I generally agree, but fortunately it doesn't work this way...we should take both.
It really depends on who you get instead. A lot more risk at big, 3 bigs in 2017 isn't enough, in 2019 both Finke/Black are gone & Kiir would take a lot of pressure off 2019.
But if we could land Epperson instead of Kiir then no harm/no foul.
Wilkes has the talent to step in and fill the void of Malcolm Hill, that would really help in 2017, but we have other good options. If we pull off an upset and Kigab were to go our way this afternoon, all the better.
Much more downside risk if we miss Kiir, probably a bit more upside if we pull off Wilkes.