You oversign for Goodwin or Tilmon. No question about it.
Generally agree in a normal year, but with potentially 6 scholarships 2017 and none in 2018 it is not a normal year and I think there are questions about it. I think the strategy will probably be more plan on a 5th yr big or 2 (immediate help to replace graduated Mav & Thorne (or his 5th yr replacement) for number 6 or 5/6 & if you hit on a 6 scholarships then you give up this 5th year options, so it is hard for me to imagine an over sign when you have 6 scholarships already.
With this in mind, I think we may hold a scholarship for Goodwin with 5th yr as the back up plan, getting very picky with another wing/g, but if we pull the trigger on scholarships 3-6, not sure we have room for Goodwin, but the last guard/wing will have to be good enough to pass on Goodwin.
Timon is a bit different since we will have only 2 senior bigs left at this point plus Kipper. We need to get a big on board, really would like 2. I don't see how we can grab 2 bigs in the next 4 scholarships that are good enough to pass on Tilmon. Still think the more likely scenario is we take 1 big,hold one for a 5th yr to cover us for 2017 if Tilmon doesn't sign.
Also if you take 6 freshman in 2017, 2018 decisions start getting tougher. So it just seems more likely that we hold a scholarship at this point rather than over sign.
Now with everything going on, the roster could blow up & we not have 6 scholarships, but that is a different discussion.