Illinois (-9.5) vs Western Michigan

Dan · Aug 11, 2012, 04:32 PM

Illinois (-9.5) vs Western Michigan
Iowa (-6.5) vs NIU (Soldier Field)
Michigan (+12.5) vs Alabama (Cowboys Stadium)
Michigan State (-7) vs Boise State
Minnesota (-8) at UNLV
Nebraska (-17.5) vs Southern Mississippi
Northwestern (-1.5) at Syracuse
Ohio State (-22.5) vs Miami (OH)
Penn State (-6) vs Ohio

http://www.covers.com/odds/football/...ball-odds.aspx

illinifaninaz · Aug 11, 2012, 05:00 PM

I am going to Vegas in two weeks and going to put my money on the illini to win their division and maybe put money on the big10 championship game! Will also put money on the game vs asu.

GilThorpe · Aug 11, 2012, 05:01 PM

I guess MSU being favored by 7 vs Boise is the one that somewhat seems a few points high.

Sure Shot · Aug 11, 2012, 05:06 PM

Sounds about right. I guess Illinois is a pretty decent value on that number. Wouldn't be surprised to see that make it to 10.

Sure Shot · Aug 11, 2012, 05:08 PM

Michigan and Penn State are layups. Parlay, anyone?

Dan · Aug 11, 2012, 05:08 PM

Number seems much too high, but I haven't looked into 2012 WMU. Do that have a substantial amount of key loses from the roster?

Dan · Aug 11, 2012, 05:15 PM

Last season, Illinois (3-0) was a 14-pt favorite over WMU (2-1). UI 23, WMU 20.

256ILLINI · Aug 11, 2012, 05:22 PM

Well they lost Jordan White, who I think led the nation in receiving yards or receptions or maybe both

stevo99 · Aug 11, 2012, 05:37 PM

At first glance I LOOOOVE scUM +12.5.

256ILLINI · Aug 11, 2012, 05:45 PM

You like them to lose by less than 12.5?

I've seen Michigan play with Fitzy Toussaint and I didn't think they'd finish within 2 td's of Alabama. Now take him out of the equation and it's game over.

I think the only way Michigan loses by less than 12.5 is if Alabama doesn't have a single turnover

stevo99 · Aug 11, 2012, 06:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 256ILLINI

You like them to lose by less than 12.5?

I've seen Michigan play with Fitzy Toussaint and I didn't think they'd finish within 2 td's of Alabama. Now take him out of the equation and it's game over.

I think the only way Michigan loses by less than 12.5 is if Alabama doesn't have a single turnover

It's week 1. Alabama lost a lot. And Denard is a wild card in every single game he plays in.

Would I like this as much in November? Of course not.

RHITIllini · Aug 11, 2012, 06:33 PM

Jordan White is gone, but Carder is still there

256ILLINI · Aug 11, 2012, 07:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stevo99

It's week 1. Alabama lost a lot. And Denard is a wild card in every single game he plays in.

Would I like this as much in November? Of course not.

Who re-tools better than Alabama? Andre Smith goes top 5 to the Bengals, replacement James Carpenter gets drafted by Seattle in the first round, his replacement DJ Fluker will certainly be another top draft pick

Rolando McClain leaves for the NFL? In comes Donta Hightower, 4 years later he's a first round pick.

So the fact that they lost 4 really good players doesn't really mean they aren't going to be just about as good as they were.

Also, the fact that this is their first game of the year means Saban will have about a month to prepare for Michigan and their QB who can't throw the ball accurately. Last time Saban had a month to prepare, the team that played him crossed the 50 yard line once....in the national championship game.

quhawks12 · Aug 11, 2012, 07:53 PM

O/U is 53.5 I believe. Which I'm leaning under on.

Bring The Paign · Aug 11, 2012, 07:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 256ILLINI

Who re-tools better than Alabama? Andre Smith goes top 5 to the Bengals, replacement James Carpenter gets drafted by Seattle in the first round, his replacement DJ Fluker will certainly be another top draft pick

Rolando McClain leaves for the NFL? In comes Donta Hightower, 4 years later he's a first round pick.

So the fact that they lost 4 really good players doesn't really mean they aren't going to be just about as good as they were.

Also, the fact that this is their first game of the year means Saban will have about a month to prepare for Michigan and their QB who can't throw the ball accurately. Last time Saban had a month to prepare, the team that played him crossed the 50 yard line once....in the national championship game.

Haha! I wasn't even aware they made it past the fifty! I guess I must have got up to use the restroom... Bama completely threw LSU's offense around that entire game... good point about Saban having plenty of time to prepare... They just reload... if Michigan keeps it within 14 I will be very surprised... Even though I'm not a big fan of the SEC and Michigan plays for our conference, I still wouldn't mind seeing scUM get completely demoralized in the first game of their season...

Ransom Stoddard · Aug 11, 2012, 09:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bring The Paign

Haha! I wasn't even aware they made it past the fifty! I guess I must have got up to use the restroom... Bama completely threw LSU's offense around that entire game... good point about Saban having plenty of time to prepare... They just reload... if Michigan keeps it within 14 I will be very surprised... Even though I'm not a big fan of the SEC and Michigan plays for our conference, I still wouldn't mind seeing scUM get completely demoralized in the first game of their season...

I hate the SEC waaay more than Michigan, and it's time the B1G started winning games against the upper half of the SEC.

Juice · Aug 11, 2012, 10:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ransom Stoddard

I hate the SEC waaay more than Michigan, and it's time the B1G started winning games against the upper half of the SEC.

Please. Nothing would satisfy me more than Michigan getting absolutely pummeled.

256ILLINI · Aug 11, 2012, 11:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ransom Stoddard

I hate the SEC waaay more than Michigan, and it's time the B1G started winning games against the upper half of the SEC.

That won't happen until they start tapping into talent from the south. It's just much better than the midwest

ctblaisdell83 · Aug 12, 2012, 07:21 AM

Not sure I would bet the B1G teams early season against lower teir conferences.

Lines are predicated on where the bets will be placed...and I expect betting would be heavier from B1G fans than lower conferences. Add to that the fact that Ohio beating PSU is a huge win, other way around - not so much. WMU, NIU, Miami (OH) over a B1G team also a pretty big deal I would think.

quhawks12 · Aug 13, 2012, 07:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ctblaisdell83

Lines are predicated on where the bets will be placed...and I expect betting would be heavier from B1G fans than lower conferences. Add to that the fact that Ohio beating PSU is a huge win, other way around - not so much. WMU, NIU, Miami (OH) over a B1G team also a pretty big deal I would think.

Lines are originally established by the book makers at the casinos. They then adjust based on how money is coming in (significant money).

Aug 11, 2012, 04:32 PM	#1
Dan Admin Location: Champaign, IL Posts: 25,886	Illinois (-9.5) vs Western Michigan Iowa (-6.5) vs NIU (Soldier Field) Michigan (+12.5) vs Alabama (Cowboys Stadium) Michigan State (-7) vs Boise State Minnesota (-8) at UNLV Nebraska (-17.5) vs Southern Mississippi Northwestern (-1.5) at Syracuse Ohio State (-22.5) vs Miami (OH) Penn State (-6) vs Ohio http://www.covers.com/odds/football/...ball-odds.aspx

Aug 11, 2012, 05:00 PM	#2
illinifaninaz Posts: 124	I am going to Vegas in two weeks and going to put my money on the illini to win their division and maybe put money on the big10 championship game! Will also put money on the game vs asu.

Aug 11, 2012, 05:01 PM	#3
GilThorpe Location: Hinsdale Posts: 855	I guess MSU being favored by 7 vs Boise is the one that somewhat seems a few points high.

Aug 11, 2012, 05:06 PM	#4
Sure Shot Banned Posts: 1,912	Sounds about right. I guess Illinois is a pretty decent value on that number. Wouldn't be surprised to see that make it to 10.

Aug 11, 2012, 05:08 PM	#5
Sure Shot Banned Posts: 1,912	Michigan and Penn State are layups. Parlay, anyone?

Aug 11, 2012, 05:15 PM	#7
Dan Admin Location: Champaign, IL Posts: 25,886	Last season, Illinois (3-0) was a 14-pt favorite over WMU (2-1). UI 23, WMU 20.

Aug 11, 2012, 05:22 PM	#8
256ILLINI Banned Posts: 453	Well they lost Jordan White, who I think led the nation in receiving yards or receptions or maybe both

Aug 11, 2012, 05:37 PM	#9
stevo99 Posts: 849	At first glance I LOOOOVE scUM +12.5.

Aug 11, 2012, 05:45 PM	#10
256ILLINI Banned Posts: 453	You like them to lose by less than 12.5? I've seen Michigan play with Fitzy Toussaint and I didn't think they'd finish within 2 td's of Alabama. Now take him out of the equation and it's game over. I think the only way Michigan loses by less than 12.5 is if Alabama doesn't have a single turnover

Aug 11, 2012, 06:33 PM	#12
RHITIllini Location: Chicago, IL Posts: 1,751	Jordan White is gone, but Carder is still there

Aug 11, 2012, 07:53 PM	#14
quhawks12 Location: Hamilton County, IN Posts: 3,355	O/U is 53.5 I believe. Which I'm leaning under on.

Aug 12, 2012, 07:21 AM	#19
ctblaisdell83 Posts: 481	Not sure I would bet the B1G teams early season against lower teir conferences. Lines are predicated on where the bets will be placed...and I expect betting would be heavier from B1G fans than lower conferences. Add to that the fact that Ohio beating PSU is a huge win, other way around - not so much. WMU, NIU, Miami (OH) over a B1G team also a pretty big deal I would think.