Week of 3/11 Games Thread

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#201      

Illinicpa14

I
Chicago
Illinicpa14
battle said:
you can't just dismiss UK's loss at home to UNCW. plus in past 6 weeks: UK lost to LSU on Feb 21, barely got by Ark, lost to FL (and beat them by 2), lost to A&M, lost to SC by 17. that is 4 losses to non-tourny teams vs our 2
we lack marquee wins but we were competitive in 3 games vs #1 seeds and 1 with a #2. other losses were OT to NW, by 1 to PSU, a collapse @MSU, to MD w/o TSJ, we have a good road record. metric/net-wise, N-FAU, MSU, @WI, Neb are on or close to par with Auburn and AL
I think the last 3 #3 seeds are very close between Baylor, IL, UK, Duke - it depends on what you put more weight on. a first round loss vs. win could be the tie-breaker amongst the 4 (think KU has lost their 3 the past few weeks). Go UC and NC St
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If that were the case, then why do 90%+ of the brackets on bracket matrix have us as a 4? The majority of consensus and however you draw up a bracket have us as a solid 4.

I love our team and think we are capable of anything but heading into the week that’s where sit. The good news is that equation changes with 2-3 key wins coupled with someone else stumbling today.
 
#205      

Zorak

Zorak
Naperville
Zorak
Piotyr said:
MSU beats Minnesota to perhaps finally seal up a spot in the tourney, unless they go out and lose by 40 to Purdue with Walker having a season ending injury.
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MSU could have lost to Minnesota and still made it
 
#209      

theNewGuy

theNewGuy
Dallas, TX
theNewGuy
Illinicpa14 said:
If that were the case, then why do 90%+ of the brackets on bracket matrix have us as a 4? The majority of consensus and however you draw up a bracket have us as a solid 4.

I love our team and think we are capable of anything but heading into the week that’s where sit. The good news is that equation changes with 2-3 key wins coupled with someone else stumbling today.
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Easy, recency bias. They are also #9 in the AP poll

I would wager that a good 90% of those brackets don't go through the same protocols that the selection committee does
 
#210      

Illini1985

I
Illini1985
Ugh MD not being competitive. I feel like they need to stay in top 75 NET for us to have a chance at a 3 seed.

Or am I reading too much into the NET?
 
#212      

Zorak

Zorak
Naperville
Zorak
So much for those Maryland games moving up on the team sheet.
 
#213      

BBlock24

B
BBlock24
Thanks for coming out Maryland. Barring a huge comeback, I doubt they stay in the top 75 of NET.
 
#214      

Piotyr

P
Piotyr
Zorak said:
MSU could have lost to Minnesota and still made it
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That's true but they were rapidly burning through their at large slack, so a win at least shores it up, even if they end up as a 9 or 10 seed.
 
#215      

ChiefGritty

ChiefGritty
Chicago, IL
ChiefGritty
Illinicpa14 said:
If that were the case, then why do 90%+ of the brackets on bracket matrix have us as a 4? The majority of consensus and however you draw up a bracket have us as a solid 4.
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This is true, but there are late-breaking problems with Kansas, and the committee is notoriously cruel to teams with injury problems.

Self is a savvy guy and he will make sure the press is filled with noises about McCullar and Dickinson being back and 100% for round 1. We'll see if it works.

My money would be on Kansas having lost their 3 seed.
 
#216      

Uihoop2023!

U
Uihoop2023!
Purdue side of bracket much harder than illinois.
Michigan state, Wisconsin and Northwestern much more difficult than Ohio state/Iowa, Indiana and Nebraska
 
#218      

aaeismacgychel

A
aaeismacgychel
Man... This is blowout city... If Minnesota can't get this under 10pts, there's a decent possibility they fall to a Quad3 home loss. Just really ugly game.
 
#219      

LvilleILL

LvilleILL
LvilleILL
aaeismacgychel said:
Man... This is blowout city... If Minnesota can't get this under 10pts, there's a decent possibility they fall to a Quad3 home loss. Just really ugly game.
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Wisconsin 10-13 from three, shooting performance of a lifetime
 
#220      

aaeismacgychel

A
aaeismacgychel
Illini1985 said:
Ugh MD not being competitive. I feel like they need to stay in top 75 NET for us to have a chance at a 3 seed.

Or am I reading too much into the NET?
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I don't think you are to be honest. If Maryland falls to Quad 3, I think that would probably make our ceiling a 4 seed even if we were to make it to the Finals. Need them to rally to make the final score look less ugly.
 
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#221      

Piotyr

P
Piotyr
LvilleILL said:
Wisconsin 10-13 from three, shooting performance of a lifetime
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Coupled with Maryland's "don't even want to be here today" energy from everyone but Jahmir Young. Young is 7-11, rest of the team is 5-19 with 8 rebounds (to Wisconsin's 18). This has been Maryland's issue all year, they only get up for every other game or so.
 
#224      

Illinicpa14

I
Chicago
Illinicpa14
theNewGuy said:
Easy, recency bias. They are also #9 in the AP poll

I would wager that a good 90% of those brackets don't go through the same protocols that the selection committee does
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I would love to be proved wrong Sunday - no doubt haha
 
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