2017 Coaching Carousel

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#5,726      
John Groce is a terrible basketball coach and has proven it over the last 5 years. Therefore, he must be fired and replaced.

Exactly. I'm shocked anyone who watches this team thinks anything different-.
 
#5,727      

UofI08

Chicago
Mark Gottfried won't even be considered for our opening, and rightfully so. Compare his resume to John Groce. They aren't even close. That's how bad John Groce has been.
 
#5,728      
Actually it is a binary decision.

1. John Groce is a terrible basketball coach and has proven it over the last 5 years.

2. Therefore, he must be fired and replaced.

I have no idea if that fits into the "binary" definition. But this decision is obvious.

I do not disagree with #1, what I am saying is that there is a though process before you can answer #2. Two wrongs don't make a right, if I were tell you that you lose Tilmon and Frazier, and we settle for another Mid-major, do you make that move? To me that is not as appealing and being set back another 5 years with a bad hire and no players. To me I would get the players in (more attractive to a coach) and try to make adjustments with assistants, etc.

In the end i think the actual answer to #2 (as I stated in my original post) is that Whitman comes to the conclusion of #2 because is his able to find a better replacement that he has more confidence in. This is what I want to happen.

My point is that everyone is so extreme in that he MUST be fired, or he MUST stay to retain the class. I am saying there is more that goes into the process. IMO if Groce is retained it is not b/c Whitman thinks he needs another year its because of what I say (can't pull a decent hire and recruits will leave)

I am very much pro firing Groce, and I expect him to be fired and a quality hire to be already agreed to come on when that happens. But just blindly firing w/o understanding the flip side is how MT operated and that got us 2 sub-par head coaches.
 
#5,730      

UofI08

Chicago
I do not disagree with #1, what I am saying is that there is a though process before you can answer #2. Two wrongs don't make a right, if I were tell you that you lose Tilmon and Frazier, and we settle for another Mid-major, do you make that move? To me that is not as appealing and being set back another 5 years with a bad hire and no players. To me I would get the players in (more attractive to a coach) and try to make adjustments with assistants, etc.

In the end i think the actual answer to #2 (as I stated in my original post) is that Whitman comes to the conclusion of #2 because is his able to find a better replacement that he has more confidence in. This is what I want to happen.

My point is that everyone is so extreme in that he MUST be fired, or he MUST stay to retain the class. I am saying there is more that goes into the process. IMO if Groce is retained it is not b/c Whitman thinks he needs another year its because of what I say (can't pull a decent hire and recruits will leave)

I am very much pro firing Groce, and I expect him to be fired and a quality hire to be already agreed to come on when that happens. But just blindly firing w/o understanding the flip side is how MT operated and that got us 2 sub-par head coaches.

You're missing the point that the true WRONG is Groce. He's a bad coach. He's had terrible results and ample time.

To answer your questions, yes I fire Groce and don't think twice about losing Tilmon and Frazier. I'd really like for you to find an example of a coach that gets NO players. Yet to see that happen.

Also, since you're bring up keeping recruits, what about keeping the actual players on the team? There's probably a better chance of losing multiple players than losing multiple recruits if we keep Groce. Do you think Williams and Jordan are happy as bench warmers for a terrible team? (While also arguably 2 of the top 3 most athletic players on the team)

It's a simple decision. Groce is a terrible coach so he will be replaced. It's JW's job to find a good replacement.
 
#5,731      
Honestly, Groce's first year coaching at Illinois charmed me for a long time. I couldn't help but think that maybe we struck gold because he took a team that was atrocious under Weber and got them to play hard and win an NCAA tournament game. And then I watched his post game speech after losing to Miami and I was enamored with how inspirational it was. I genuinely thought we had found the right coach for Illinois basketball. Unfortunately, this and injuries and some tough losses in recruiting made me think that most of our lack of success was bad luck. But throughout the last 4 seasons the one thing that I couldn't justify was why we constantly looked loss on offense and defense (especially come Big Ten time). I think we've all come to realize that Groce is a great guy, a very good speaker, a good recruiter, but a lousy coach. I coach high school basketball and another coach I respect went to a coaching clinic on offense that Groce led and they said they walked away confused and overwhelmed by his statistics and explanations. They honestly had no idea what he actually runs on offense after an hour and half explanation. To me, this sums up our current situation perfectly.
 
#5,732      
Why would they fire him for one bad year? NC State has made it to the dance the last 4 out of 5 years . They'll miss it this year, but he can recruit, he obviously can coach, so I don't get it. The Tarheels beat them badly in both meetings this year, but that doesn't warrant termination, IMO.

They were 16-17 last year
14-13 and fading badly this year

Yes, he made the tournament the previous 4 seasons but the seeds were 8,8,11,12. So not exactly high quality results. He did make 2 S16s, but those were assisted by upsets giving them an easier path.
 
#5,733      

ILL in IA

Iowa City
Why would they fire him for one bad year? NC State has made it to the dance the last 4 out of 5 years . They'll miss it this year, but he can recruit, he obviously can coach, so I don't get it. The Tarheels beat them badly in both meetings this year, but that doesn't warrant termination, IMO.
It doesn't help when your sitting down the road from Duke and UNC. This isn't a true apples to apples, but would Groce have been gone sooner had Northwester and Illinois State been rolling into tournament after tournament the past 3 years. Other teams near by success changes expectations a little bit.
 
#5,734      
I miss the good ole days when people had "sources" that were hearing things.... Right or wrong, it was at least interesting and kept me excited. I'll be honest, there isn't one coach that I've heard other than Bennett or Donavon that remotely gets me excited. Not one. Greg Marshall would be an absolute disaster! A fan base and media that complains about 8pm starts and Groce throwing a coat is going to put up with him going absolutely bonkers? On top of that, you could kiss any big time recruits bye bye....They won't play for him.
 
#5,735      
I miss the good ole days when people had "sources" that were hearing things.... Right or wrong, it was at least interesting and kept me excited. I'll be honest, there isn't one coach that I've heard other than Bennett or Donavon that remotely gets me excited. Not one. Greg Marshall would be an absolute disaster! A fan base and media that complains about 8pm starts and Groce throwing a coat is going to put up with him going absolutely bonkers? On top of that, you could kiss any big time recruits bye bye....They won't play for him.

Does Groce for additional year(s) excite you more than any of the other names? If so, :confused:
 
#5,737      
I feel like someone like Mick Cronin is far more realistic than we might think. Yes he's getting paid north of 2 mil a year and he's from Cincinnati. But that conference is kind of a mess. I could see him wanting the stability and prestige of the B1G.

Health issues, alma mater, I don't see why he comes here.

Nope... not at all. But....nobody does anything for me. It's depressing. I feel like we're sunk any way we go honestly.

Well, no, we're not.
 
#5,738      

89illinigrad

Chicago
I really, really think that a lot of the people saying maybe Groce should get another year were born after 1990 and/or didn't become fans until at least late last decade. WE ARE ILLINOIS BASKETBALL! We're a top-15 all-time program. From the mid 1980s to the mid '00s we were one of the 8-10 most prestigious and successful teams in America. My entire life, from 1981 until a few years after I graduated from UIUC in '04, we were nationally relevant every season. 3 out of every 4 years we were ranked and a single-digit tournament seed. A Sweet 16 appearance was merely an okay year. We were in a group of programs just below the blue bloods--along with Arizona, Syracuse, Michigan State, et al--expected to compete for Elite 8 berths just about every year. We had the nation's longest home winning streak at one point. We were a borderline dominant team for the better part of two decades.

It's one thing to see the records and statistics on paper, but those of us who grew up with the Flying Illini and Lon and Self's teams feel the expectation of greatness in our bones. We should be in the tournament 8-9 out of 10 years. We should compete for Big Ten championships and Final Fours. We should pull in top-20 recruiting classes almost every year. Illinois basketball is a storied program. The fact that many fans have been throttled into accepting mediocrity is maddening. The fact that we're alternately a joke and an afterthought in the national conversation feels like some kind of alternate universe.

I like and respect Groce as a man, but he's gone as soon as the season ends and rightfully so. I feel confident that Josh Whitman has the same expectations for the program as I do: we should be invincible at home, in the tournament constantly, and in the national media cycle on a weekly basis during the season. People should talk about us like they talk about Arizona. That's where we come from. That's where we belong.

Greg, if you were born in 1981, you didn't truly live Illini basketball in the 1980's, which was probably the most frustrating stretch in Illini basketball history. It started with having to face Kentucky in the EE in 1984 in Kentucky and losing on a phantom foul on Douglas.

Then, with everyone returning in 1985, expectations were high for another deep tourney run and we fizzled out in the Sweet 16.

That was followed by 3 years of not making it past the second round, including a first round loss to Austin Peay in 1987.

We finally put it all together in 1989, only to lose to Michigan in the FF on a last second put back off a rebound that Nick Anderson should have gotten.

Then, when things were finally looking up for us, Bruce Pearl and NCAA sanction happened which effectively submarined the rest of Henson's career.

So, basically, we had a lot of talent coming through our system in the 1980's and ended up with 1 BIG title and 1 FF to show for it.

I think a lot of the younger Illini fans only remember the stretch of the Self years and the first 2-3 years of Weber, where we won the BIG title 4 out of 5 years and made two Sweet 16's, one EE and the National Championship.

That was probably the greatest 5 years in Illini Basketball history and everybody who grew up watching that is expecting that every year, which is probably unrealistic.

I think that we should expect something in between Henson and the Self/early Weber years.

BTW, I think that many people who are against Cuonzo, think he might be like Henson and pull in lots of talent, but not always get the most out of them.

Whereas, people who like Keatts, probably think he could be the next Self.
 
#5,739      

mattcoldagelli

The Transfer Portal with Do Not Contact Tag
Nope... not at all. But....nobody does anything for me. It's depressing. I feel like we're sunk any way we go honestly.

The only possible way to feel this way is to be totally divorced from the reality of how bad Groce has actually been.
 
#5,740      

KrushCow31

Former Krush Cow
Chicago, IL
No way, man. That age bracket either has apathetic fans due to lack of success in the program from HS and on, or people who want Groce out for ruining their undergrad. The former group isn't going to be posting on IL. There's a group in that age bracket as well that grew up as die-hards, and the vast majority of die-hards want him out as well.

The only remaining "maybe one more year" guys are just a distant minority from all over the place.

I started at Illinois in 2009. I've seen 3 seasons since I started. I was initially really excited when Groce was hired just like everyone else and all my friends were too. I do not know a single person in my age group that wants to keep Groce.
 
#5,741      
Even "worst recruiter ever" Bruce Weber brought in 3 comparable classes to what we have coming in next year. We should basically be bringing in a top 15/20 class 3 of every 4 years. Class like like next year's should be the expectation and not one put on a pedestal.
Weber's last five classes:
2012: no players
2011: Abrams, Egwu, and a bunch of sludge
2010: C. Head, J. Richmond, and M. Leonard
2009: Brandon Paul, D.J. Richardson, Joe Bertrand, and Tyler Griffey
2008: Stan Simpson and Dominique Keller
 
#5,742      

skyIdub

Winged Warrior
It's funny how you can try so hard to rationalize so much when you like someone or are afraid of a big change. It was pretty unanimous that it was NCAA Tournament or gone for Groce before the season started. I like Groce as well...the person, his morals and his work ethic....but even I agreed it was NCAA or bust this year.
So here we are not only not going to the Dance, but staring at the possibility of not even getting an NIT invite? Maybe? Think about that for a minute or two.
Just stop considering Groce sticking around because of one 5 Star recruit. No disrespect to Tilmon.....and I truly hope he will still honor his commitment to this program....but one 5 star recruit is not going to change the direction of this staff next year.
The 2017 class is fantastic, and a great opportunity to turn this program back on track. That class deserves a coaching staff and a program that has nothing chained to their neck like the massive ball Groce would have IF for some ridiculous reason JW thought that was a positive situation to go forward with.

It's not. Frankly I believe that Tilmon and Frazier and the rest of that class will understand this as well. It's time to Flip This House. :ah:
 
#5,743      

89illinigrad

Chicago
Right there with you. I think Cuonzo is a good hire. I think Keatts has tons of potential but would be a risky and almost scary hire.
Neither is a "home run" hire, which is why the fan base is not 100℅ behind either of them.

Sent from my MotoE2(4G-LTE) using Tapatalk
 
#5,744      
Weber's last five classes:
2012: no players
2011: Abrams, Egwu, and a bunch of sludge
2010: C. Head, J. Richmond, and M. Leonard
2009: Brandon Paul, D.J. Richardson, Joe Bertrand, and Tyler Griffey
2008: Stan Simpson and Dominique Keller

2011 class ranked 13 ( the "sludge" included our 2 highest ranked players in Shaw and Henry)
2010 class ranked 7
2009 class ranked 16

Next year's class pretty comparable. Obviously a lot of these players didn't work out, but no guarantee the next class will either.
 
#5,745      
Greg, if you were born in 1981, you didn't truly live Illini basketball in the 1980's, which was probably the most frustrating stretch in Illini basketball history. It started with having to face Kentucky in the EE in 1984 in Kentucky and losing on a phantom foul on Douglas.

Then, with everyone returning in 1985, expectations were high for another deep tourney run and we fizzled out in the Sweet 16.

That was followed by 3 years of not making it past the second round, including a first round loss to Austin Peay in 1987.

We finally put it all together in 1989, only to lose to Michigan in the FF on a last second put back off a rebound that Nick Anderson should have gotten.

Then, when things were finally looking up for us, Bruce Pearl and NCAA sanction happened which effectively submarined the rest of Henson's career.

So, basically, we had a lot of talent coming through our system in the 1980's and ended up with 1 BIG title and 1 FF to show for it.

I think a lot of the younger Illini fans only remember the stretch of the Self years and the first 2-3 years of Weber, where we won the BIG title 4 out of 5 years and made two Sweet 16's, one EE and the National Championship.

That was probably the greatest 5 years in Illini Basketball history and everybody who grew up watching that is expecting that every year, which is probably unrealistic.

I think that we should expect something in between Henson and the Self/early Weber years.

BTW, I think that many people who are against Cuonzo, think he might be like Henson and pull in lots of talent, but not always get the most out of them.

Whereas, people who like Keatts, probably think he could be the next Self.

I agree with your points. I don't expect to be at the '01-'06 level constantly. I do expect to make the tournament almost every year and challenge for B1G titles and deep tourney runs at least a few times per decade. Making a S16 every three years or so and an E8 twice per decade would be great. That's basically where Henson was at.

If every 15-20 years we peak the way we did in the early 2000s, beating blue bloods, winning conference titles, and making F4 runs for a few seasons, that would be wonderful. I'm fine with tumbling back to earth after an unsustainable, transcendent stretch...provided "earth" means 20-25 wins, a top-6 conference finish, and a 7 or 8 seed. That should be the floor. Of course there will be the occasional season where we lose 4-5 key players from the previous year, struggle with injuries, and finish 8-10 in conference and on the wrong side of the bubble. That's totally acceptable once every seven or eight years.
 
#5,746      

eMitch

Quincy, IL
Greg, if you were born in 1981, you didn't truly live Illini basketball in the 1980's, which was probably the most frustrating stretch in Illini basketball history. It started with having to face Kentucky in the EE in 1984 in Kentucky and losing on a phantom foul on Douglas.

Then, with everyone returning in 1985, expectations were high for another deep tourney run and we fizzled out in the Sweet 16.

That was followed by 3 years of not making it past the second round, including a first round loss to Austin Peay in 1987.

We finally put it all together in 1989, only to lose to Michigan in the FF on a last second put back off a rebound that Nick Anderson should have gotten.

Then, when things were finally looking up for us, Bruce Pearl and NCAA sanction happened which effectively submarined the rest of Henson's career.

So, basically, we had a lot of talent coming through our system in the 1980's and ended up with 1 BIG title and 1 FF to show for it.

I was at ISU during those years. I still remember me and my roommate jumping around the living room pouring beer on each others head after Nick Anderson hit the buzzer beater at Indiana.

Plenty of good times but I can't name a single person who thought Henson was good coach at the time. They all thought he was a good guy, but he took a ton of blame for not living up to expectations.
 
#5,747      

robertgoulet

IL Board Resident Crooner
Austin, TX
I agree with your points. I don't expect to be at the '01-'06 level constantly. I do expect to make the tournament almost every year and challenge for B1G titles and deep tourney runs at least a few times per decade. Making a S16 every three years or so and an E8 twice per decade would be great. That's basically where Henson was at.

If every 15-20 years we peak the way we did in the early 2000s, beating blue bloods, winning conference titles, and making F4 runs for a few seasons, that would be wonderful. I'm fine with tumbling back to earth after an unsustainable, transcendent stretch...provided "earth" means 20-25 wins, a top-6 conference finish, and a 7 or 8 seed. That should be the floor. Of course there will be the occasional season where we lose 4-5 key players from the previous year, struggle with injuries, and finish 8-10 in conference and on the wrong side of the bubble. That's totally acceptable once every seven or eight years.

I agree with this for the most part. Fluctuating between a Top 15 and ORV (4-8 seed) should be the norm. Then you have your peaks and valleys off of that.
 
#5,748      
I think the Keatts/Self comparisons are somewhat overblown. In terms of college head coaching experience, Self had 4 seasons at Oral Roberts and 3 at Tulsa before coming to Illinois. UCNW is not even a mid-major, it's a legit, one-bid against a top 3 seed, low major. That's a huge jump from that to B1G. People realized that Self was an up-and-comer, but he would probably admit that the Tulsa step really helped his development. That mid-major step can be huge. Also, a small uptick in talent and game experience can give you a better shot at winning a game or 2 in the tourney and improving your coaching resume even more. I'd be very surprised to see UNCW win a game in the tourney.

Keatts' year 2 UNCW squad played Duke last year, a team that made the E8, and covered the spread against them. Obviously you want wins, but he still outperformed expectations against a really strong Duke team just last year.

I started at Illinois in 2009. I've seen 3 seasons since I started. I was initially really excited when Groce was hired just like everyone else and all my friends were too. I do not know a single person in my age group that wants to keep Groce.

I fall squarely in that age group of 90's folk, and while I think some folks' expectations are slightly over the top, I find it irrefutable that Groce is not the guy. He's not meeting expectations for ANY P5 program (maybe a few true bottom feeders), let alone ours. I wanted Groce out after last season. He's done nothing to indicate he's even a middling P5 coach. If he were even that, we'd probably get to wait another two years for this conversation. But he's already one of (probably THE) worst coach this program has ever had, and he should be shown the door accordingly.

Why didn't any top 25 programs hire Pat Skerry at Towson? His 3-year turnaround was more impressive than Keatts in the same conference, yet I don't hear any Bill Self comparisons.

Obviously that's a tongue in cheek comparison, but Keatts has a very similar pedigree to Groce. I would expect Keatts to be a strong recruiter given that he ran the top post-grad bball program that had numerous high profile recruits, and he was an asst at Louisville. But there's not much of a reason to think he's a good coach at this point of his career. It's crazy to think people point to his turnaround of UNCW as an amazing success and then downplay Cuonzo getting the highest seed in Cal history. The latter is far more impressive to me because of the competition level.

I prefer Cuonzo to Keatts, but I don't think either is a great hire. I hope Whitman can work some magic again!

Comparing Keatts to Groce in such a broad stroke is just a lazy comparison. Keatts' success at his head coaching stops (Hargrave -- yeah, yeah, HS, but it still counts -- and UNCW) is leaps and bounds ahead of Groce's.

Also, Keatts' turnaround of UNCW is an amazing success. It cannot be understated how bad UNCW was before he got there. The turnaround in just one year was crazy. Also, comparing to Pat Skerry's turnaround? Pat Skerry went 1-31 in year one, Keatts won a conference title in year one.

I do not mean to cast Keatts as a perfect candidate. There are perfectly reasonable reasons to have doubts about him, most specifically the leap from the CAA to the B10 being what it is. But I really don't think there's much more he can do at the CAA level to prove his coaching accumen save a crazy tournament run.
 
#5,749      
No idea what the reason, but possibilities:

* They want to get a jump on the coaching search
* They want to get ahead of possible rumors if it's not announced
* There's a reason to distance from him now (he's done something we don't know about that will come to light)
* Appease boosters
* They don't know what they're doing...Ding Ding
* They do know what they're doing and don't want it to get out that they're working channels while their coach is still there

Personally, I'm not sure it's the worst thing you can do. While some on this board say you should have a replacement before cutting the cord, I don't think that's realistic. I'm not opposed to keeping it under wraps either, but there may be some advantage to being an early opening. I think most people want to do everything possible in our situation to make a smooth transition given the recruiting implications, but I expect there will be fallout. If we're lucky, we're able to move quickly, and the hire keeps everyone on board. I'm not counting on it though.
They messed up with leaks he was getting fired after Saturday's debacle against Wake...
 
#5,750      
You're missing the point that the true WRONG is Groce. He's a bad coach. He's had terrible results and ample time.

To answer your questions, yes I fire Groce and don't think twice about losing Tilmon and Frazier. I'd really like for you to find an example of a coach that gets NO players. Yet to see that happen.

Also, since you're bring up keeping recruits, what about keeping the actual players on the team? There's probably a better chance of losing multiple players than losing multiple recruits if we keep Groce. Do you think Williams and Jordan are happy as bench warmers for a terrible team? (While also arguably 2 of the top 3 most athletic players on the team)

It's a simple decision. Groce is a terrible coach so he will be replaced. It's JW's job to find a good replacement.


You are missing my point. I think Groce should and will be fired, but its fueled by the though that something better will come of this, much like Whitman is looking at this. This should be the sentiment on here IMO not Groce Must go no matter what or Groce needs to stay for the recruiting class. Really it should be what yields the best outcome in the future, of which Whitman has the information to make that decision.

Not once did I say Groce should stay solely for the incoming class, but you have to consider that when making a decision. If I were to tell you Dan Mueller was the best Whitman would pull and that he kept neither Tilmon nor Frazier, would you be as amped to just blindly fire the guy? I dont think that will transpire but I wouldn't, which is why speaking in absolutes does not make sense.

My point is no one knows what is happening behind the scenes. Many, such as myself, ultimately feel a change should be made, but that change will be made by Whitman once all factors are considered, and he will make the best decision, that I am confident in, so its pointless to speak in absolute terms in the meantime.
 
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