... 1. The ONLY way you can really guess our game time is if you think it will be selected for one of our affiliated networks' preferred slots - 11:00 am on FOX, 2:30 pm on CBS or 6:30 pm on NBC. If our game is likely to slide down to BTN, FS1 or Peacock, it is anyone's guess.
2. The networks have a
draft for weekends before the season starts, and you would have to start trying to guess how many "first picks" each network has already used based on the information available. The article talks in more detail, but basically FOX gets significant preference, and CBS and NBC have an equal number of picks...
If anyone does want to try to go down this rabbit hole and try to recognize a pattern for what weeks might belong to what networks, here is a basic template:
Guidelines
1. The three networks that get preference are FOX (11:00 am), CBS (2:30 pm) and NBC (6:30 pm). Games they don't select will fall to BTN or FS1.
2. The "draft" is for the 14 WEEKENDS, and then the networks will either get first, second or third pick of the games on that weekend when the date gets closer, based on the draft results. I think they can also draft individual games if they want, but the details are kind of confusing and/or kept secret from the public.
3. When I use "picks" here, I am talking about a weekend where the network gets the FIRST choice. I think there are also trades they can make to be second (rather than third) on a given weekend, too ... too complicated to speculate, lol.
4. For the 14 weekends, CBS gets 3 picks, NBC gets 3 picks and FOX gets the remaining 8. Of FOX's 8 picks, they are guaranteed the first/top 3 picks and also 5 of the top 11.
5. One other minor note - NBC can shift 3 Notre Dame games per year into its 6:30 pm slot usually reserved for Big Ten games. It has already done this 3 times, so it can't happen anymore.
Why It Matters: If you REALLY think you have any idea what network has first pick for a given weekend, it actually does make a huge difference in guessing our game time if you think our game will be a "top 3" Big Ten game that week. For Rutgers or Maryland, we are almost certainly on BTN or FS1. However, guessing our games vs. OSU, USC, Washington, etc. will depend entirely on (A) where our game falls in the pecking order that week and (B) the orders of the networks picking that week.
Clues
1. The article confirms that FOX used two of its picks on Texas at Ohio State and Ohio State at Michigan. Given the draw of those games, I would bet you ANYTHING those represented 2 of their 3 "top 3 overall picks." So, FOX would have 5 total picks left, including 1 overall top 3 pick.
TV LAYOUT
Weeks 1-3 have been set in stone, and only a few games have been confirmed past that. Here is the template each week, with the Big Ten games listed. I did NOT include Friday games or Big Ten away games on non-Big Ten networks, as they're not part of this draft (per the article).
WEEK ONE - August 30
11:00 am on FOX - #1 Texas at #3 Ohio State
2:30 pm on CBS - Nevada at #2 Penn State
6:30 pm on NBC - New Mexico at #14 Michigan
WEEK TWO - September 6
11:00 am on FOX - Iowa at #22 Iowa State
2:30 pm on CBS - Oklahoma State at #7 Oregon
6:30 pm on NBC - Boston College at Michigan State
WEEK THREE - September 13
11:00 am on FOX - #7 Oregon at Northwestern
2:30 pm on CBS - USC at Purdue
6:30 pm on NBC - #19 Texas A&M at #6 Notre Dame
WEEK FOUR - September 20
11:00 am on FOX - TBD
2:30 pm on CBS - #14 Michigan at Nebraska
6:30 pm on NBC - TBD
TBD Games
#12 Illinois at #20 Indiana
Oregon at #7 Oregon State
Michigan State at USC
Maryland at Wisconsin
Off-the-Table Games
Iowa at Rutgers (Friday at 7:00 pm on FOX)
Purdue at #6 Notre Dame (2:30 pm on NBC)
Washington at Washington State (6:30 pm on CBS)
WEEK FIVE - September 27
11:00 am on FOX - TBD
2:30 pm on CBS - TBD
6:30 pm on NBC - #7 Oregon at #2 Penn State
TBD Games
USC at #12 Illinois
#3 Ohio State at Washington
#20 Indiana at Iowa
UCLA at Northwestern
Rutgers at Minnesota
WEEK SIX - October 4
11:00 am on FOX - TBD
2:30 pm on CBS - TBD
6:30 pm on NBC - TBD
TBD Games
#12 Illinois at Purdue
Wisconsin at #14 Michigan
#2 Penn State at UCLA
Minnesota at #3 Ohio State
Michigan State at Nebraska
Washington at Maryland
UL Monroe at Northwestern
WEEK SEVEN - October 11
11:00 am on FOX - TBD
2:30 pm on CBS - TBD
6:30 pm on NBC - TBD
TBD Games
#3 Ohio State at #12 Illinois
#20 Indiana at #7 Oregon
#14 Michigan at USC
Iowa at Wisconsin
Northwestern at #2 Penn State
UCLA at Michigan State
Nebraska at Maryland
Purdue at Minnesota
Off-the-Table Games
Rutgers at Washington (Friday at 7:00 pm on FOX)
WEEK EIGHT - October 18
11:00 am on FOX - TBD
2:30 pm on CBS - TBD
6:30 pm on NBC - USC at #6 Notre Dame
TBD Games
#2 Penn State at Iowa
#3 Ohio State at Wisconsin
Washington at #14 Michigan
#7 Oregon at Rutgers
Michigan State at #20 Indiana
Purdue at Northwestern
Maryland at UCLA
Off-the-Table Games
Nebraska at Minnesota (Friday at 7:00 pm on FOX)
WEEK NINE - October 25
11:00 am on FOX - TBD
2:30 pm on CBS - TBD
6:30 pm on NBC - TBD
TBD Games
#12 Illinois at Washington
#14 Michigan at Michigan State
Wisconsin at #7 Oregon
Minnesota at Iowa
Northwestern at Nebraska
UCLA at #20 Indiana
Rutgers at Purdue
WEEK TEN - November 1
11:00 am on FOX - TBD
2:30 pm on CBS - TBD
6:30 pm on NBC - TBD
TBD Games
Rutgers at #12 Illinois
#2 Penn State at #3 Ohio State
USC at Nebraska
Purdue at #14 Michigan
#20 Indiana at Maryland
Michigan State at Minnesota
WEEK ELEVEN - November 8
11:00 am on FOX - TBD
2:30 pm on CBS - TBD
6:30 pm on NBC - Navy at #6 Notre Dame
TBD Games
#20 Indiana at #2 Penn State
#7 Oregon at Iowa
#3 Ohio State at Purdue
Nebraska at UCLA
Washington at Wisconsin
Maryland at Rutgers
Off-the-Table Games
Northwestern at USC (Friday at 8:00 pm on FOX)
WEEK TWELVE - November 15
11:00 am on FOX - TBD
2:30 pm on CBS - TBD
6:30 pm on NBC - TBD
TBD Games
Maryland at #12 Illinois
#14 Michigan vs. Northwestern (Wrigley Field)
#2 Penn State at Michigan State
UCLA at #3 Ohio State
Iowa at USC
Wisconsin at #20 Indiana
Purdue at Washington
Off-the-Table Games
Minnesota at #7 Oregon (Friday at 8:00 pm on FOX)
WEEK THIRTEEN - November 22
11:00 am on FOX - TBD
2:30 pm on CBS - TBD
6:30 pm on NBC - TBD
TBD Games
#12 Illinois at Wisconsin
USC at #7 Oregon
Nebraska at #2 Penn State
Rutgers at #3 Ohio State
#14 Michigan at Maryland
Michigan State at Iowa
Washington at UCLA
Minnesota vs. Northwestern (Wrigley Field)
WEEK FOURTEEN - November 29
11:00 am on FOX - #3 Ohio State at #14 Michigan
2:30 pm on CBS - TBD
6:30 pm on NBC - TBD
TBD Games
Northwestern at #12 Illinois
#7 Oregon at Washington
UCLA at USC
Wisconsin at Minnesota
#2 Penn State at Rutgers
Maryland vs. Michigan State (Ford Field)
Off-the-Table Games
Iowa at Nebraska (Friday at 11:00 am on CBS)
#20 Indiana at Purdue (Friday at 6:30 pm on NBC)