I know a lot of people including some media are forecasting a fairly easy win for the Bears on Sunday. I think the Packers will be fired up and will play their best game of the season so far. I’m just not allowing myself to believe the Bears can win at Lambeau until they show me.
I have a tendency to agree with you with all things being equal. That said, this time around, all things aren't equal.
The Bears offensive line SHOULD absolutely destroy that Packers defensive line. If they are physical and bring the running game, they control all 60 minutes.
I'm still extremely leary of the Bears defensive line and worry that the Packers will control the line of scrimmage on that side of the ball. The Packers are trying to find two lineman off of the scrap heap to throw in there and they don't have Jacobs. There's no excuse to get run.
Adding to their offensive line issues, with the Packers struggle to run and them having a top receiver out for the year, they should be able to pin their ears back and get pressure on Love.
With the Packers issues on defense (a top LB out too), the Bears playmakers, especially TE's) should have an absolute ball out there. The Packers have no answers to the Bears skilled position guys.
Now, you have to ask what can beat them and it's the Bagent having a back up QB type game, which is holding the ball too long, being late with throws, turning the ball over which leads to a short field for Green Bay or a pick 6. It's his first true road game, which is a concern. That's one way.
Another way would be that with Monagai out, Swift having fumbling issues(very recently) and Johnson as the backup...turnovers again would be a concern, not hitting holes in a reasonably quick fashion, etc.
Finally, it's a road game and in the NFL, that is worth some points. Momentum and confidence is a funny thing.
The bottom line is if both teams play a great game, it should be a two TD win for the Bears. If the Pack plays a great game and the Bears play reasonably well, the Bears win, but it'll be a little shaky. If the Bears melt down and do everything possible to beat themselves....they can leave with an L. An example of that would be Philly coming into Chicago on Monday night without Williams. It was hard to imagine the Bears winning that game with Keenum at QB, but the Eagles imploded a few times, which led to their demise.
Most everything tells us that the Bears should win this game, but history. History tells us that something ridiculous will happen to lose it. So, I 100% get how you're feeling. I'm kind of in a see it to believe it frame of mind as well.
