Illinois 97, Missouri 73 Postgame

#252      
I'm not a basketball expert, and my wife (also Illini, btw) definitely less so. But it didn't take her long to start talking about last night's game this morning: "Do you know why last night's win was so much fun?" Me: "Winning?" Ignores that comment: "The way they played as a team. The passing was so good. The way they shared the ball." Me: "Yep." Her again: "I would really like to have been there." Me, thinking: "I know where we will be late next December."

I'm a lucky guy.

I Love You Kiss GIF by jerseycouple
 
#253      
To keep it simple: You move up and down in KenPom based on your offensive and defensive efficiency in each game compared to your expected offensive and defensive efficiency in that particular game.

IE: Based on how good Missouri’s offense and defense is, X is the expected outcome of the game. We played better than X, hence our overall efficiency improves and we move up.

What went up the most in this game was our offensive efficiency from #30 to #20 (defensive efficiency moved up 1 spot).

One thing to keep in mind is that the rating system is not linear. Those teams in the 10-20 range all have a very similar efficiency rating. We moved up in efficiency by 1.3, which is great for a single game, but Houston, for example, who’s #1 in KenPom, is ahead of Arizona (#2) by more than 1.3. So this game jumped us 8 spots, but it would not have taken us from 1-2.

Houston, #1, is currently ahead of us in efficiency by +7. We’re +7 the 40th ranked team. So team 40, is closer to team 8, than team 8 is to team 1.
Look at Houston schedule, they could be vastly overrated. Best win is Xavier by 6 points
 
#256      
Admittedly, I don't understand how KenPom works. Was it the margin of victory that pushed us that high? A tier 2 win? Or yes to both? That's a huge jump after one game.
It is simply points per 100 possessions adjusted for opponent. ppp*100 offense - ppp*100 defense, which he calls AdjEM. Teams are ranked by AdjEM.

Last night we were 126 ppp*100 unadjusted offense. While giving up 94.8 ppp*100 on D. 126 is a big number. The top teams are around the mid 120s on offense.
 
#259      
Is it finally safe to utter TSJ’s name in the same breath as all time Illini greats, without being shouted down?
It‘s not an insult. What isn’t he doing at an elite level? A blur in the open court, a menace on defense, finishes in the paint, hits his 3’s, rebounds, finds teammates, sets a great example of what it takes to be great at this level…
Enjoy it, folks.
 
#263      

Tacomallini

Washington State
Leading up to QG’s 4 point play in the 1st half was a really impressive sequence from Amani. He fought for an offensive rebound, and was arguably fouled. Hustled down the floor to get in position, grabbed a grown man defensive rebound, kicked out for the hockey assist. Around 3:20 left in 1st iirc.
 
#265      

sacraig

The desert
Admittedly, I don't understand how KenPom works. Was it the margin of victory that pushed us that high? A tier 2 win? Or yes to both? That's a huge jump after one game.
Margin/efficiency is a big part. But also that we are at the point where preseason metrics get de-emphasized by his model and we have performed better than the preseason predictions.
 
#266      

skyIdub

Winged Warrior
Was at the game, and Armani was bouncing around and happy, before and after the game. Kid is going to score ALOT of points for us and is absolutely going to put some bruises on a lot of opposing players. Absolutely goes full throttle on rebounds and is alway hustling down court.

I was never sold on Ty at PG but I feel more comfortable after tonight.

Talk about pick your poison. Clog the lane on TSJs drive and QG is going to abuse you from the corner. Sprinkle in some MD man handling guards and CH who can do just about everything and this is brewing up to be a special year

CH hates Mizzou as much as the rest of us and it showed haha.

This gif is so appropriate. IYKYK

7Eeq.gif
 
#272      
Thank you Fighting Illini for the great pre-Christmas gift we all got last night. We hoped for it. We wanted it. We dropped hints for it. We needed it. It’s just the ‘right size’. You wrapped it nicely. You delivered it! And we loved it.

Shannon is just a flat-out joy to watch. An offense weapon from anywhere on the floor. Any chance he can stay here forever?

And from the whole team... Ball Movement! Rebounding! Energy! Hawkins hitting sweet Threes. QG-Man looking great.

So, thanks again. Uh, just one more thing. We’d like another gift come ‘round March time. As much as we like what you gave us yesterday... what we want in a few months would be even bigger and better and in an even nicer box. So, how about it? And you guys will want that too!

Get used to having success, Illini Nation. That’s so much sweeter than the alternative.

Question for the future: How do the Illini defend that Big Dude from Purdue when the day arrives? Everything with that guy is a size miss-match.

And as for the quote about the Illini being a Final Four team? That’s nice, but what I want is for the Illini to be a FINAL ONE TEAM. We've already done the 'Four' thing the last time around.
 
#274      
Thank you Fighting Illini for the great pre-Christmas gift we all got last night. We hoped for it. We wanted it. We dropped hints for it. We needed it. It’s just the ‘right size’. You wrapped it nicely. You delivered it! And we loved it.

Shannon is just a flat-out joy to watch. An offense weapon from anywhere on the floor. Any chance he can stay here forever?

And from the whole team... Ball Movement! Rebounding! Energy! Hawkins hitting sweet Threes. QG-Man looking great.

So, thanks again. Uh, just one more thing. We’d like another gift come ‘round March time. As much as we like what you gave us yesterday... what we want in a few months would be even bigger and better and in an even nicer box. So, how about it? And you guys will want that too!

Get used to having success, Illini Nation. That’s so much sweeter than the alternative.

Question for the future: How do the Illini defend that Big Dude from Purdue when the day arrives? Everything with that guy is a size miss-match.

And as for the quote about the Illini being a Final Four team? That’s nice, but what I want is for the Illini to be a FINAL ONE TEAM. We've already done the 'Four' thing the last time around.
Don't worry about Edey - he will get his no matter what. Defend the 3 and Purdue is vulnerable.
 
#275      
Is it finally safe to utter TSJ’s name in the same breath as all time Illini greats, without being shouted down?
It‘s not an insult. What isn’t he doing at an elite level? A blur in the open court, a menace on defense, finishes in the paint, hits his 3’s, rebounds, finds teammates, sets a great example of what it takes to be great at this level…
Enjoy it, folks.

Shannon driving in open court.

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