Illinois Hoops Recruiting Thread (August 2018)

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#1,401      

skyIdub

Winged Warrior
I think you are too pessimistic for the group as a whole, just based on the math (although I realize BU recruiting has defied all statistical probabilities to date). If you assign a relatively pessimistic likelihood of getting each one, something like:
Anthony Walker - 25%
Oscar Tshiebwe - 5%
Quincy Guerrier - 25%
EJ Liddell - 5%
Jason Jitoboh - 25%

Then are chances of landing at least one of them is 62%

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#1,402      
Easier said than done. How many big name college coaches do you think there are? Off the top of my head I can come up with Self, K, Cal, Izzo, Roy and Brad Stevens and none of them are leaving their current gigs for Duke.

Duke is paying $9mil a year currently, more than any other school. Even Self, the fourth highest paid according to USA Today's database, is only $4.9.

Stevens contract was for a little over $3mil a year, although it's said his extension gave him a good bump.
 
#1,403      
Explain to me when any top ranked big man came to Illinois. I believe Kane is as going to be as good as anyone we have had in the last 30 years other than maybe Augi. I wish all the naysayers on this sight would give the coach a chance.

Meyers Leonard was a lottery pick. Cookie wasn't too bad.
 
#1,404      

Dbell1981

Decatur, IL
Explain to me when any top ranked big man came to Illinois. I believe Kane is as going to be as good as anyone we have had in the last 30 years other than maybe Augi. I wish all the naysayers on this sight would give the coach a chance.
Brian Cook but I get what you are saying. I agree that coach Underwood will get it going soon.
 
#1,405      
Explain to me when any top ranked big man came to Illinois. I believe Kane is as going to be as good as anyone we have had in the last 30 years other than maybe Augi. I wish all the naysayers on this sight would give the coach a chance.
Dont really understand that first sentence, but Egwu was a top 100 guy (heck, Mav was around 150 IIRC). If Samba wants to be one of the best in the past 3 decades, he's got a few other hurdles than just Augie, though he probably is the largest.

I am giving BU a chance, and I'm optimistic on guys like Kane, Griffin, and Higgs, and taking into account that in most cases you gotta walk before you can run, we are going to need recruiting to take a bump in the right direction. Put me under the camp of (over) analyzing what BU has already done, but getting clear plan C and below guys isn't how you build a successful program. I still would give his 2018 class a B, the guys he pulled in the spring period were impressive, however the fact remains that if you're filling 5+ scholarships in the spring, you're not recruiting well (in most cases).

Missing on guys like Castleton in a vacuum isn't program ending (and franking if one recruit ever is, theres much bigger issues present), but eventually, we have to start landing plan A/B recruits, and in a class of almost half your team, you'd hope more than 1 was that kind (and while Jones might end up becoming a guy that should've been prioritized, he was not a 1/2 option). This years class will be telling whether or not this turnaround will take 2/3 more years, or 5/6. I'll easily give BU a 2/3 year window to make things work. I still dont think it wrong to criticize and examine what's happened since he's arrived, without immediately calling for his head. I think too many on this board think those two are always cause and effect, when they don't need to be linked at all.
 
#1,406      
Explain to me when any top ranked big man came to Illinois. I believe Kane is as going to be as good as anyone we have had in the last 30 years other than maybe Augi. I wish all the naysayers on this sight would give the coach a chance.
Is my sarcasm meter off???
 
#1,407      

Deleted member 643761

D
Guest
I'm sure this has been touched on somewhere, but it seems encouraging that the Illini are being listed in so many top recruits "Final X" these days? I realize some may be a "courtesy", perhaps, but just making it to that final cut says good work is being done. I also realize not being the final selection also speaks volumes, though it feels like we're getting a ton more looks than during the two previous regimes.

Note: no supporting data, just an uneducated observation
Well we lost Shaq to LSU and the list of bridesmaid recruitments since then is lengthy.

P.s. little known fact. Shaq was set to come but didn't want to go up against rennie clemons each day in practice
 
#1,408      
Easier said than done. How many big name college coaches do you think there are? Off the top of my head I can come up with Self, K, Cal, Izzo, Roy and Brad Stevens and none of them are leaving their current gigs for Duke.

This is true, but I don't think I would qualify Self as a big name college coach (in the vein of the other coaches you mentioned) when he left Illinois for Kansas. He was obviously extremely successful in his short stint at Illinois, but he became a top-tier, big name coach while at Kansas. Duke doesn't have to hire a guy with the immediate panache of Coach K, they just need to hire the next one, so to speak.

...easier said than done of course. But those guys do come around and Duke will have one of the easier times recruiting and paying such a coach.
 
#1,409      
I wouldn't even bet on that. Pretty sure their recruiting comes from the boosters, not the coach. And I'd bet anything they have laid the groundwork for another big name coachm so when he retires, they won't have a problem transitioning.

Disagree. Boosters help. But Duke is a boulder rolling down a mountain that has gained so much momentum. Success breeds more success and money and money and success breed success and money. There is a lot of recruiting wrapped up in things specific to K like K's connections and coaching influences and marketing and NBA ties and what he can do for a person/coach/player connected to him. That is something that has increased over the years. If he leaves, Duke still has the banners and money and track record and a very attractive coaching situation (though you can argue following K is going to be really undesirable) but a lot of the those things that are very specific to K will be gone. I'm sure Duke will find a good coach and have plenty of recruiting advantages but K leaving would certainly level the playing field in a lot of ways.
 
#1,410      

skyIdub

Winged Warrior
When you’re getting C’s and D’s On the court, you aren’t going to get A and B recruits very often.
If this team can somehow forge above .500 with this seasons schedule, that is a solid B+ and will give recruiting some traction with plan A and B kids.
 
#1,411      
Would be interested to see the groups thoughts on the odds of getting 0, 1, or 2 of the above to commit?

0: 60%
1: 35%
2: 5%

Is that in the ballpark? (Honestly, hope my guesses are too pessimistic but I don't know that there are any of these that we feel great on)


0: 45%
1: 55%
2: 4%
 
#1,412      
Disagree.

Neither of us know how they get it done, so that's fine.

My point is they are spending more on their coach than any other program in the country, and I expect that if he retires,
A) they will be especially eager to get an elite replacement &
B) Financially, no one seems out of reach.
 
#1,414      
The fact that you are saying he was 5'8" at best and had highlight reel dunks only makes me want him more. I mean, Nate Robinson is the only dude I have heard of who's that short and has the insane athleticism to still be able to dunk a basketball. So either your height estimation is pretty off or you are way underestimating this kid's potential.
Spud Webb and Charlie Criss and Tyrone "T-Bone" Robinson, the latter being a Juco player at Olney Central in the mid-1980s from Gary, Ind., who shot a funky ball but could dunk like nobody's business at 5'8"!
 
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#1,415      
Meyers Leonard was a lottery pick. Cookie wasn't too bad.
Uh, Deon Thomas, the best big man Illinois has every had, along with Marcus Griffin. Shawn Pruitt had some solid skills, too, despite being a black hole. Have we been a factory, like G-town was at one time? No, but we have had some and would be pleased if Kane could be what Griffin was and even in the same area code as Thomas!
 
#1,416      
Explain to me when any top ranked big man came to Illinois. I believe Kane is as going to be as good as anyone we have had in the last 30 years other than maybe Augi. I wish all the naysayers on this sight would give the coach a chance.

We have absolutely no evidence Kane will be even in the ballpark of that good. It is not us not "giving coach a chance" it is the majority of the posters on this board being realistic. And even if he's an all big ten player he hasn't even stepped on the court yet. Top 100 guys do not fear competing for playing time against a guy rated 281.
 
#1,418      

mhuml32

Cincinnati, OH
All I know for sure is that this board has given up on reason. I get whiplash due to how rapidly and violently we swing between "we are in the lead to land x, y, and z recruit" to "our entire 2019 class is doomed!"

This board (and Illinois fans in general) added another level of anxiety and desperation after the 2007 recruiting class. Add 12 more years of bad memories and you get the current product.
 
#1,420      
When you’re getting C’s and D’s On the court, you aren’t going to get A and B recruits very often.
If this team can somehow forge above .500 with this seasons schedule, that is a solid B+ and will give recruiting some traction with plan A and B kids.

They are correlated, but it's not 1 to 1. There are plenty of teams out there that recruit at high levels despite poor performances. My personal example is UNLV, but there's obvious coaching choices that pull recruits higher than their weight class. Of course, that typically means on court success is lacking, or they would just be known as good coaches.

On court success is the easiest way to get good recruits. I guess my point is there needs to be some concept what who we can pull. Offer every top 50 kid for all I care, but spending time (and OV's) but theres gotta be some self awareness. TBH it's probably that we know about 5% of whats going on, but it seems like the staff wasted more time then they should've on kids they should not have. Though hindsight helps, there must have been some feeling that a few of those kids were pipe dreams.

At the end of the day, theres always going to be second place finishes and wasted recruiting time, but I don't think we have to have 20 win seasons to pull every guy we want.
 
#1,421      
Would be interested to see the groups thoughts on the odds of getting 0, 1, or 2 of the above to commit?

0: 60%
1: 35%
2: 5%

Is that in the ballpark? (Honestly, hope my guesses are too pessimistic but I don't know that there are any of these that we feel great on)

0% - surprise
 
#1,425      
Neither of us know how they get it done, so that's fine.

My point is they are spending more on their coach than any other program in the country, and I expect that if he retires,
A) they will be especially eager to get an elite replacement &
B) Financially, no one seems out of reach.

I agree on A and B. But I think unless they find some elite candidate that is going to satisfy the Dukie masses and pass K's approval, they're going to feel like they have to stay in the Duke coaching tree for a replacement. Rest assured that when it is time for K to exit, he will not do so without a plan for his choice to get the job if he has a particular choice.
 
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