Illinois 82, Kansas 75 (Exhibition) Postgame

#376      
Maybe CoHawk has the ability to push the ball on the break but he hasn't shown that at all this year yet. I haven't seen any instances where the Illini end up with an advantage in transition when CoHawk brings up the ball. He is a competent ball handler but I wish he would make some outlet passes off of the rebound instead of bringing the ball up so that the Illini can get some transition hoops.
To be fair, transition basketball isn't our strength. We had zero fast break points vs. Kansas.
 
#377      
It also isn't necessarily because they are good at making them, either. There a few potential factors. If I were to guess, I'd say it's because our best chance at winning the game was a scenario in which we were able to take away the 3 and influence Kansas to go to HD over and over - ask any Michigan fan and they know what I'm talking about. He took 23 shots and got his, he's individually super productive, but that has not been the best model for wins over the course of that kids career. A scenario in which Kansas was hitting outside shots AND Hunter was getting his (even on fewer attempts) would be a death sentence.
It's also been the general strategy over the past few seasons under Brad. He constantly emphasizes that he wants to force tough two point attempts and Illinois has ranked 16th and 8th in opponent three point rate over the past two seasons.
 
#379      
It's also been the general strategy over the past few seasons under Brad. He constantly emphasizes that he wants to force tough two point attempts and Illinois has ranked 16th and 8th in opponent three point rate over the past two seasons.
and would have been even better if not for playing PSU 3 times last year /s
 
#380      
Hey, that may be the case. You could very well be right...just don't be surprised if that narrative doesn't play out. We're talking about a particularly challenging prima donna who is likely going to demand 15+ shots a game. If for whatever reason Kansas continues to not shoot particularly well, you can expect that kid to to not only publicly throw his teammates under the bus like he did at Michigan, but demand the ball even more.
Bill self is not Juwan Howard. I expect the Dick to have an outstanding year.
 
#382      
Domask and Harmon played the last minutes together along with Coleman, Quincey and Terrance
IMO, we'll see this line up a lot at the end of close games, decent ball handling, decent FT%, tons of experience that won't get rattled by a full court press of any kind, etc.

decent at everything not great but no glaring weaknesses. And if either Coleman or TSJ are hot from 3, we win. If not, we probably win most close games anyway.
 
#384      
Let me make myself clear - On paper, Kansas has guys who can shoot. To your point, the existing data shows that. And me previously stating the team "can't shoot" was not the correct use of words. This is what I'm getting at: Having those shooters doesn't necessarily mean the 2023/24 Kansas squad will be a good shooting team. It's a fair statement to say a good portion of their offense is likely going to go through Hunter, Mccular, KJ Adams & Elmarko Jackson. Collectively, shooting isn't a strength of that group. What happens if this plays out and opposing defenses sag & run off the rest of their guys who can shoot?
We get it, our defense had nothing to do with kansas not shooting there threes very well and not getting as many attempts as they usually would.
 
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#385      

lstewart53x3

Scottsdale, Arizona
Polls are based on perception. That’s why the poll numbers don’t always match up with KenPom numbers. Pollsters are 100% going to have this game in the back of their mind next time they submit their votes.

NCAA tourney seeding, however, won’t include this game in their evaluation.
 
#386      
Polls are based on perception. That’s why the poll numbers don’t always match up with KenPom numbers. Pollsters are 100% going to have this game in the back of their mind next time they submit their votes.

NCAA tourney seeding, however, won’t include this game in their evaluation.
Fortunately, Ken Pom already has us at 19. May the voters will get with the program.
 
#388      
Big XII generally has more athletic players than the Big Ten. I think there will be a lot of teams that leave their athletic, albeit probably physically weaker big, 1 on 1 with Hunter. I think they’ll make him prove that he can score over the athleticism, while allowing perimeter defenders to stay 1 on 1 with shooters.

I think both teams played hard, but Kansas did 2 things that really hurt us that they didn’t truly stick with like I think they would have in a regular game.

The pick and roll with KJ short rolling and sliding the big to the strong side dunker spot, leaving the 2 on 1 with KJ/Hunter and our big defender was open every time. They also went to their high low stuff and were open a couple times. In a real game I bet Bill Self is calling that until we stop it.

Also in a real game, a team is gonna execute and you’re gonna give up some buckets because of it. So would we have been able to adjust properly is the question. With BU’s history and our experience, I’d say probably. Overall, a good, fun game to watch.
 
#389      
To be fair, transition basketball isn't our strength. We had zero fast break points vs. Kansas.
Anyone have any comparative stats from last year focusing on the total number of fast-break points????
 
#390      
KenPom isn't really much better than polls at this stage in the season when we literally haven't played a game. It is based entirely on the players' production from the previous season, which is basically the same as polls.
I emailed him a while back and asked him about how he handles that as the season progresses. IIRC, he said it diminishes in his metrics and is totally eliminated after 20 games. I didn't ask the reason it took so long, but I suspect it's because of the nature of the non-conf making comparisons difficult, at least for some teams.
 
#391      

sacraig

The desert
I emailed him a while back and asked him about how he handles that as the season progresses. IIRC, he said it diminishes in his metrics and is totally eliminated after 20 games. I didn't ask the reason it took so long, but I suspect it's because of the nature of the non-conf making comparisons difficult, at least for some teams.
I actually though it tapered out fast than that. But yes, the weight given to the prior season decreases as the number of games in a new season increases.
 
#395      
If we can't determine that against the #1 ranked team, then when / against whom?
After probably 10-15 games, I'd say.

Just because it worked against Kansas, doesn't mean it will work all season. I hope it does work; I think Rodgers is awesome, but we beat Texas and UCLA last year, and lots of other good teams, but PG play definitely held us back last year.
 
#396      
Think what he is saying is 1 game isn't enough to go on to say we won't have issues at PG no matter who the opponent of that game was.
That's exactly what I am saying. Kansas made no effort to exploit Ty's unwillingness to shoot from more than 2 feet away from the rim. What happens when a team throws a zone at us or applies full court pressure? I'm curious to see. I'll note here that Ty had as many turnovers as he had assists.

Look, I really liked Ty's aggressiveness with the dribble drive, defense, and we all know that he can rebound. I'm just not sold on him as a lead guard.
 
#397      
Think what he is saying is 1 game isn't enough to go on to say we won't have issues at PG no matter who the opponent of that game was.

Did KU ever really press? They seemed to value getting back on defense, but not putting much on ball pressure away from the 3 pt line. Gotta say I was surprised the PG by committee worked as well as it did.

Coleman was huge. So many veteran and unselfish plays. Who'd of thought that down the stretch, he would dribble around looking for a pass, and wind up having to take a step-back 3... and drains it. TSJ obviously huge as well.
 
#398      
Seeing a lot of people comment on the amount of layups we gave up. I think you all are missing two important pieces.

1) That’s how basketball is played now. The reality is it’s much better to give up layups than open 3’s. (Kofi is playing overseas and wasn’t a top 10 draft pick for a reason.) And we did a REALLY good job running Kansas off the three point line. The commentary that they are a bad three point shooting team is ridiculous. We locked them down from three. What we saw was good defense, not a poor shooting opponent.

2) We don’t give up that many layups against anyone not named Kansas. They might be the only team we see this year outside of the tourney with comparable length and athleticism. Re-watch the Ottowa game. Every layup they took got swatted into to bleachers. Our length is going to bail us out of a lot of those situations this year.
RIDICULOUS! Okay say you make 85% of your layups and 38% of open 3s. 100 layups = 170 points 100 3's = 114 points. Unless time is running out in the game and you are 3 points down, you had sure as heck better take the layup instead of a 3.

When they put up an early 3, why do you think that announcers say, "He could have gotten that shot anytime, they should have worked it for something better."?
 
#399      
Did KU ever really press? They seemed to value getting back on defense, but not putting much on ball pressure away from the 3 pt line. Gotta say I was surprised the PG by committee worked as well as it did.

Coleman was huge. So many veteran and unselfish plays. Who'd of thought that down the stretch, he would dribble around looking for a pass, and wind up having to take a step-back 3... and drains it. TSJ obviously huge as well.
How many teams actually press in CBB? Not very many
 
#400      
That's exactly what I am saying. Kansas made no effort to exploit Ty's unwillingness to shoot from more than 2 feet away from the rim. What happens when a team throws a zone at us or applies full court pressure? I'm curious to see. I'll note here that Ty had as many turnovers as he had assists.

Look, I really liked Ty's aggressiveness with the dribble drive, defense, and we all know that he can rebound. I'm just not sold on him as a lead guard.
If teams want to Zone us then we will just roll w/ Harmon, Domask, Coleman, Goode, TJ. But not many teams actually run zone or work on it in practice. As for the press(which again not many teams do or do well) then there are various ways to break it and I think we will ultimately be alright with TJ, Domask, Ty, Harmon and Coleman