Bracketology

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#5      
We only have two Q1 wins and are the highest ranked team with a Q3 loss. The numbers are what they are.
Agree.

We are beating the teams we need to beat (besides Maryland), but don’t have the Q1 wins to bump up the seed line.

The Maryland loss will hang around our neck a bit unless they get up to Q2…which isn’t looking good. They are currently NET 99 after their loss to MSU.

A home win against Marquette to start the year and I’d think we’d be on the 2 line or the best 3…even with the Maryland loss. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
 
#6      
Agree.

We are beating the teams we need to beat, but don’t have the Q1 wins to bump up the seed line.

The Maryland loss will hang around our neck a bit unless they get up to Q2…which isn’t looking good. They are currently 99 after their loss to MSU.
I'm sure the metrics on that Maryland home loss will improve when Maryland beats Illinois at home next month.
 
#7      

foby

Bonnaroo Land
I'm sure the metrics on that Maryland home loss will improve when Maryland beats Illinois at home next month.
college gameday sport GIF
 
#14      
Illinois up to a 3 seed in today's updated T-Rank bracket (it creates a bracket based on end of season results from simulated metrics): https://barttorvik.com/tranketology.php?

Purdue a 1, Wisconsin a 2 (like I said they have a huge schedule advantage).

More interestingly, #10 Memphis just barely makes it, and their metrics don't look great. Good win at Texas A&M, but two bad losses already and a NET of 50.
 
#17      
If we're really the #10 ranked team in the country as the polls report today, seeding as of today should have us no lower than 3 . . .
 
#19      
If we're really the #10 ranked team in the country as the polls report today, seeding as of today should have us no lower than 3 . . .
The polls don't outweigh the analytics. It's the media throwing their opinions out there. The analytics have us right the area that we belong. We have no marquee wins, one bad loss, then a bunch of games that we won decisively....which carries weight.
 
#20      
I mean, the AP poll holds no bearing in the selection process.
The polls don't outweigh the analytics. It's the media throwing their opinions out there. The analytics have us right the area that we belong. We have no marquee wins, one bad loss, then a bunch of games that we won decisively....which carries weight.
The metrics describe what has been done, and try to project what will be based on that past performance. While the AP poll is certainly full of basketball know-nothings, the coach's poll has us at 11, and I like to think most of them know something about college basketball. Again, opinions, I understand.
 
#21      

GrayGhost77

Centennial, CO
The polls don't outweigh the analytics. It's the media throwing their opinions out there. The analytics have us right the area that we belong. We have no marquee wins, one bad loss, then a bunch of games that we won decisively....which carries weight.
Going by the analytics sites we're still right around #10 on average. #9 on KenPom, #8 on Evan Miya, #11 on Torvik. Actually that would be closer to #9.
 
#23      
You’re underestimating how terrible the Maryland loss is even without TSJ. Also doesn’t help that FAU isn’t doing anything impressive lately. I think they’re seeded where they should be.
Kansas has 2 worse losses than the Illini and it isn't hurting them much
 
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