Say Cuonzo ends up being our guy. If for whatever reason he isn't able to recruit as well as we think he can, we're essentially left with an above average coach x's and o's coach at best, right? Is that fair? The guys a fantastic fit, no doubt. Seems like his recruiting history ranges from "grand slam" to "underwhelming" and that just seems like such a hit or miss hire.
I think if he can't recruit Chicago, we essential are getting Weber 2.0 minus the personality. Weber is probably a better coach than Martin, but there's a lot of similarities in their coaching style (for obvious reasons).
He's had some really good success recruiting 5 star guys, especially at Cal, considering they aren't a top 5 West Coast school. i find it hard to believe he's gonna be a worse recruiter than Groce. He'll essentially lock down the state from Peoria on South. He's gonna be just fine in the recruiting area, but the real question is will it be enough. I think you'll notice, blue bloods aside, great coaches get shafted by recruits constantly (look no further than Indiana's 2017 recruiting class--theres about 5 names that shoulda and coulda been on that list but aren't). There's always gonna be grand slams and wiffs, the important part about recruiting is never letting a quality player go just because a 5* may pick you 3 months later. That is the only issue Groce has had. His recruiting failures would've been much more muted if he would've gotten a TJL two or three years ago and stopped pining over a Juwan Evans for as long as he did. A junior TJL is no top 25 recruit, but its better than what we have now. Roster balance is often overlooked and while not necesary, can really make or break a year--see our lack of true PG and C talent (though I cant complain about Mav, its crazy to think we have 1 true center on next years roster--a freshman).
Martin's biggest question mark is how high his ceiling will be. His floor is probably Groce's ceiling, which is good, but if he can't make it to the second weekend and deeper-- what's the point in traded up? I think, after our plan A home run hits, Martin is a quality choice. Maybe not the best choice, but by far the safest--like so far its not even in the same area code.
The question for JW is do you trust Martin can take the next step here (if its anywhere its gonna be a MW school), or do you roll the dice?