2017 Coaching Carousel

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#4,876      
For those of you in the know would Smith commit if Whitman said Groce will be retained? I am just curious what the thoughts are. Hopefully the new coach, if there is one can keep the class and get Smith, he is very good!
 
#4,877      
You're right, you probably don't need a 9 game streak, but I feel fairly confident saying we need at least two BTT wins regardless. The reality is even with a win streak, we have zero wins over locked in tournament teams right now. Northwestern of course being the closest to a lock of anyone we've beat, I think they're in, even if S&C swears they'll choke.

(I hope they make it, don't @ me)

We have to get some good wins at some point. I don't like citing RPI, it's well documented you can schedule yourself into a top 50 RPI basically independent of the win-loss record, and we seem to have successfully done that. It was discussed when the schedule was announced that that was basically what the staff had done. But for all you 'eye-test' fans, if we go into the bubble with all of our wins in conference against the bottom of the B1G, you still have to find a way to collect either a good win, or a lot of wins, and regardless we probably need two BTT wins, IMO.


The RPI is an outdated resource for sure and hopefully the committee ditches it for more advanced models next year. Our resume is light on quality wins with just VCU and @ Northwestern, but it doesn't have a bad losses either.
 
#4,878      

mattcoldagelli

The Transfer Portal with Do Not Contact Tag
For those of you in the know would Smith commit if Whitman said Groce will be retained? I am just curious what the thoughts are. Hopefully the new coach, if there is one can keep the class and get Smith, he is very good!

I don't think Groce is leading Mark Smith's "pro" column for reasons to come to Illinois, tbh.

This might be overstating it, but New Coach X probably actually has a better shot at him.
 
#4,879      
I would trade all these recruits for Cuonzo without hesitation, they're always overhyped and players come and go. We need a rock solid leader. I want to watch defense minded hard fought winning basketball. I'm tired of watching uninspired play. Keady said in all his years at Purdue Cuonzo was his best leader. He's a winner we'd be lucky to have him.
 
#4,880      
Not sure it's significantly better. For next year you really only expect to get contributions from Tilmon and Frazier as Williams is rehabbing an ACL and Pickett is not likely ready. Do those 2 replace what you lost from Hill and Mav? Doubtful, IMO. Tilmon might be better on D, but freshmen tend to struggle with fouls. Frazier isn't going to come close to replacing Hill's production. Can probably also count on some improvement from Lucas and Nichols.

Longer term probably depends on how long Tilmon stays, how good Williams is and if you can add another guy like Smith.


Getting significantly better talent and better production don't have to be mutually exclusive, especially when you are comparing incoming freshmen to outgoing seniors. However, with what Kipper has show and Finke is doing, I don't believe we will be any worse for wear next year over this year from a talent standpoint. Some positives are Lucas will clearly be an upgrade as a sophomore over what we have done this year at the point overall. Finke will be better, Nichols is showing he is good, Black will be better and JCL should be better. I think you get enough improvement from the existing parts to be as good. Looking forward to starting lineup of Lucas, Coleman-Lands, Nichols, Black and Finke, with Frazier, Jordan, DJ Williams and Tilmon as the second group. Of course that is considering DJ stays, and Mark Smith could certainly step into that second group, as well.
 
#4,881      
If Illinois hires Cuonzo and is able to bring Smith to Illinois, I really don't think next year's squad is worse. I think we could win with the athleticism. Also, I feel like the seniors have a tendency to slow down ball movement(except for Mav)
 
#4,882      
If you use metrics such tourney appearances, wins/losses, and recruiting you would agree that the programs were upgraded. If you think Bruce Pearl did a better job at Tennessee than C Martin than I really can't reason with you.

But none of this matters that much, I know he will do very well at Illinois. I played bb in Chicago's SE and know the scene. C Martin played BB during my high school years, he carries a great reputation throughout the state in the neighborhood of Dee, Frank Williams, Sergio, Deon, Gill, N Anderson, etc.... He is one of the few who won state championships, had college success, played in the NBA, and has had coaching success. C Martin's connections go back to our Flying Illini, trust me he is well respected among our greatest alumni from the Flying Illini through the great Peoria teams even though he played at Purdue.

This isn't info you find at Wiki or google. No connection to any players but I have talked and shot bb with many former Illini (not going to name drop). Most of them were at UI when I went there and are from my generation. You name C Martin as the coach and I predict that the big names of Illinois and IHSA bb are going to rally around him (Bardo, Deon, Frank, Gill, N Anderson). Imagine going into Peoria, Chicago, and STL metro gyms and the coaches really want to send you their players. Still some coaches and street agents will want their agenda, but on the above board recruits we will win more than our fair share. If you look at the wins/losses at SW Missouri, Tenn, and Cal I think you are missing the bigger picture.

Thanks for sharing. Cuonzo seems like such a natural fit. I don't think it should be understated how important it is to walk into a situation with the odds stacked in your favor. When you hit the ground running and carry that early momentum it can really advance a program to new heights.
 
#4,883      
Regarding M Smith, I believe he wants to come to Illinois. But the coaching uncertainty has made him cautious. I think if TJL had the same type of success and showcased Groce offense early it would work in Groce's favor. But right now I agree, I don't think Groce is in the "pro" column.

Landing C Martin would be more than any recruit. That being said, I believe he will retain the recruits and most current players. His Cal teams have been pretty athletic, I believe that is one of the quick repair items we will see.
 
#4,884      
If you use metrics such tourney appearances, wins/losses, and recruiting you would agree that the programs were upgraded. If you think Bruce Pearl did a better job at Tennessee than C Martin than I really can't reason with you.

By what measure did Cuonzo upgrade Tennessee from Bruce Pearl? He wasn't even close to what Pearl achieved there on the court!

This is just ridiculous guys. How do you take that statement at face value?

Pearl at Tennessee: 2 sweet 16s, an E8, 2 r32s, i loss in first round, 0 misses. 1 conference championship, 146-61 (.701) and 63-31 (.677) over his time there, 6 years.

Cuonzo at Tennessee: 1 sweet 16, two tournament misses, one 2nd place conference finish, 63-41 (.606) and 32-20 (.615) in 3 years.

I'm not going to dig into recruiting rankings. It's entirely possible he recruited better than Pearl, but claiming Cuonzo was better by tourney appearances, wins/losses, etc is objectively incorrect.

The rest of your post loses all credibility to me when you start with something that is that far away from the facts. Nobody is questioning the dude's ties to the area. Literally nobody. But recruits don't matter if the talent doesn't translate to wins, and that is why people are hesitant to deem him the best coach for the job. High floor, low ceiling based on his career thus far. Guessing at what he can do locally is just conjecture.

I challenge you to give me something that supports the argument Cuonzo was better than Bruce Pearl at Tennessee, other than recruiting. Best I can do is that Cuonzo's worst overall win-loss season at UT had more conference wins.
 
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#4,886      
By what measure did Cuonzo upgrade Tennessee from Bruce Pearl? He wasn't even close to what Pearl achieved there on the court!

This is just ridiculous guys. How do you take that statement at face value?

Pearl at Tennessee: 2 sweet 16s, an E8, 2 r32s, i loss in first round, 0 misses. 1 conference championship, 146-61 (.701) and 63-31 (.677) over his time there, 6 years.

Cuonzo at Tennessee: 1 sweet 16, two tournament misses, one 2nd place conference finish, 63-41 (.606) and 32-20 (.615) in 3 years.

I'm not going to dig into recruiting rankings. It's entirely possible he recruited better than Pearl, but claiming Cuonzo was better by tourney appearances, wins/losses, etc is objectively incorrect.

The rest of your post loses all credibility to me when you start with something that is that far away from the facts. Nobody is questioning the dude's ties to the area. Literally nobody. But recruits don't matter if the talent doesn't translate to wins, and that is why people are hesitant to deem him the best coach for the job. High floor, low ceiling based on his career thus far. Guessing at what he can do locally is just conjecture.

I challenge you to give me something that supports the argument Cuonzo was better than Bruce Pearl at Tennessee, other than recruiting. Best I can do is that Cuonzo's worst overall win-loss season at UT had more conference wins.







It's hard to compare Cuonzo to Pearl at Tennessee as he was only there for 3 years. One thing you can't deny is that his teams got better every year and he recruited better every year. If we can't get Archie Miller I think Martin would be a great consolation prize a lot better then Groce 5 years ago.
 
#4,887      
Pearl is a good coach but I think he is on his way out at Auburn he is 14-33 in 3 years in the conference which other then Kentucky and Florida isn't that great. If they don't make the tourney this year he might get one more year to make the tourney next year then get fired.
 
#4,888      

JJE

Bethalto, IL
What are the chances Martin offering Smith might be related to the Mizzou's probable opening and not Illinois?
 
#4,889      

EJ33

San Francisco
By what measure did Cuonzo upgrade Tennessee from Bruce Pearl? He wasn't even close to what Pearl achieved there on the court!

This is just ridiculous guys. How do you take that statement at face value?

Pearl at Tennessee: 2 sweet 16s, an E8, 2 r32s, i loss in first round, 0 misses. 1 conference championship, 146-61 (.701) and 63-31 (.677) over his time there, 6 years.

Cuonzo at Tennessee: 1 sweet 16, two tournament misses, one 2nd place conference finish, 63-41 (.606) and 32-20 (.615) in 3 years.

I'm not going to dig into recruiting rankings. It's entirely possible he recruited better than Pearl, but claiming Cuonzo was better by tourney appearances, wins/losses, etc is objectively incorrect.

The rest of your post loses all credibility to me when you start with something that is that far away from the facts. Nobody is questioning the dude's ties to the area. Literally nobody. But recruits don't matter if the talent doesn't translate to wins, and that is why people are hesitant to deem him the best coach for the job. High floor, low ceiling based on his career thus far. Guessing at what he can do locally is just conjecture.

I challenge you to give me something that supports the argument Cuonzo was better than Bruce Pearl at Tennessee, other than recruiting. Best I can do is that Cuonzo's worst overall win-loss season at UT had more conference wins.

I've said this too, but maybe the Sweet 16 is a high ceiling for us right now. It certainly feels that way.

When's the last time you wondered "where will we be ranked this week," or "I wonder if we'll be a 4 or 5 seed," or "who do we need to beat to win the B1G?" It's been a long time. I would be thrilled to get back to Top 25ish teams that look like they have a chance to beat some people in the tournament. I have no doubt Martin can do that on a somewhat regular basis. He'll then put himself in a position to land the elite Illinois recruits we'd need to get to the next level. That's how Henson did it.
 
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#4,890      
What are the chances Martin offering Smith might be related to the Mizzou's probable opening and not Illinois?

I suspect that Martin probably takes either Missouri or Illinois depending on what is available. But either way, he would benefit from recruiting Smith.

How about Anthony Grant and he brings along John Pelphrey as an associate head coach?
 
#4,891      
I suspect that Martin probably takes either Missouri or Illinois depending on what is available. But either way, he would benefit from recruiting Smith.

How about Anthony Grant and he brings along John Pelphrey as an associate head coach?







I'd take Cuonzo over Grant he was terrible at Alabama after a good start he reminds me of Groce. I'd take Keatts over Grant as well.
 
#4,892      
Not so much. Offensively, Morgan>freshman Tilmon all day. Malcolm's production speaks for itself. This will be hard to replace. However I think it's definitely fair to say Tilmon will be a major improvement over Mav defensively and we'll see flashes of Tilmon's upside playing in transition. Mav & especially big Mike can't play in transition. Our team will have better athletes that will eventually translate to better defense but it's going to take time.

Do not believe the parts will be better at the start of the season but believe having TJL and TF at point will solve the loss of points from MH and MM. Just hope we have an uptempo coach to take advantage of faster players.
 
#4,893      
Pearl is a good coach but I think he is on his way out at Auburn he is 14-33 in 3 years in the conference which other then Kentucky and Florida isn't that great. If they don't make the tourney this year he might get one more year to make the tourney next year then get fired.

This Board would really be disappointed to see him fail. ;)
 
#4,894      
So is everyone under the same impression that the 3-4 candidates are Martin, Keatts, Archie Miller and Monty Williams? Any other names coming out anywhere?
 
#4,895      
How likely is Martin Cuonzo to leave? Isn't he having success? Why would he leave there to come to Illinois?
 
#4,898      
I've said this too, but maybe the Sweet 16 is a high ceiling for us right now. It certainly feels that way.

I'm not anti-Cuonzo, and would be perfectly content with him were he to replace Groce, the one thing that offsets his deficiencies in my mind is that he's still young (relative to coaches). But he's not perfect, and he shouldn't be cast as such. His perceived floor (no guarantee anything translates for any of our candidates, as has been said) would certainly be very welcome :thumb:

He should certainly be in our top 5 candidates. Where he falls there is a philosophical debate, as has been my stance for like, 100 pages ;)
 
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#4,899      
I'm not anti-Cuonzo, and would be perfectly content with him were he to replace Groce, the one thing that offsets his deficiencies in my mind is that he's still young (relative to coaches). But he's not perfect, and he shouldn't be cast as such. His perceived floor (no guarantee anything translates for any of our candidates, as has been said) would certainly be very welcome :thumb:

He should certainly be in our top 5 candidates. Where he falls there is a philosophical debate, as has been my stance for like, 100 pages ;)



Bigger salary, midwest roots, Cal athletic department is in bad shape, bad sports town









So who are your top 5 candidates?
 
#4,900      
So is everyone under the same impression that the 3-4 candidates are Martin, Keatts, Archie Miller and Monty Williams? Any other names coming out anywhere?

Hopefully not Keatts. I think I provided enough evidence to support Keatts being a poor defensive head coach. If his superior talent in the CAA cannot slow down those team's defenses, then he has no shot in the B10. Even Groce's team's defense this year is better than what Keatts brings to the table. His offense will get exposed by better coaching. It's really not that hard to figure out. Unless he has a Lonzo Ball clone playing for him, his scheme will get exposed in the B10.
 
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