Illini Basketball 2026-2027

#377      
I think as good as Coleman is, we can't sleep on Morillo. A 6-7 pg who can dial up the three is very intriguing. Hell, for all we know Brown and Landon might be frontrunners in the lineup.
 
#378      
The expectations will always be a tad impractical when it comes to a 5 star; especially at Illinois, since we've had so few (in the rec. rankings era).

If QC averages 10 points per game, I'd be more than thrilled. Those claiming it'll be 15-18 just don't understand the context of that, as it pretains to the other talented players on this roster. That's not a knock on him at all, our starting 5 is just really talented.

If he went to Wake Forrest, or a similarly abysmal roster, absolutely he could've averaged 17/game. I'm personally of the opinion that winning adds alot more essence to your resume.
 
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#379      
With Andrej back, we'll be the 8th Final Four team since 2020 to return over 50% of their minutes. Here is how the other teams fared. Not much to take away really. Kind of a mixed bag.

2025 Purdue
54% of minutes returned
Sweet 16

2025 Alabama
51% of minutes returned
Elite Eight

2024 FAU
90% of minutes returned
First round

2024 Miami
54% of minutes returned
Missed the tournament

2023 Villanova
65% of minutes returned
Missed the tournament

2023 UNC
73% of minutes returned
Missed the tournament

2022 UCLA
91% of minutes returned
Sweet 16
 
#381      
With Andrej back, we'll be the 8th Final Four team since 2020 to return over 50% of their minutes. Here is how the other teams fared. Not much to take away really. Kind of a mixed bag.

2025 Purdue
54% of minutes returned
Sweet 16

2025 Alabama
51% of minutes returned
Elite Eight

2024 FAU
90% of minutes returned
First round

2024 Miami
54% of minutes returned
Missed the tournament

2023 Villanova
65% of minutes returned
Missed the tournament

2023 UNC
73% of minutes returned
Missed the tournament

2022 UCLA
91% of minutes returned
Sweet 16
The missed the tournament prevalence is a bit shocking. Wow.

Like how much would have to wrong for us to miss the tournament next year. It’s not even on the radar.
 
#382      
With Andrej back, we'll be the 8th Final Four team since 2020 to return over 50% of their minutes. Here is how the other teams fared. Not much to take away really. Kind of a mixed bag.

2025 Purdue
54% of minutes returned
Sweet 16

2025 Alabama
51% of minutes returned
Elite Eight

2024 FAU
90% of minutes returned
First round

2024 Miami
54% of minutes returned
Missed the tournament

2023 Villanova
65% of minutes returned
Missed the tournament

2023 UNC
73% of minutes returned
Missed the tournament

2022 UCLA
91% of minutes returned
Sweet 16
Not sure I'd call this a mixed bag...each of these teams fell well short of their FF performance the previous year
 
#383      
With Andrej back, we'll be the 8th Final Four team since 2020 to return over 50% of their minutes. Here is how the other teams fared. Not much to take away really. Kind of a mixed bag.

2025 Purdue
54% of minutes returned
Sweet 16

2025 Alabama
51% of minutes returned
Elite Eight

2024 FAU
90% of minutes returned
First round

2024 Miami
54% of minutes returned
Missed the tournament

2023 Villanova
65% of minutes returned
Missed the tournament

2023 UNC
73% of minutes returned
Missed the tournament

2022 UCLA
91% of minutes returned
Sweet 16
I'd take Purdue's season in a heartbeat. Would mark our 5th banner in 7 years. Not often a program gets to do that.
 
#384      
You're definitely not thinking that through. Sure it COULD happen, but we're referring to likelihood.

The number was 30.2 points. So we're saying each gets 15? Or... Vaaks 18 and Coleman 12?

Absolutely those guys are capable, but the question becomes whose points are you taking down? Mirk? Stoj? Tomi?

There's one ball. Only so many baskets to go around.

It's what happens every off-season when we bring in quality newcomers. People quickly rush to the shiny new toy, but forget about the most important part, which are the returners. Looking at our scoring rates from last year, the two obvious scoring alphas are Stojakovic are Mirkovic (especially Stojakovic). Vaaks could work himself into that, since he'll play a ton.

I personally, would be pleasantly surprised if Stojakovic isn't the leading scorer. He's pretty clearly the most proven guy amongst the group -- just natural scoring talent. Mirk will likely be that 14/10/4 guy whose impact on the team is significantly more than the points.
Not that I disagree with some of this, but, if we apply this to last year at this time most would have been absolutely incorrect. The over all consensus of the board is that Tomi would be great and better than he was in 2024. Stoj would be killing it, and nobody thought KW would be our leading scorer.

Baskets aren’t necessarily like minutes per game. There are as many as you can take and make.
 
#385      
Not sure I'd call this a mixed bag...each of these teams fell well short of their FF performance the previous year
yeah.... basketball is hard. This makes me scared. But, for now.......
New York Islanders GIF
 
#386      
barring getting racked on the injury front, we're gonna be a wagon

hoping for an absolute wagon

I'm so ready for it
 
#387      
I'd take Purdue's season in a heartbeat. Would mark our 5th banner in 7 years. Not often a program gets to do that.
I don't think we should look at a season like Purdue's as a failure if it happens, but because we've already got a FF in the bag, I would be inclined to say "NO DEAL" to the banker and risk a worse outcome for a chance to get a better one.

Purdue is an instructive example though of a situation where continuity of a really good team was just kind of the same rather than taking a leap upward. That can happen.
 
#388      
Not sure I'd call this a mixed bag...each of these teams fell well short of their FF performance the previous year
Well, 3 of 7 made the second weekend the next year so they came close to matching their previous success.

But I really don't see a pattern. (I thought I would when I started looking this up but like BWA above, was mildly shocked to see the number of complete failures.) There are just so many other circumstances around each team that it's hard to draw any conclusions.

Purdue - Although they returned a bunch, they lost Edey from that team. It was hardly a run-it-back type of situation.

Alabama - Went from a 4 seed the year they made the FF to a 2 seed the next year. Just fell a game short.

FAU - Improved from a 9 seed the year they made the FF to an 8 seed the next year. Just didn't have another Cinderella run.

Miami - Lost two seniors who were drafted in the 2nd round. Still kinda inexcusable to miss the tourney completely though.

Villanova - Lost Jay Wright.

UNC - Objectively hilarious. Returned so much. Preseason #1 team. Probably should've fired Davis then. Glad they let him hang around.

UCLA - Improved from an 11 seed to a 4 seed. Just fell a couple games short.
 
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