Illini Basketball 2026-2027

#302      
I know I'm quibbling over something that was a tangent to the point of this post, and Fly! already mentioned this, but scoring efficiency is up overall. Normalized to the yearly average (AdjD/NCAA_avg_AdjD * 100), they were very typical:
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I agree that if we could get halfway closer to Michigan's defense from last year (including playing at least as well against Q1A), our championship odds would look quite different.

Welp, this timing is insane, I'm not sure if my (incorrect) take is being argued elsewhere, but the arbiter has stepped in on the conversation against the level of remarkableness of Michigan's Defense:


Mr. Pomeroy really came out of nowhere from the top ropes on this one. The coup de grâce will be if his next article is about how USC should be in the conversation for B1G title contender.
 
#303      
Really depends on if Toppin is back, which I doubt he will be.

Is UC going to be any different than Indy in terms of home court?
Do you think Uconn had an advantage at the garden? I do. I anticipate a similar advantage for us at UC - possibly more.
 
#305      
Welp, this timing is insane, I'm not sure if my (incorrect) take is being argued elsewhere, but the arbiter has stepped in on the conversation against the level of remarkableness of Michigan's Defense:


Mr. Pomeroy really came out of nowhere from the top ropes on this one. The coup de grâce will be if his next article is about how USC should be in the conversation for B1G title contender.
:ROFLMAO:
 
#307      
You’re right. According to https://fightingillini.com/sports/mens-basketball/roster, he’s 6’5”. :)

My advanced analytics below appear to show that he is indeed definitely taller than 6'4", although the results are inconclusive.

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Watching Spy Kids GIF
 
#308      
Yeah I thought similar... here is what I came up with:

Duke 30% chance to win (based on them being 6 or 7 point favorites at home)
UConn & TT games 50% chance to win (merely because I think its a toss up at this point who will be favored and 50% is nice, round #)

That makes the probability that we go 0-3 at around 17% (or only 1 in 6 chance)

1-2: 40%
2-1: 35%
3-0: 8%

(note: percentages are 'rough' as I didn't actually write the math down on paper)
If we only win one of those, please let it be UCONN. Hurley is insufferable.
 
#309      
Welp, this timing is insane, I'm not sure if my (incorrect) take is being argued elsewhere, but the arbiter has stepped in on the conversation against the level of remarkableness of Michigan's Defense:


Mr. Pomeroy really came out of nowhere from the top ropes on this one. The coup de grâce will be if his next article is about how USC should be in the conversation for B1G title contender.
Great article.
 
#311      
Do you think Uconn had an advantage at the garden? I do. I anticipate a similar advantage for us at UC - possibly more.
Sure they do. My point is we had a major home court advantage in the F4, Indy is closer than Chicago. I'd expect that Chicago crowd to be going haywire.
 
#313      
I think it's a lot more than decent. Hurley can coach but I don't think he could've drawn anything up to stop that team if they swapped Clingan and Hawkins.

Castle did a good job on Shannon with Clingan behind him but that defense suffers without him and he was in early foul trouble. Shannon would feast when Castle sits.

Then Domask actually was cooking them when Clingan sat in the 1st half. Was a tie game pretty late into the 1st half because of Domask.
Part of their strategy was smothering the three point and funneling players to Clingan. It would change everything.
 
#314      
The advantage in Indy was more than the advantage we’ll have at the UC:

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Do we consider 4 fanbases attending in Indy vs 2 fanbases attending in Chicago? Also taking into account fans might travel farther for F4 game than a regular season game.

I’m just trying to make stuff up now because I hate UConn and want to beat them haha.
 
#317      
For United Center games, unless they don’t already, the Orange Krush and Athletics Dept. need to do Student Section travel deals to get as many student fans up there for noise and presence. Make it a hostile environment for opposing teams and show Chicago being deeply Orange and Blue.
 
#318      
For United Center games, unless they don’t already, the Orange Krush and Athletics Dept. need to do Student Section travel deals to get as many student fans up there for noise and presence. Make it a hostile environment for opposing teams and show Chicago being deeply Orange and Blue.
any guess as to what tip off time will be for UCONN?
 
#319      
Was anyone at the game in UC versus Bama and the F4?

As someone who went to neither the F4 or Bana game, on television, it sure seemed like a more raucous Illini crowd at UC than Indy - but part of that might just be sound coming through differently in a football arena

Having Sinclair in Chicago is super cool. (Not saying that impacts a betting line lol)
 
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#323      
The advantage in Indy was more than the advantage we’ll have at the UC:

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You're measuring it from the distance from campus. The majority of the UI fanbase/alums are probably within 25 miles of the UC. There's also not 4 total schools participating at the UC. In Indy, we probably had 60% of the fans(total guess). At the UC, we'll have 95%+.
 
#324      
Sure they do. My point is we had a major home court advantage in the F4, Indy is closer than Chicago. I'd expect that Chicago crowd to be going haywire.
You're measuring the distance from Campus. Illinois has a HUGE contingent in Chicago/Burbs. The alums and fans buy most of the tickets to these neutral site games, not the students. Any students that come up is just a cherry on top.

If they get 18k in there(just short of a sellout), it'd be 17,000 UI/1,000 UCONN and that's probably overstating the UCONN representation.

All that said, we seem to struggle to win at the UC. We had Bama beat last year and couldn't make a free throw, then blew two 15 point leads, in the same game, versus Wisconsin.
 
#325      
You're measuring it from the distance from campus. The majority of the UI fanbase/alums are probably within 25 miles of the UC. There's also not 4 total schools participating at the UC. In Indy, we probably had 60% of the fans(total guess). At the UC, we'll have 95%+.
It is smaller too, crowd on top of you. Domes have a very different vibe.
 
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