Easy to talk about that though. We had four big ten road games against tourney teams where we lost in the last minute. We did not have the best luck this year but that happens
Illinois had incredible luck this year.
They played the easiest possible Big 10 schedule. Still only went 11-9.
They had incredible comebacks not seen hardly ever:
18 points at the half vs NW
15 points 2nd half vs UCLA
9 points 2nd half vs MSU
7 points final 2 minutes vs MI
5 points final minute vs Texas
If just one of those games goes the other way (and these were all 95+% Win Prob Against games) they are out of the tourney.
This has not been a good season. It’s very similar to Lovie’s bowl season.
I’m guessing 2-11 vs Quad 1s will be the weakest at large birth ever