I suppose that I have observed too long without having posted anything. Without going into your first point just yet, I liken this year, well, many years, to the St. Louis Cardinals coming in second for FA signings and our / its fanbase blaming ownership and management for not going the extra mile. This year notwithstanding, the Cardinals have ostensibly been one of if not the best run franchise in baseball.
That said, this has not always been the case, particularly before the DeWitt group took over. Upon the changing of the guard, there was retooling, retooling that did not happen overnight, including the presence of a HOF coach and, for that time, a savvy GM. This, I think, is what we have in Underwood (and staff) / Whitman. It will take a few years; it did with Beilein at WV and at UM. So while I am a bit miffed about not locking down Castleton or Conditt, it is par for the course; UM is better positioned right now to win and have more to offer. So the "what have you done for me lately" (cue Eddie Murphy's Raw voice here) and the state in which our program finds itself makes it a tougher sell. And no, I am not going into the potential issues with the FBI issues; Underwood appears to be very clean, and I have no doubt that Whitman did his due diligence before hiring.
So it seems as if we are in agreement here. As to your first point, however, I am not so sure that I buy it, even with the talent that was either inherited or recruited. The only player who is going to make a marked contribution his freshman year is Mark Smith; we already know that. T'JL and the rest of the upperclassmen have their respective roles already carved out, so that is fine; whether we go after another proper point guard (still going with Ayo as a CG), which would be prudent, is not out of the question. As for your other players:
Matic Vessel: A PF who needs a ton of work, both in the weight room and learning the system, so for his sake, I hope he becomes a RS because he is not going to see much time, if any.
Greg Eboigbodin: Another PF who needs work. I have not seen him play, but the comments about his athleticism and working with OA coupled with some sort of need here will have him see limited minutes unless he somehow blows up.
Trent Fraizer: This one is intriguing, as I am not sure how many minutes he will log. I am guessing he will see 15-20min / game, and if he can contribute, especially given his work ethic, that is a bonus. Is he better than Ayo? No. Is he better than Nolley? I do not know. Possibly similar players with Nolley getting the edge. Time will tell, particularly if Nolley commits to the Illini, which is seemingly completely bipolar as the minutes tick away. Nolley will be a great fit should he come to don the orange and blue.
Da'Monte Williams: This is a wild card given that he was just cleared to resume full basketball activities. I have faith in the kid, but again I ask, who is better than whom when it comes to the '18 recruiting class? We will see how he is handled by Underwood and staff; if he is en route to returning to the Top 100 prospect that he once was, why rush him? He will get minutes, but he will certainly not eclipse the playing time of Trent.
So given the who is better than whom question, I think the bigger question to ask is that as a guard, whether PG / CG / SF (THT), is can I slot in right away to this new guard-driven system. I am sorry for not doing my due diligence with respect to Underwood's past usage of players (e.g., number of players per game), but given the uptempo style of play, the deeper we are the better. Ayo is going to start if he comes here, but there are so many opportunities to either displace or rotate in this system. So losing recruits to that is something into which I cannot buy. We will see what happens with Nolley and what the contingencies are. And without drinking the Kool-Aid just yet, I still have faith that we will get Ayo / THT and at least one player, possibly two, of whom we have not yet discussed (save for BJP if they make a run at him), that will have people stepping back from their respective balconies or ledges.
I think this is enough for now. Everyone chime if you wish; I hope we can bring some sensibility to this thread. Cheers!
Although, as a postscript, I was a senior during the '05 run and was at the WF game. So if Ayo does commit to Wake, I will feel that more than anything.