You're right, you probably don't need a 9 game streak, but I feel fairly confident saying we need at least two BTT wins regardless. The reality is even with a win streak, we have zero wins over locked in tournament teams right now. Northwestern of course being the closest to a lock of anyone we've beat, I think they're in, even if S&C swears they'll choke.
(I hope they make it, don't @ me)
We have to get some good wins at some point. I don't like citing RPI, it's well documented you can schedule yourself into a top 50 RPI basically independent of the win-loss record, and we seem to have successfully done that. It was discussed when the schedule was announced that that was basically what the staff had done. But for all you 'eye-test' fans, if we go into the bubble with all of our wins in conference against the bottom of the B1G, you still have to find a way to collect either a good win, or a lot of wins, and regardless we probably need two BTT wins, IMO.
For those of you in the know would Smith commit if Whitman said Groce will be retained? I am just curious what the thoughts are. Hopefully the new coach, if there is one can keep the class and get Smith, he is very good!
Not sure it's significantly better. For next year you really only expect to get contributions from Tilmon and Frazier as Williams is rehabbing an ACL and Pickett is not likely ready. Do those 2 replace what you lost from Hill and Mav? Doubtful, IMO. Tilmon might be better on D, but freshmen tend to struggle with fouls. Frazier isn't going to come close to replacing Hill's production. Can probably also count on some improvement from Lucas and Nichols.
Longer term probably depends on how long Tilmon stays, how good Williams is and if you can add another guy like Smith.
If you use metrics such tourney appearances, wins/losses, and recruiting you would agree that the programs were upgraded. If you think Bruce Pearl did a better job at Tennessee than C Martin than I really can't reason with you.
But none of this matters that much, I know he will do very well at Illinois. I played bb in Chicago's SE and know the scene. C Martin played BB during my high school years, he carries a great reputation throughout the state in the neighborhood of Dee, Frank Williams, Sergio, Deon, Gill, N Anderson, etc.... He is one of the few who won state championships, had college success, played in the NBA, and has had coaching success. C Martin's connections go back to our Flying Illini, trust me he is well respected among our greatest alumni from the Flying Illini through the great Peoria teams even though he played at Purdue.
This isn't info you find at Wiki or google. No connection to any players but I have talked and shot bb with many former Illini (not going to name drop). Most of them were at UI when I went there and are from my generation. You name C Martin as the coach and I predict that the big names of Illinois and IHSA bb are going to rally around him (Bardo, Deon, Frank, Gill, N Anderson). Imagine going into Peoria, Chicago, and STL metro gyms and the coaches really want to send you their players. Still some coaches and street agents will want their agenda, but on the above board recruits we will win more than our fair share. If you look at the wins/losses at SW Missouri, Tenn, and Cal I think you are missing the bigger picture.
If you use metrics such tourney appearances, wins/losses, and recruiting you would agree that the programs were upgraded. If you think Bruce Pearl did a better job at Tennessee than C Martin than I really can't reason with you.
By what measure did Cuonzo upgrade Tennessee from Bruce Pearl? He wasn't even close to what Pearl achieved there on the court!
This is just ridiculous guys. How do you take that statement at face value?
Pearl at Tennessee: 2 sweet 16s, an E8, 2 r32s, i loss in first round, 0 misses. 1 conference championship, 146-61 (.701) and 63-31 (.677) over his time there, 6 years.
Cuonzo at Tennessee: 1 sweet 16, two tournament misses, one 2nd place conference finish, 63-41 (.606) and 32-20 (.615) in 3 years.
I'm not going to dig into recruiting rankings. It's entirely possible he recruited better than Pearl, but claiming Cuonzo was better by tourney appearances, wins/losses, etc is objectively incorrect.
The rest of your post loses all credibility to me when you start with something that is that far away from the facts. Nobody is questioning the dude's ties to the area. Literally nobody. But recruits don't matter if the talent doesn't translate to wins, and that is why people are hesitant to deem him the best coach for the job. High floor, low ceiling based on his career thus far. Guessing at what he can do locally is just conjecture.
I challenge you to give me something that supports the argument Cuonzo was better than Bruce Pearl at Tennessee, other than recruiting. Best I can do is that Cuonzo's worst overall win-loss season at UT had more conference wins.
By what measure did Cuonzo upgrade Tennessee from Bruce Pearl? He wasn't even close to what Pearl achieved there on the court!
This is just ridiculous guys. How do you take that statement at face value?
Pearl at Tennessee: 2 sweet 16s, an E8, 2 r32s, i loss in first round, 0 misses. 1 conference championship, 146-61 (.701) and 63-31 (.677) over his time there, 6 years.
Cuonzo at Tennessee: 1 sweet 16, two tournament misses, one 2nd place conference finish, 63-41 (.606) and 32-20 (.615) in 3 years.
I'm not going to dig into recruiting rankings. It's entirely possible he recruited better than Pearl, but claiming Cuonzo was better by tourney appearances, wins/losses, etc is objectively incorrect.
The rest of your post loses all credibility to me when you start with something that is that far away from the facts. Nobody is questioning the dude's ties to the area. Literally nobody. But recruits don't matter if the talent doesn't translate to wins, and that is why people are hesitant to deem him the best coach for the job. High floor, low ceiling based on his career thus far. Guessing at what he can do locally is just conjecture.
I challenge you to give me something that supports the argument Cuonzo was better than Bruce Pearl at Tennessee, other than recruiting. Best I can do is that Cuonzo's worst overall win-loss season at UT had more conference wins.
What are the chances Martin offering Smith might be related to the Mizzou's probable opening and not Illinois?
I suspect that Martin probably takes either Missouri or Illinois depending on what is available. But either way, he would benefit from recruiting Smith.
How about Anthony Grant and he brings along John Pelphrey as an associate head coach?
Not so much. Offensively, Morgan>freshman Tilmon all day. Malcolm's production speaks for itself. This will be hard to replace. However I think it's definitely fair to say Tilmon will be a major improvement over Mav defensively and we'll see flashes of Tilmon's upside playing in transition. Mav & especially big Mike can't play in transition. Our team will have better athletes that will eventually translate to better defense but it's going to take time.
Pearl is a good coach but I think he is on his way out at Auburn he is 14-33 in 3 years in the conference which other then Kentucky and Florida isn't that great. If they don't make the tourney this year he might get one more year to make the tourney next year then get fired.
This Board would really be disappointed to see him fail.
So is everyone under the same impression that the 3-4 candidates are Martin, Keatts, Archie Miller and Monty Williams? Any other names coming out anywhere?
I've said this too, but maybe the Sweet 16 is a high ceiling for us right now. It certainly feels that way.
I'm not anti-Cuonzo, and would be perfectly content with him were he to replace Groce, the one thing that offsets his deficiencies in my mind is that he's still young (relative to coaches). But he's not perfect, and he shouldn't be cast as such. His perceived floor (no guarantee anything translates for any of our candidates, as has been said) would certainly be very welcome :thumb:
He should certainly be in our top 5 candidates. Where he falls there is a philosophical debate, as has been my stance for like, 100 pages
Bigger salary, midwest roots, Cal athletic department is in bad shape, bad sports town
So is everyone under the same impression that the 3-4 candidates are Martin, Keatts, Archie Miller and Monty Williams? Any other names coming out anywhere?