"Very good team...in the NIT", is an oxymoron, I think.
IMO our floor is like a 9 seed, so I'm pretty optimistic about our team. But to answer your question, we had a lot of talent last year and everyone was excited and then it was a bit of a let down. Then, after the fact, some posters started saying it wasn't a let down, but our expectations were just too high for a team of new faces. So, as we enter this season with 4 or 5 new players in the rotation, people have lowered their expectations.
Plus, point guard is maybe the most important position in college. Adding a good one was a clear and public point of emphasis for the staff. They didnt get one, so the offseason very literally did not go according to plan which has introduced more doubt and pessimism.
All that said, I really see no reason for heavy optimism or heavy pessimism. I'm a little bit of both. I really like who we bring back and am intrigued by our new guys. The unanswered questions only add more intrigue for me. Should be fun.