iowa St.? Welcome to playing Illi-f#@king-nois.

There’s just a little mental “aha!” moment that this team hasn’t yet experienced. It could happen at any time. And when we finally comprehend just how dominant we are (and I actually mean dominant, not just “stay mentally positive to be good at sports”) we will leave no doubt in every remaining game and finish as National Champions.
 
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#391      
aaeismacgychel
ChiefGritty said:
What I remain unclear on is how realistic that is.

Is there really a rule that would forbid us from being the 2 to Michigan's 1, but we could be the 3? What on earth sense does that make?
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They'll separate top 4 seeds from the same conference into different regions. Realistically, the only way to get into the Midwest if Michigan is the 1 seed is to be the 5th B10 team on the S-curve and also a Top 4 seed. So if for example Michigan was a 1 seed, Purdue, Nebraska, and MSU all jumped us on the 2 and 3 lines, they'd be placed in the South, West, and East respectively so they're separated as much as possible. So if we're one of the lower 3 seeds, and we're ranked 5th in the B10 on the S-Curve, we would actually be extremely likely to get the 3 in the Midwest. Why?

Any B10 3 ahead of us would be in a different region to be separated from Michigan. We also wouldn't be put as a 3 seed in a region with any B10 2 because we'd be forced to meet in the Sweet 16 if we won out. So the only practical region to put us in is the Midwest as a 3 with Michigan.

So... I guess if we want Chicago, at this point we probably have to hope that Michigan loses a good 3 or 4 more games or the other Top 5 B10 teams basically win out as much as they can to jump us and we tank a little bit but not too much to fall off the 3 line... Sadly, odds of Chicago for us is extremely low right now but hope that explains it.
 
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#392      
aaeismacgychel
Piotyr said:
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A very long way to go still, but as a 1 if we had a choice of Iowa State, UCONN, or Houston as our 2, I'd probably pick Iowa State . That said, they'll be a tough as hell out. That's an extremely good 2 line. Probably the best looking field at the 2 line in a very very long time. Maybe since the 90s? Could legitimately see any of those teams aside from Purdue win a Natty. Extremely good teams.
 
#394      
jamie13197
Lendenberg whoever he is and Boozer are a match up nightmare for any team. Those 2 are relentless. Arizona has 8 starters in their rotation.
 
#395      
Orangetool
Mirk's mistake at the end of the half may prove to be OK.

When he feels that he has let the team down he plays with renewed ferocity.
Coach will help this I'm sure.
 
#396      
illini510
Pweezy said:
Would Michigan not be #1 Midwest though? Would they put two B10 teams in the top 2 for the same bracket?
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I doubt it. I'd think they would try to avoid that as much as possible but it is a possibility
 
#399      
Illini2010-11
Fighter of the Nightman said:
Sooooo if we did lose to Michigan and Purdue and Nebraska won out … could us being a #3 seed in Chicago be a small consolation prize??
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To me there is not much of a difference between a 2 and 3 seed. I think it becomes more about location and particular matchups. It is more important to stay above the 4 line, as you avoid the 1 seed until E8. So I would gladly accept 3 seed in Chicago over 2 seed elsewhere.
 
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