I'm not saying it's an automatic we'll find it. I'm just saying that the goal for me all along was 10-8. We're 0-1 now, and yesterday's game didn't mean 9 losses. i'll do my 'Fire Groce' dance once that 9th loss hits. For now, the team will absorb the one loss, learn from it, and go play Ohio State.
After the team's 7th 25+ point loss this calendar year, if people are starting to do their 'Fire Groce' dance, there's at least some justification for it.
Groce has been handed a gift this year by getting two 6th year players, a healthy team and an
unbelievably soft B1G schedule.
Here's how I see a team with this much talent should win no fewer than 11 B1G regular season games this year:
From a recent Lunardi's Bracketology:
4/Purdue
4/Wisconsin
5/Indiana
7/Maryland
9/Michigan
10/Michigan St.
10/OSU
11/Minnesota
12/Northwestern
Here's how the Illini's schedule plays out against those 9 teams:
1 @Purdue
1 Wisconsin
1 @Indiana
2 Maryland
2 Michigan
1 Michigan St.
1 OSU
1 Minnesota
2 Northwestern
That's 12 games. So if the Illini just win the 6 games against teams who aren't in the above list (i.e. bottom 4 in the conference Rutgers, PSU, Nebraska and Iowa), all they need is to win 3 of those 12 games to go 9-9.
If Illinois beats tOSU, Minnesota and Northwestern
at home and then drops all of the rest? That puts them at 5-4 at home and 4-5 on the road with no good road wins.
Defend the home court in 2 of 3 games against Michigan, Michigan State and Maryland (wow, that's not looking as easy now is it?) and voila! There's 11 wins without beating any of the 3 "elite" (i.e. currently ranked teams) in the B1G and without even a single notable road win.
The Illini could win 11 in the B1G this year and still have a pretty weak resume (but 11 wins almost certainly gets them in). Missing the tourney this year with this team and this schedule is totally inexcusable.
Anyone here think that the Illini get through the rest of the season without another 20+ point loss? Psychologically, this team has lost it's grip and is sliding down the side of a mountain desperately looking for something to grab onto before crashing at the bottom. The Illini really need to bounce back at home and get a win against tOSU and break Groce's current 6 game losing streak to his former mentor Thad Matta.
Go Illini!