Interesting comparison between EvanMiya.com ratings from this past year and projections for next year:
The good:
- As has been said before, he rates this as a #2-6 roster (though I'm not sure if the rankings would have changed since this was posted)
- Mirk is projected to improve a lot (and almost as valuable as Keaton was)
- Vaaks is also projected to improve a lot (3.55 last year, or #507 in the country)
- The #9 and 10 guys are projected to be a bit better (likely even more so with Zens added in), though not great
The bad:
- Stoj and Davis are projected to be worse (so is Z, but his rating this past year wasn't sensible)
- None of the freshman get much love
- The #3-8 guys are rated much lower than this past year
- Humrichous was a gem and it will be hard to replace that level of production for the seventh guy
Other:
- Interestingly, Morillo is ahead of Coleman
- We were #7 in EvanMiya this past year. These projections for next year look worse, yet he calls this a #2-6 roster. This could be due to some combination of NCAA talent being worse next year and/or the fact that often several of the best teams in any given year overperformed their pre-season projections and the projections of other top pre-season teams (this is like how the #2 MLB team in pre-season wins over/under is 90.5 this year despite many teams each year exceeding that- we just don't know which ones it will be).
Edit: I'm not putting this out as though it's my own opinion or anything. Just an interesting analysis to chew on.