2017 Coaching Carousel

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#5,777      

sacraig

The desert
I understand this thought process, but I can't emphasize enough how much of a cancer it has been on Illinois athletics not realizing its VAST inherent potential. RG was cheap as hell, and he ran Illinois athletics like a mom 'n' pop shop, and our results showed it: we might succeed in the short term from time to time, but we never grew. We never showed any inclination of wanting to be OSU or Michigan, and we should have.

Mike Thomas, for all of his faults, pushed the needle in the right direction on this. He probably overpaid for both Groce and Beckman, but it sent an important message: he wanted Illinois to be viewed as a big money school. A school with deep pockets that was committed to being big time in sports. Problem was, apparently, he didn't have the charisma or likability to get donors on board, and that was probably part of his ultimate demise. I believe Whitman has made the final step in this. With the Lovie hire, he showed not only a very impressive commitment to investing heavily in athletics but also in being able to get donors on board to pony up that cash.

I'm optimistic the days of "when have we ever spent money like that?" are long, long over.

I'd have to agree with you. On the business/branding side of things, I really liked the direction Thomas was headed. Ultimately, where he failed was in the two most important functions of his job, which are hiring coaches and selling the program to donors. That's probably because he apparently just wasn't a very personable guy and had a management style that didn't really help him out when trying to convince good coaches to come over.

It kind of makes you wonder how he succeeded at Cincinnati.
 
#5,778      
I'd have to agree with you. On the business/branding side of things, I really liked the direction Thomas was headed. Ultimately, where he failed was in the two most important functions of his job, which are hiring coaches and selling the program to donors. That's probably because he apparently just wasn't a very personable guy and had a management style that didn't really help him out when trying to convince good coaches to come over.

It kind of makes you wonder how he succeeded at Cincinnati.

He either kissed the right people's behinds and/or they accepted his behaviour because he got results. As far as coaches go they probably put up with it until they could find a better job. BKelly probably got a speeding ticket for leaving Cinci so fast.....
 
#5,779      

Illwinsagain

Cary, IL
Cuonzo Martin wants the Illinois job. He'll bring Charlie Moore with him.

I have no info, but I have a feeling that this is true. Also, I am reasonably confident that he could keep the class intact. Just a gut feeling. I know, that and $7 can get me a grande at Starbucks.
 
#5,780      
You can't compare HS to college. So really you're just saying his three years are leaps and bounds ahead of Groce's, which I don't think is true. Groce coached at a mid-major not a low major like Keatts, and Groce had significant tourney success for a mid-major.

Keatts can prove his coaching acumen by winning more games in the CAA, or winning in the tournament. But for a program like Illinois it shouldn't be enough - he needs to be successful at a higher level before coaching here.

Please no more quoting single game ATS as support for a high level coaching candidate. If you have to go there, he's not experienced enough for this job.

I'm not comparing HS to college, but winning games at the HS level at the rate he did still requires you to be a capable coach, so I personally feel that is relevant when evaluating talent as a coach. You may feel differently, that's your prerogative.

Groce's entire resume was built on one lucky sweet 16 run. His best conference finish at Ohio was 3rd, and his conference winning % in the MAC was .531. That's atrocious. Keatts has won 66 games in under 3 years at UNCW, and has a .745 conference winning percentage. He's also on track for his 3rd straight conference title.

I quoted single game ATS as evidence he was competitive in the tournament with CAA level players against an E8 squad, because someone said it wasn't likely he could win tournament games (or that it was unlikely). I did not say that he should be hired simply because he lost to Duke by less than Vegas thought. This is the part of the comment that ATS point was in reference to:

Also, a small uptick in talent and game experience can give you a better shot at winning a game or 2 in the tourney and improving your coaching resume even more. I'd be very surprised to see UNCW win a game in the tourney

Nothing in that quote is inherently out of line, but implying he can't be competitive with a CAA squad in the NCAAT is not accurate, as he just was last year.

Regarding whether or not he needs to coach at a mid-major (I assume that's what you mean by 'higher-level') before coming to Illinois, that is an entirely fair opinion, but I think he will be coaching in the P5 next year at Illinois, or at one of the other open gigs. Also, if we're being honest, it's entirely possible he could turn us down for an East Coast gig due to his ties there. Regardless, he'll be one of the hot candidates on the carousel this offseason.
 
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#5,781      
I didn't mean for that to be a dig or a negative against Keatts the candidate. I just meant it as a hurdle with regards to his resume. If he sticks at UNCW, it's going to require a major upset to advance in the NCAAs. Thats just a matter of talent, not coaching.

No, I understand, I just wanted to indicate that he can be competitive in the NCAAT even at UNCW (it will be tough for reasons previously mentioned).

There is no point in posting single game ATS records no matter the context. That in no way indicates anything. Bucknell beat Kansas back in the day, so I believe low majors should always be competitive with blue bloods.

A good CAA record is great, and he can't coach for higher level programs while he's still at UNCW, so I get it. But the level of risk is crazy for a jump to UI. IMO Keatts would get roasted by B1G coaches. They might be tougher than the HS coaches he faced.

I don't see how we can assume he will be roasted by B1G coaches. That has yet to be seen, he hasn't ever even coached against one as a HC. He was clearly competitive against Coach K who is a hall-of-fame level coach. And yes, before you counter with this, I know he lost to Clemson this year, but that points to 'unknown' moreso than 'he can't handle this level', especially when accounting for talent differential. What has he done to show us he can't coach against B10 level coaches?

I fully understand the "he's a risk" sentiment, but every coach has some risk attached (except Tony Bennett, he'd be a grand slam as mentioned, but that's not happening anyways). Every good coach has to start somewhere.
 
#5,782      
Here's a question for people: what non-P5 leagues are good enough where you feel a coach could jump from that league to the B10 without it being a MAJOR risk?
 
#5,783      
I think people need to realize that the Illinois job now is a better job than it was five years ago. When Groce was hired.

The institutional chaos that reigned at the top eschelons of the University is over. We have a chancellor and president and have been scandal-free for a reasonable period of time.

We have a young, up-and-comer as AD who is popular and seems to have a ton of job security. He's already made a big splash hire in football. Everyone who meets him comes away impressed.

The basketball facilities have just completed renovation.

The BTN money is just getting bigger and bigger.

Unlike at the end of the Weber era, the fanbase is generally united in their apathy. There's none of the rancor that existed at the end of Weber's tenure. Any new hire can be pretty sure that all the fans will be behind him.

Nobody outside the program will be scratching their heads at the firing. No one like Tom Izzo is going to be standing up and criticizing the firing of the previous head coach. No one is going to claim the new AD didn't give Groce a chance.

What may have been out-sized fan expectations after 04-05 have been reset to Illinois' more traditional mindset of wanting conference championships and Sweet Sixteens with the occasional Final Four run.
 
#5,784      

The Worm

CHICAGO, IL
I think people need to realize that the Illinois job now is a better job than it was five years ago. When Groce was hired.

The institutional chaos that reigned at the top eschelons of the University is over. We have a chancellor and president and have been scandal-free for a reasonable period of time.

We have a young, up-and-comer as AD who is popular and seems to have a ton of job security. He's already made a big splash hire in football. Everyone who meets him comes away impressed.

The basketball facilities have just completed renovation.

The BTN money is just getting bigger and bigger.

Unlike at the end of the Weber era, the fanbase is generally united in their apathy. There's none of the rancor that existed at the end of Weber's tenure. Any new hire can be pretty sure that all the fans will be behind him.

Nobody outside the program will be scratching their heads at the firing. No one like Tom Izzo is going to be standing up and criticizing the firing of the previous head coach. No one is going to claim the new AD didn't give Groce a chance.

What may have been out-sized fan expectations after 04-05 have been reset to Illinois' more traditional mindset of wanting conference championships and Sweet Sixteens with the occasional Final Four run.

Totally agree. Everything is in place to hit a home run with this hire, and I believe JW will do just that.
 
#5,785      

89illinigrad

Chicago
Yes, you are correct in that Collins was the lead recruiter and was largely responsible for the Chicago pipeline we had going at that time. He was also a player under Henson at New Mexico State when Henson took them to the Final Four.

I think many CPL coaches were upset when Henson retired and Collins wasn't named as his successor. That hurt Kruger's ability to recruit Chicago and may still be a factor to this day.

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#5,786      
That's a good question but it's probably a sliding scale depending on how good your results are, experience, recruiting, etc.

1. Other P5
2. Big East
3. A-10, AAC
4. MVC, WCC, Mountain West

Anything after that has a lot of variables I think. I'm probably not thinking of other deserving conferences.

I don't think anyone can argue that Keatts has a great 3 year start to D1 coaching career. The question for ADs, is if that is enough to determine that he will succeed at your school.

Right, and I think the top 3 lines there is probably going to be the only consensus, if I had to guess (I would agree). I just wanted to pose the question for the sake of comparing the CAA in numbers, because I think -- and by no means am I saying the CAA is good -- that the CAA is being viewed as a distant, terrible conference like the Big Sky, who also get an autobid and only one tournament team a year, when it's not nearly as low as that in the pecking order.

Here's all the tier 3/4 conferences you listed, with the KenPom rating of every member this year. Please note that I acknowledge that this is not a perfect measure or anything like that, just want to provide a picture.

CAA:

57 (UNCW), 94, 127, 130, 132, 138, 189, 229, 234, 289

Median: 135

A-10:

33, 46, 56, 89, 92, 106, 109, 121, 144, 148, 156, 200, 209, 292

Median: 115

AAC:

18, 22, 38, 73, 85, 90, 110, 134, 205, 259, 288

Median: 90

MVC:

13, 47, 101, 129, 139, 141, 166, 201, 246, 248

Median: 140

WCC:

1, 17, 79, 111, 128, 177, 257, 260, 276, 283

Median: 152.5

Mountain West:

66, 74, 93, 95, 113, 122, 155, 161, 194, 218, 233

Median: 122
 
#5,787      

Illwinsagain

Cary, IL
Yes, you are correct in that Collins was the lead recruiter and was largely responsible for the Chicago pipeline we had going at that time. He was also a player under Henson at New Mexico State when Henson took them to the Final Four.

I think many CPL coaches were upset when Henson retired and Collins wasn't named as his successor. That hurt Kruger's ability to recruit Chicago and may still be a factor to this day.

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Unfortunately, Collins was the center of blazer, I mean, pizzagate. Henson defended him to the end. Hiring him would have kept the pipeline open, but also the NCAA over our shoulder. At least, that is my perspective. Many on here know and remember much more than I.
 
#5,789      

89illinigrad

Chicago
Haha. I think most people on this thread are very close in thoughts. The more I think about it, the more I believe Keatts won't be coming here anyways. I think he'll end up somewhere more "East Coast" and I think he'd be viewed at too high a risk for JW. Just my 2 cents.

Keats to NC State? Makes sense considering he's already working in the area, but its probably not what their fans want.
 
#5,790      

EJ33

San Francisco
Yes, you are correct in that Collins was the lead recruiter and was largely responsible for the Chicago pipeline we had going at that time. He was also a player under Henson at New Mexico State when Henson took them to the Final Four.

I think many CPL coaches were upset when Henson retired and Collins wasn't named as his successor. That hurt Kruger's ability to recruit Chicago and may still be a factor to this day.

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Couple more details on this that perhaps some others can fact-check.

Tony Yates actually got the pipeline going with Levi Cobb and Eddie Johnson. Levi Cobb was the best player in Chicago at the time and Eddie Johnson was a McDonald's AA type recruit. Collins took over and did even better. He was deeply embedded in the community. He knew everybody. I believe he had worked as a probation officer and still lived up there part-time. His relationship with several players was just like the Tilmon-Walker relationship - they came because of him. We've never had anybody else like him. When you hear someone like Joe Henricksen talking about relationships and understanding Chicago, he's talking about someone like Jimmy Collins. As for the cheating, who knows what was really going on.
 
#5,791      
I think a lot of us from the early Henson era thought he was a good enough coach. I always remember what was said by friends of mine at the Sigma Chi house where Steve Lanter lived. Lanter said that Henson was a good practice coach but a terrible game coach. Especially when it was a close game. If Henson called a time out during a close game he would often stand there and say nothing - sounded like an anxiety attack. Still, I would love to have a version of Henson now versus what we do have.

Yes, please. If there's any way we could get a coach that has taken two different programs to the Final 4, an active coach with Top 10 in all time wins, Conference Championships, Elite 8's, Sweet Sixteen's. Sign me up. Lou was a heck of a coach in a much tougher Big10.

No coach is perfect, but Lou did fantastic things for Illinois Basketball. He is a Hall of Fame Coach. I'd take a young Lou Henson any day and twice on Sundays!
 
#5,793      
I think Cuonzo could be real good, especially recruiting, any idea how good his staff is? I think if he had someone with him that had Head coaching experience I could real excited. I like him but my biggest concern is I think they have underachieved a bit relative to talent but if he had good assistants with him I could get excited. I think the overall staff has hurt Groce and I hope no matter who the coach is that the rest of the staff is top notch
 
#5,794      

Jkat00

Champaign, IL
I feel like someone like Mick Cronin is far more realistic than we might think. Yes he's getting paid north of 2 mil a year and he's from Cincinnati. But that conference is kind of a mess. I could see him wanting the stability and prestige of the B1G.

I could see Cronin leaving Cincinnati but it won't be for Illinois. Not a very good fit.
 
#5,795      
One of these schools is 1 of 15 schools with 2 or more NCAA championships & it isn't us. I think many outside of this board would consider NCState the better job even before the 8 years of suck.

Based on what? Who are the "many outside this board"?

I'm honestly curious, because besides the celebration of Jim Valvano I have never heard NC State discussed as more than a regional draw.
 
#5,796      

Jkat00

Champaign, IL
... And you know this "how?"

It's really not a secret that Cuonzo wants out of Berkley and back in the Midwest area. With tons of jobs opening up it's pretty much expected he will land one of them. He's absolutely recruiting Smith and watching others without contact for his next job. Very smart IMO.
 
#5,798      
Based on what? Who are the "many outside this board"?

I'm honestly curious, because besides the celebration of Jim Valvano I have never heard NC State discussed as more than a regional draw.



And we are more than a regional draw? There's not many schools that can claim 2 NCAA championships. So even if you don't count the last one with Jimmy, they still have more than us. They just fired a coach who made the NCAA 4 of 6 years. When is the last time we had a recruit as high as Smith? Yeah, they have a Duke/UNC problem, but regionally at least they have a very strong brand. My point is we on this board tend to over rate our brand & I think you head somewhere neutral like outside of B1G/ACC, IMO I doubt the casual observer sees us above NCSU. Those pictures of Valvano celebrations & ESPY speech are part of the reason



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#5,800      
Number of championships from over 30 years ago has very little to do with how good a school's coaching job is today. NC State really hurt themselves with how this went down.
 
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