Illini in the Pros (Football)

#326      
Had Claude take the teams on this list and compare it to the 247 talent composite rankings over the past 5 years to find who’s overachieved in NFL development relative to recruiting talent and who’s underachieved.

Claude then plotted each team out on a chart to highlight a curve of how many NFL players each team developed vs their expected number of players based on their talent rankings.

Here’s the chart:

Screenshot 2026-09-02 at 1.40.45 PM.png


Here’s the overperformers with how many additional NFL players they developed vs their expected:

Screenshot 2026-09-02 at 1.41.00 PM.png


And here’s the underperformers

Screenshot 2026-09-02 at 1.41.08 PM.png


A couple of notes:

1. You can see why programs like Michigan, Ohio St, and Oregon have done so well over the past few years. Not only do they recruit great players, but they develop them at a higher rate relative to their peers too.

2. The SEC is greatly overhyped. 40% of the top the top 10 underperformers come from the SEC. And the big problem with this: the recruiting rankings that overhype SEC recruits are used in the advanced metrics to determine effeciency, SOS, etc.

3. Illinois is #2 in the country at developing NFL players relative to their recruiting rankings!

4. This was done by AI. There very well might be mistakes. Apologies in advance.
 
#327      
degenerative knee cartilage sounds bad. not an orthopedic guy, and I'm sure there are myriad varieties (with myriad severities), but no bueno. really glad this came after he signed his contract
Sounds like osteoarthritis like millions of Americans. Quite early but with the wear and tear of a professional athlete I guess it makes sense.
 
#328      
Had Claude take the teams on this list and compare it to the 247 talent composite rankings over the past 5 years to find who’s overachieved in NFL development relative to recruiting talent and who’s underachieved.

Claude then plotted each team out on a chart to highlight a curve of how many NFL players each team developed vs their expected number of players based on their talent rankings.

Here’s the chart:

View attachment 51417

Here’s the overperformers with how many additional NFL players they developed vs their expected:

View attachment 51418

And here’s the underperformers

View attachment 51419

A couple of notes:

1. You can see why programs like Michigan, Ohio St, and Oregon have done so well over the past few years. Not only do they recruit great players, but they develop them at a higher rate relative to their peers too.

2. The SEC is greatly overhyped. 40% of the top the top 10 underperformers come from the SEC. And the big problem with this: the recruiting rankings that overhype SEC recruits are used in the advanced metrics to determine effeciency, SOS, etc.

3. Illinois is #2 in the country at developing NFL players relative to their recruiting rankings!

4. This was done by AI. There very well might be mistakes. Apologies in advance.
This is amazing...great work! It would be interesting to see how records correspond with a) recruiting rankings and b) players put in the league
 
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