Week of 2/24 Bracketology

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#101      
SAELION
Easily the weirdest analogy I have ever read. It implies that a chimp would have trouble throwing feces against a wall. It would be easy for a chimp, left or right-handed. Ever been to a zoo? But yes, Lunardi's brackets are iffy at best.
 
#102      
Illini2010-11
lstewart53x3 said:
I hear you, but Kentucky has 9 Q1 wins. They’re 9-9. Point still stands though, ignore Lunardi.

Edit: Just checked again and I think you meant Kansas. If so, that’s dead on.
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Yeah, he has Kansas as a 6 seed as of Friday. His next update will likely be a 7 seed. Lunardi is generally off, but he likely has Kansas and Illinois in the right place.
 
#107      
DeonThomas
As of 6pm Sunday (today), I have to believe the Committee would slot us as a #6 seed in the Big Dance --- which would signify a Top 24 team in the nation. Both the NET Rankings and KenPom support this seed. We then have some big games to play, however, before everything gets finalized.

If we go 0-2 from here on out, I think we're a 7-seed.

A home win vs. Purdue probably solidifies the 6-seed.

Lots of wins in the BTT could push us up to either a #5 (or even a #4 seed if we make it to the Championship Game).
 
#110      
From the cheap seats
Looks like the Illini draw for the B1G Tourney comes down to Indiana beating Oregon Tuesday night or the Illini beating Purdue Friday night to get to the #7 seed. There are other routes, but that is the simplest as it is unlikely for Washington to beat Oregon or for UCLA to lose to NW or USC. Still seems weird to me that the Illini might get a better seed in the NCAA Tourney than in their own conference tourney, but it sure seems possible.
 
#111      
IlliniFaninHoosierLand
From the cheap seats said:
Looks like the Illini draw for the B1G Tourney comes down to Indiana beating Oregon Tuesday night or the Illini beating Purdue Friday night to get to the #7 seed. There are other routes, but that is the simplest as it is unlikely for Washington to beat Oregon or for UCLA to lose to NW or USC. Still seems weird to me that the Illini might get a better seed in the NCAA Tourney than in their own conference tourney, but it sure seems possible.
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If Indiana beats Oregon, Illini are no worse than the 7 seed in the B1G Tourney no matter what happens on Friday. I don't think Washington beats Oregon, but I wouldn't put it out of the realm of possibility that UCLA loses to Northwestern, especially at Welsh-Ryan. Of course, anything can happen in rivalry games like Oregon/Washington or USC/UCLA.
 
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#112      
AyoDos11
USC has dropped to 77 in the NET, meaning our loss to them is now a Q3 loss. We NEED to root for them when they play on Wednesday vs Washington and on Saturday @ UCLA and hopefully they can move back up.🤞🏻
 
#114      
DeonThomas
BTT projections...........

I've got the home team winning all remaining conference games except for these 3:
* Wisc winning at Minn
* MSU winning at Iowa
* Oregon winning at Wash

We finish with the 6-seed in the Big Ten Tourney, facing the winner of #14 Minnesota & #11 Rutgers. We have the tie-breaker against all of our closest challengers ---- UCLA, Oregon, Indiana, (and even Purdue if they end up losing twice)!
 
#116      
CleverHandle1
Will the committee look at the injuries and sicknesses to decided what seed Illinois will be? If it matters in their thinking then I believe Illinois is a 5/6 seed.
 
#117      
IlliniFaninHoosierLand
DeonThomas said:
BTT projections...........

I've got the home team winning all remaining conference games except for these 3:
* Wisc winning at Minn
* MSU winning at Iowa
* Oregon winning at Wash

We finish with the 6-seed in the Big Ten Tourney, facing the winner of #14 Minnesota & #11 Rutgers. We have the tie-breaker against all of our closest challengers ---- UCLA, Oregon, Indiana, (and even Purdue if they end up losing twice)!
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We'd only finish ahead of Purdue if they lost to Rutgers and we win on Friday. If that happens and we're also tied with UCLA, Oregon, and Indiana in addition to the Boilers, we'd be the 5 seed.
 
#119      
Fly Illini Fly!
PleaseMakeABowlGame said:
Win Purdoink, I think we can be as high as a 5. Certainly a 6.
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Excited Season 4 GIF by The Office
 
#120      
AyoDos11
Here are the BTT seeding possibilities for Illinois as of tonight:

With a win against Purdue: 3-7 seed range
With a loss to Purdue: 6-8 seed range

-Getting the 3 seed would require a 6-way tie (at 12-8) for 3rd. [ILL, PUR, MD, UCLA, ORE, WISC]

-The 4 seed would require a 5-way tie with the same teams except Maryland or Wisconsin finishing at 13-7 and in 3rd.

-5 seed same thing except BOTH MD and Wisconsin get to 13-7.

-The most likely result by far is either a 6 or 7 seed.

Edit: For those who might not know, this was done using this website
 
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#121      
IlliniFaninHoosierLand
AyoDos11 said:
Here are the BTT seeding possibilities for Illinois as of tonight:

With a win against Purdue: 3-7 seed range
With a loss to Purdue: 6-8 seed range

-Getting the 3 seed would require a 6-way tie (at 12-8) for 3rd. [ILL, PUR, MD, UCLA, ORE, WISC]

-The 4 seed would require a 5-way tie with the same teams except Maryland or Wisconsin finishing at 13-7 and in 3rd.

-5 seed same thing except BOTH MD and Wisconsin get to 13-7.

-The most likely result by far is either a 6 or 7 seed.
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There would have to be an absolutely unbelievable set of circumstances for us to get either the 3 or 4 seed in the BTT. The absolute ceiling for BTT seeding would be 5 and is the most realistic of the higher possible seeds. 6 seed would require us to beat Purdue or have UCLA lose their last 2 games of the season.
 
#123      
AyoDos11
IlliniFaninHoosierLand said:
There would have to be an absolutely unbelievable set of circumstances for us to get either the 3 or 4 seed in the BTT. The absolute ceiling for BTT seeding would be 5 and is the most realistic of the higher possible seeds. 6 seed would require us to beat Purdue or have UCLA lose their last 2 games of the season.
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Correct, except we can still end up with the 7 seed even if we beat Purdue
1000008098.jpg
 
#125      
Piotyr
I believe at this point, Washington and Penn State are 2 of the 3 teams that will not make the B1G tournament, since they lose all of the potential tiebreakers with Iowa/USC if they all finished with 6 wins.

Iowa also loses any tiebreakers, so they'll need to finish a win better than 16th place to make the B1G tournament.

I also believe there's no way Ohio State can miss the B1G tournament, since they win any crazy tiebreaker at 8-12.
 
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