Illinois Football Recruiting Thread

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#951      
Big in state win … Big one for Charlie as well …

But as Bret told me …

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Hoping it's for Lightfoot
 
#953      
well, sure. but an accurate assessment of your chances needs to be ongoing. picking your battles is key. as is knowing when to cut bait. staff seems to be doing a VG job of that. I love that most of the tall order battles involve Illinois preps.
Fully agree. Just been seeing a fair amount of “rankings don’t matter” or similar type posts of late and just chose to reply to yours. Cuz they do “matter” in a sense. On the whole a class that is ranked 10 or 15 spots higher at the end of the cycle is probably fairly consistently better than its counterpart Rankings/ratings are also a recognizable “nomenclature” for people interested in recruiting. I liken them to wine descriptors such as bacon fat with Syrah or petrol with Riesling. While I don’t necessarily think they smell exactly like that, if someone describes a Cote Rotie as having bacon fat on the nose, I know exactly what they are smelling. For the record, love bacon fat nose on Syrahs, not a fan of petrol in Riesling nose
 
#956      

band camp

STL City
Sorry to disappoint but the assumption of Gaussian Distribution is not empirically supported and a long stretch. For small sample like this, you need students t distribution that allows thicker tails or excess kurtosis. If you throw couple of 4 or 5 stars players in the mix, that will result in skewed distribution or non-zero skewness, so may be a chi-squared distribution may end up being useful. Just must 2 cents. (Dan please remove this message if it's inappropriate)
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#957      
Fully agree. Just been seeing a fair amount of “rankings don’t matter” or similar type posts of late and just chose to reply to yours. Cuz they do “matter” in a sense. On the whole a class that is ranked 10 or 15 spots higher at the end of the cycle is probably fairly consistently better than its counterpart Rankings/ratings are also a recognizable “nomenclature” for people interested in recruiting. I liken them to wine descriptors such as bacon fat with Syrah or petrol with Riesling. While I don’t necessarily think they smell exactly like that, if someone describes a Cote Rotie as having bacon fat on the nose, I know exactly what they are smelling. For the record, love bacon fat nose on Syrahs, not a fan of petrol in Riesling nose
Love those northern Rhones. Wish I could afford them.
 
#960      

lstewart53x3

Scottsdale, Arizona
Fully agree. Just been seeing a fair amount of “rankings don’t matter” or similar type posts of late and just chose to reply to yours. Cuz they do “matter” in a sense. On the whole a class that is ranked 10 or 15 spots higher at the end of the cycle is probably fairly consistently better than its counterpart Rankings/ratings are also a recognizable “nomenclature” for people interested in recruiting. I liken them to wine descriptors such as bacon fat with Syrah or petrol with Riesling. While I don’t necessarily think they smell exactly like that, if someone describes a Cote Rotie as having bacon fat on the nose, I know exactly what they are smelling. For the record, love bacon fat nose on Syrahs, not a fan of petrol in Riesling nose
There’s two types of 5*’s. A 5* because he’s a 5* and a 5* because he chose to play at Texas.

There’s two types of 3*’s. A 3* start because he’s a 3* and a 3* because he chose to play at Illinois.

Recruiting rankings matter. But not as much as coach evaluations.

See Texas.
 
#963      

mhuml32

Cincinnati, OH
Big in state win … Big one for Charlie as well

But as Bret told me …

Before this it was a lot of "we can tell he has serious recruiting juice" and he was keeping the program involved with solid recruits but they were likely long odd situations. This is different, big win for Charlie and the program. Just went on an official visit to Wisconsin, then comes to Illinois for his visit and commits. Another nice win over Wisconsin.



As I have stated before, I lean more towards other team offers than recruiting rankings and "trust the coaches".

Barna is a great example of a lower-ranked recruit where the general consensus is that college coaching staffs are higher on the player than the ranking sites. He has offers from Wisconsin, Kansas, Oklahoma, Washington State, and Purdue. Give me all of these kind of recruiting wins as possible.
 
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#964      
Fully agree. Just been seeing a fair amount of “rankings don’t matter” or similar type posts of late and just chose to reply to yours. Cuz they do “matter” in a sense. On the whole a class that is ranked 10 or 15 spots higher at the end of the cycle is probably fairly consistently better than its counterpart Rankings/ratings are also a recognizable “nomenclature” for people interested in recruiting.

Think it has less to do with rankings don't matter and they trust BB with his track record of recruiting/developing players. BB has recruited around the same level during his entire collegiate career.

Big difference now is people are so high on recruiting rankings than they also should apply transfer rankings into the mix. One of the first things BB said would take time is building up the walk-on program to a higher standard and brought in a bunch of transfers to fill in holes. This will continue on a yearly basis with all the portal chaos. BB is great at building and filling in the loose holes.......
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#965      
There’s two types of 5*’s. A 5* because he’s a 5* and a 5* because he chose to play at Texas.

There’s two types of 3*’s. A 3* start because he’s a 3* and a 3* because he chose to play at Illinois.

Recruiting rankings matter. But not as much as coach evaluations.

See Texas.
I agree. But considering there are a very large number of recruits rated prior to committing anywhere, I think ratings are a useful tool. The guy who just committed was rated a 3* prior to committing. Now maybe he won’t get a bump he deserves at a later date because he signed with Illinois and there is nothing wrong with him being a 3* — I like the pick up. Again, they’re a tool and a currency that can be used to talk about recruiting/recruits that most interested people have a general idea what is meant. Not down on any of our recruits or on BB and staff because of the ratings of guys in class. I trust them, but I think an over arching statement like ratings don’t matter is is correct in the big picture.

Funny you mention Texas, Mack Brown’s classes were consistently overrated for the reason you say. Not sure if it is as bad now. One thing I find a bit funny is when a player from say Alabama hits the portal after barely sniffing the field for 2 years and he’s described as former 4* and ithus is automatically elevated to a prized transfer because of that rating and the college.
 
#969      
Think it has less to do with rankings don't matter and they trust BB with his track record of recruiting/developing players. BB has recruited around the same level during his entire collegiate career.

Big difference now is people are so high on recruiting rankings than they also should apply transfer rankings into the mix. One of the first things BB said would take time is building up the walk-on program to a higher standard and brought in a bunch of transfers to fill in holes. This will continue on a yearly basis with all the portal chaos. BB is great at building and filling in the loose holes.......
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I get that and agree. I’m probably being a bit contrarian here.

I think it would be interesting to see his hit rate at Wisconsin and Arkansas (too early for Illinois probably) for recruits at multiple numerical ratings levels. Say .8200 to .8300., .8300 to .8400 and so on as well as those not rated — resulting in starters, all-conference, draft pick. I certainly believe BB is strong in player development, just would be interesting if numbers bear that out or people just remember the top story like Witherspoon — who, of course, BB didn’t recruit.
 
#971      
Full marks that you're a TAM graduate. Stellar department. My frosh roommate was a TAM major. ME here (well, we're all one big happy MechSE family now, I suppose!) When I visited campus last summer visited Talbot and was bummed to see that they filled in the big bay and the Iron Giant concrete crusher apparently is no more. Newmark has one, I believe, but it lacks the majesty of its Talbot cousin. [EDIT: and, yeah, grateful and honored that I got to study what and where I did.]

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ME here as well, and sad to hear that the crusher is no more. But yes, Bret's recruiting will make up for the loss, I do believe.
 
#974      
I get that and agree. I’m probably being a bit contrarian here.

I think it would be interesting to see his hit rate at Wisconsin and Arkansas (too early for Illinois probably) for recruits at multiple numerical ratings levels. Say .8200 to .8300., .8300 to .8400 and so on as well as those not rated — resulting in starters, all-conference, draft pick.
I don't disagree with anything just there are so many factors with all of this that can be thrown in. Unless I got paid to do it professionally than no thanks.lol

The X factor with those comparisons is Wisconsin and Arkansas were in decent stretches when he took them over. Alvarez left the keys to BB and he took off. Arkansas had a rough season(John L Smith) before BB but Petrino had them playing well until he got fired for off the field handlings. Our history is long but not very rich in the modern era. I don't expect championships, but I also don't see 2-10 seasons and fans checked out after the non-conference season anymore.



I certainly believe BB is strong in player development, just would be interesting if numbers bear that out or people just remember the top story like Witherspoon — who, of course, BB didn’t recruit.
We all look at things differently. JMO but I don't see Witherspoon developing to the levels he showed under BB if Lovie and his staff were still around. I also think Lovie would have rode QB Sitkowski for the '22 season if he wasn't fired. The roster wasn't empty when BB took over but there were a ton of holes. I look at it as underperforming coaches will always have some talent in spots even if they are terrible in the Big 10 or major conference. Might speak more to the strength of conference/exposure than the coach if a lousy one.
 
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