Illinois Hoops Recruiting Thread

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#601      
Well, consider the context of guys like Domask, Harmon and Guerrier who take deep, off the dribble 3s and are higher volume guys vs Luke Goode, who’s made 24 3s in his career. Put those guys in the right roles and maybe the numbers will be better. That’s clearly what the staff is going for considering Domask and Harmon grade out well on open/spot-up shots (not sure about Guerrier, haven’t dug into the numbers)
This. This is the nuance so many do not grasp. It is one thing being the guy who has to take the end of the shot clock shot or had to take tough off the bounce 3’s. Sometimes the % goes up significantly because they get to just catch it and shoot it.
 
#602      
I also remember hearing he was close to picking Indiana. Indy, any insight why tennessee?
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#603      
I think it's more than the flavor of the month. Kansas won it last year with upper classman (zero five star recruits) as did Baylor the year before. Hard to believe that Mathew Mayer was a junior coming off the bench for that team.
Thanks for the reply - were Kansas' or UConn's (or SDSU's) "old guys" new transfers in, or had they been with the program several years? (Genuine question, I don't know)
 
#604      
Brought in as a senior grad transfer when that was brand new for Weber's last season to fill a hole at PG.

Had been a steady and reliable player at Bradley but was just a disaster at Illinois and just looked out of place physically. It kinda spiraled on him and it almost became like watching a guy with the yips out there, I felt really bad for him.

Maniscalco, Jaylon Tate, Ahmad Starks and Khalid Lewis were kind of a rolling problem of true PG's who just weren't talented enough to be Big Ten players, and because Tracy Abrams was so injury prone and we failed so badly in recruiting that position during that period we got stuck with them running the show.

RayJ is a different level player than any of those guys.
Maniscalco actually played pretty well in the preseason that year for us but had foot issues that dramatically curtailed his play in the big ten.
 
#605      

ChiefGritty

Chicago, IL
This. This is the nuance so many do not grasp. It is one thing being the guy who has to take the end of the shot clock shot or had to take tough off the bounce 3’s. Sometimes the % goes up significantly because they get to just catch it and shoot it.
I 100% get that, and think that's probably a fair observation as to these players specifically.

Still, it's not always the case that just because a player is good shooting off the dribble they're going to level up to great in a more catch-and-shoot context.

I do think this is an area where something like xG in soccer which takes into account the difficulty of a shot might present some interesting information. On all shots the statistical noise is insane, but with 3's you're dealing with a less chaotic but still very large dataset.
 
#606      

Illynois

Chicago
I'm a Guerrier fan, but would he be willing to be a 3rd or 4th option? I knows it's been mentioned previously he could slide next to Hawkins, but is he someone that is just trying to showcase himself for the next level, or would he be willing to take a similar ~10 ppg? Considering Brad has recruited him 3 times now, it's apparent he's wanted, but not sure what his expectations are as far as showcasing himself... and that's up in the air depending on what Shannon does. With only Shannon back he could be like a 2nd or 3rd option, but that's not factoring in a lead guard and or coleman. This is also assuming Guerrier is willing to commit before an official announcement on Shannon, which who knows if that's the case, or whether he'd want to be more of a focal point🤷‍♂️..Thoughts/Opinions?
 
#607      

ChiefGritty

Chicago, IL
So we should play the young guys? Like Miller and curbelo and Epps and skyy and RJ?
Playing the young guys guarantees nothing.
Not playing the young guys guarantees something. That you won't have experienced old guys the next year.

It's a balancing act. There are competing interests. The right answers aren't obvious.

I think, I predict, we're a little too far to the "stuff the roster with one-offs" end of the spectrum.

I'm also a little surprised more effort hasn't been made to find a transfer with multiple years of eligibility, they are out there.
 
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#608      
I'm a Guerrier fan, but would he be willing to be a 3rd or 4th option? I knows it's been mentioned previously he could slide next to Hawkins, but is he someone that is just trying to showcase himself for the next level, or would he be willing to take a similar ~10 ppg? Considering Brad has recruited him 3 times now, it's apparent he's wanted, but not sure what his expectations are as far as showcasing himself... and that's up in the air depending on what Shannon does. With only Shannon back he could be like a 2nd or 3rd option, but that's not factoring in a lead guard and or coleman. This is also assuming Guerrier is willing to commit before an official announcement on Shannon, which who knows if that's the case, or whether he'd want to be more of a focal point🤷‍♂️..Thoughts/Opinions?
Yes he's willing to be the 4th option type guy
 
#613      
Thanks for the reply - were Kansas' or UConn's (or SDSU's) "old guys" new transfers in, or had they been with the program several years? (Genuine question, I don't know)
Fair question. Off the top of my head Remy Martin was a new transfer to Kansas and Adam Flagler transferred to Baylor. No one else jumps out though.
 
#615      
I'm a Guerrier fan, but would he be willing to be a 3rd or 4th option? I knows it's been mentioned previously he could slide next to Hawkins, but is he someone that is just trying to showcase himself for the next level, or would he be willing to take a similar ~10 ppg? Considering Brad has recruited him 3 times now, it's apparent he's wanted, but not sure what his expectations are as far as showcasing himself... and that's up in the air depending on what Shannon does. With only Shannon back he could be like a 2nd or 3rd option, but that's not factoring in a lead guard and or coleman. This is also assuming Guerrier is willing to commit before an official announcement on Shannon, which who knows if that's the case, or whether he'd want to be more of a focal point🤷‍♂️..Thoughts/Opinions?

He ain’t gonna have a choice here …
 
#620      
Boy that's bad news for the 2024-25 Illini.

We are consciously deciding to have next year's team driven by one-and-done NIL mercenaries rather than being willing to sacrifice anything to potential growing pains of the Goode/Rodgers/Harris/Hansberry/DGL group that has the opportunity for a longer term future with the program.

I think we're over-doing it a bit, and if TSJ or Hawkins decide to stay in the draft and are replaced with additional outside one-and-dones I think we'll be overdoing it a lot.

23 year old 4-year veterans as free transfers are a unique luxury only temporarily available due to Covid. I get that. We better make hay while that sun is shining, because we're putting ourselves in a challenging situation thereafter.
Let's pump the brakes with that train of thought because some of that same people who want to "develop" guys wouldn't tolerate a development year. We lost four seniors, as well as an All American prior to last year. That was 80%+ in every production related category. Even knowing all of that, people were going after BU(on this board) after "only" winning 20 games.

The deal with the portal fiasco is the players can't trust coaches and coaches can't trust players. Can you guarantee me that Rodgers stays after next year if he feels Kentucky calling? Heck, even the freshmen...can you tell me for certainty that after a great year, he's not going to be looking for a payday? How much is Morez getting paid? What's the budget when he comes aboard?

I feel for the coaches. Look how readily and easily for Epps, Melendez and Clark to bail. There was no hesitation. The coaches have to hedge all bets and have a CYA mentality now. It's just what it is.
 
#621      
I'm also a little surprised more effort hasn't been made to find a transfer with multiple years of eligibility, they are out there.
This is probably what I'm concerned about. I understand the new dynamic. But we just went through a season where we had chemistry issues. Those can be mitigated with some continuity brought by guys with two and three years of eligibility left.

Last year at this time, most of this board brushed off concerns about the challenge of creating a team out of all the new parts. I'm pretty much hearing the same thing right now.

Hope it works out.
 
#622      
Not playing the young guys guarantees something. That you won't have experienced old guys the next year.

It's a balancing act. There are competing interests. The right answers aren't obvious.

I think, I predict, we're a little too far to the "stuff the roster with one-offs" end of the spectrum.

I'm also a little surprised more effort hasn't been made to find a transfer with multiple years of eligibility, they are out there.
The last paragraph 100%
 
#623      

SactownIllini

Coleman Hawkinsland
Question for someone that knows: how are players finding out about where they might go before entering the transfer portal? (Like if another coach is interested or if they can get the best NIL deal at a particular school)
 
#624      

ChiefGritty

Chicago, IL
Let's pump the brakes with that train of thought because some of that same people who want to "develop" guys wouldn't tolerate a development year. We lost four seniors, as well as an All American prior to last year. That was 80%+ in every production related category. Even knowing all of that, people were going after BU(on this board) after "only" winning 20 games.

The deal with the portal fiasco is the players can't trust coaches and coaches can't trust players. Can you guarantee me that Rodgers stays after next year if he feels Kentucky calling? Heck, even the freshmen...can you tell me for certainty that after a great year, he's not going to be looking for a payday? How much is Morez getting paid? What's the budget when he comes aboard?

I feel for the coaches. Look how readily and easily for Epps, Melendez and Clark to bail. There was no hesitation. The coaches have to hedge all bets and have a CYA mentality now. It's just what it is.
When Bret Bielema took over the football program after the truncated Covid year where everybody got that freebie season, he invited (and got Josh Whitman to stump up the funds for) every single player on the roster to return on scholarship and have another go at it under the new staff, together, as a group. He Creaned not one single guy, spent his political capital getting a scholarship for the Desmond Dan's of the world rather than trying to burn everything down as fast as he could to get "his" players in.

A totally different approach than most new college football coaches take. And this offseason? We have the fewest departing portal players in the Power Five.

Roster stability can beget roster stability. Roster churn can beget roster churn.
 
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