Michigan State (Nov. 5th) & Purdue (Nov. 12th) Games

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#52      

redwingillini11

White and Sixth
North Aurora
If you look at the seats that are currently available, we still seem to be way ahead compared to the last few games. For Iowa and Minnesota, there seemed to be about 15-20 rows at the top of the east balcony withheld, as well as 5-7 rows withheld around the top of the horseshoe. Now, only the last row or two of the horseshoe has any available seats, and the only available seats on the east balcony are the last 5-10 rows of the end sections. It would be very surprising that they would make the least optimal seats available while withholding better seats. So that is a very good sign we are ahead of the pace compared to the last few games. I would imagine the vast majority of seats being withheld currently are the ones tucked up under the east balcony. Based on that, I bet we will be in good shape to hit 50k for Michigan State!
 
#53      
Can't trust the maps as they hold some seats back - at least that's what it appeared like last week - as I was closely monitoring availability. In other words, they do a phased release of seats. Perhaps the approach is to fill best TV sight lines first?
The difference is, they have all the back seats showing in the horseshoe and even in the upper deck. That means they sold enough in the front rows to open those up. They did not even come close to that this past week. That should mean close to 55k for this game, which will look almost like a sellout on TV (besides the upper right section of the East deck)
 
#54      
The difference is, they have all the back seats showing in the horseshoe and even in the upper deck. That means they sold enough in the front rows to open those up. They did not even come close to that this past week. That should mean close to 55k for this game, which will look almost like a sellout on TV (besides the upper right section of the East deck)
Yep, seems like 55k is the magic number for it to look absolutely packed on TV, due to how many seats we have underneath the east balcony overhang and the camera rarely showing the corners of the east upper deck. And honestly, I'm mostly just concerned what it LOOKS like. :cool: :hailtotheorange:
 
#58      
FYI, here are the Big Ten and (current) top 25 games the weekend we play Michigan State:

All Big Ten Games
#3 Michigan at Rutgers
#2 Ohio State at Northwestern - 2:30 pm on BTN (BTN's chance to get OSU, haha...)
Michigan State at #18 Illinois
#16 Penn State at Indiana
Minnesota at Nebraska - 11:00 am on BTN
Iowa at Purdue - 2:30 pm on BTN
Maryland at Wisconsin - 11:00 am on FS1 (Maryland is literally always on FS1 instead of BTN, lol)

Those games will need to fill two spots on BTN (11:30 am and 2:30 pm) and two spots on FS1 (11:30 am and 2:30 pm), and I have posted my predictions of those above, as well. That leaves these games for ESPN, ABC or FOX:

Remaining Big Ten Games and Other Top 25 Games
#3 Michigan at Rutgers
Michigan State at #18 Illinois
#16 Penn State at Indiana

#3 Tennessee at #1 Georgia - Have to figure this is the 2:30 pm CBS game, right?
#6 Alabama at LSU
Texas Tech at #8 TCU
#9 UCLA at Arizona State (probably a later game, not affecting us)
#10 Oregon at Colorado
#11 Oklahoma State at Kansas
Cal at #12 USC
#13 Wake Forest at #23 NC State - This has 2:30 pm ESPN2 written all over it, lol...
#14 Syracuse at Pitt
Arizona at #15 Utah
#20 Texas at #17 Kansas State - Guessing 2:30 pm on ESPN
#19 Kentucky at Missouri - Definitely SECN...
Navy at #21 Cincinnati - ESPNU all day
#22 North Carolina at Virginia
Auburn at #24 Mississippi State

Big Noon Kickoff is always Big Ten or Big XII, right? I think (assuming we can beat Nebraska and Purdue...) by that point in the season, Illinois/MSU would be a better story than Penn State/Indiana, but I don't know if we would edge out Michigan ... they seem to be on it every week. Really hopeful we can be on anything other than BTN or FS1 (or, God forbid, ESPNU) so our guys can start getting even more exposure!
 
#61      
College football ticket sales SEEM to lag behind NFL ticket sales relative to team success. Keep winning and a football game at Memorial Stadium won't be the "best kept secret" between me and 27,000 others.
 
#62      
College football ticket sales SEEM to lag behind NFL ticket sales relative to team success. Keep winning and a football game at Memorial Stadium won't be the "best kept secret" between me and 27,000 others.
Yeah, and ticket sales dropping with failure also seems to lag. 2002's 4-8 season and 2009's 3-9 season both drew huge crowds to Memorial Stadium because, even through the disappointment, there was enough residue enthusiasm and an existing season ticket base to keep the place full. Also see 2007 and 2008 (16-19!!!) basketball seasons selling out all of the home games, lol.

Anyway, as far as these next two home games, I will predict the following attendance - ASSUMING we can defeat Nebraska in Lincoln and come in 7-1:

vs. Michigan State: 54,500 (it's also Dads Day)
vs. Purdue: 58,500 (likely for the Big Ten West) ... I would want to predict a sellout, but the lack of season tickets really seems to be holding us back.

On another note ... given how price-sensitive and slow-acting our fans seem to be, I'm a little worried that in our ONLY EVER trip to Indy (if we should make it), the Illini presence would be embarrassing for being so close. I hope to God I would be wrong (our fans did bring over 30,000 to the Rose Bowl...), and I will certainly be there, but the arguments of "wait and see" and all of that would be totally toast by that point. Cautiously optimistic we'd bring a good cohort.
 
#63      
Any idea on the game time for the MSU game? Would it potentially be a night game or would it be a standard afternoon start?
 
#64      
Yeah, and ticket sales dropping with failure also seems to lag. 2002's 4-8 season and 2009's 3-9 season both drew huge crowds to Memorial Stadium because, even through the disappointment, there was enough residue enthusiasm and an existing season ticket base to keep the place full. Also see 2007 and 2008 (16-19!!!) basketball seasons selling out all of the home games, lol.

Anyway, as far as these next two home games, I will predict the following attendance - ASSUMING we can defeat Nebraska in Lincoln and come in 7-1:

vs. Michigan State: 54,500 (it's also Dads Day)
vs. Purdue: 58,500 (likely for the Big Ten West) ... I would want to predict a sellout, but the lack of season tickets really seems to be holding us back.

On another note ... given how price-sensitive and slow-acting our fans seem to be, I'm a little worried that in our ONLY EVER trip to Indy (if we should make it), the Illini presence would be embarrassing for being so close. I hope to God I would be wrong (our fans did bring over 30,000 to the Rose Bowl...), and I will certainly be there, but the arguments of "wait and see" and all of that would be totally toast by that point. Cautiously optimistic we'd bring a good cohort.
While season ticket sales were still large with hope that 2008 was a fluke dip after the Rose Bowl, 2009 did not draw big crowds. In fact, I think about 16,000 were there to watch the Illini lose 53-52 to Fresno State when a 350 lb lineman caught a 2 point conversion. That made it a struggle to get crowds in 2010 as we recovered, and even the 2011 game against OSU when we were #17 and undefeated "only" drew 55k.
 
#65      
While season ticket sales were still large with hope that 2008 was a fluke dip after the Rose Bowl, 2009 did not draw big crowds. In fact, I think about 16,000 were there to watch the Illini lose 53-52 to Fresno State when a 350 lb lineman caught a 2 point conversion. That made it a struggle to get crowds in 2010 as we recovered, and even the 2011 game against OSU when we were #17 and undefeated "only" drew 55k.
Yeah, I mean I can only really go off paid attendance, but it took a while for our crowds to drop off - again, at least as far as tickets SOLD. These are our "official" attendance numbers that year:

62,347 vs. Illinois State
62,870 (sellout) vs. #13 Penn State
62,870 (sellout) vs. Michigan State
60,119 vs. Michigan ... actually shows a pretty big drop in enthusiasm, given the opponent...
60,523 vs. Northwestern
48,538 vs. Fresno State

So, we still SOLD more tickets for a December game against Fresno State while we were 3-8 than we did last week against Minnesota ... like you said, that is probably mostly a large season ticket base.
 
#66      

IlliniCardinal

Minneapolis
Yeah, I mean I can only really go off paid attendance, but it took a while for our crowds to drop off - again, at least as far as tickets SOLD. These are our "official" attendance numbers that year:

62,347 vs. Illinois State
62,870 (sellout) vs. #13 Penn State
62,870 (sellout) vs. Michigan State
60,119 vs. Michigan ... actually shows a pretty big drop in enthusiasm, given the opponent...
60,523 vs. Northwestern
48,538 vs. Fresno State

So, we still SOLD more tickets for a December game against Fresno State while we were 3-8 than we did last week against Minnesota ... like you said, that is probably mostly a large season ticket base.
My fears are:

1. low attendance this year makes selecting Illinois for a bowl less attractive to bowl selection committees, and the players don't get the best possible bowl because of (a lack of) fan support
2. whether the DIA has enough revenue / funds to extend BB and lock down staff to the extent possible
 
#67      

ChiefGritty

Chicago, IL
My fears are:

1. low attendance this year makes selecting Illinois for a bowl less attractive to bowl selection committees, and the players don't get the best possible bowl because of (a lack of) fan support
2. whether the DIA has enough revenue / funds to extend BB and lock down staff to the extent possible
1. It is what it is, but look on the bright side and let Penn State get crushed by Alabama while we get to play Kentucky

2. Famous last words, but I can't see Bielema leaving. He's not as appealing to the kinds of jobs that might turn his head as he probably should be, and I don't know if any of those jobs are going to open this offseason anyway. He's not going back to Wisconsin and I don't see why we would worry about Nebraska. He will get a - ahem - Bielema-sized extension from us though.

My fear is that our underclassman losses to the NFL draft might be kinda dramatic.
 
#68      

Dan

Admin
Any idea on the game time for the MSU game? Would it potentially be a night game or would it be a standard afternoon start?
The short answer: no idea, and there's prime kickoff spots seemingly in every time slot (morning, afternoon depending on network) that it's difficult to speculate.

To add to the kickoff time intrigue there's always the dreaded "6 day option" lurking, where we won't know the kickoff time until 1 week prior (instead of the usual 2 weeks prior announcement). We won't know if the networks are using the 6 day option for Nov. 5th games until Sunday or Monday.

I was trying to find the Big Ten's rules for night games, couldn't find anything definitive for this season. Last season the Big Ten did have 2 night games in November, they both occurred on the first Saturday in November.

All the other 2021 Big Ten November games had a kickoff between 11:00am-3:00pm CT.

Here's an excerpt about 2021 Big Ten November night games (I don't know if this applies to this season as well)-
For those wondering, this [2021 Week 10, Nov. 6th] is the final weekend in which TV networks can make the calls to stage Big Ten football games at night. They can still happen during the month of November, but both schools must agree.

https://www.mlive.com/wolverines/2021/10/michigan-football-back-in-prime-time-vs-indiana.html
 
#69      
I have posted about this elsewhere, but in essence ... your game time and channel are about 1 million times more important for your TV ratings than anything else. Here are our ratings so far:

512k vs. Wyoming - 3:00 pm on BTN
965k at Indiana - 7:00 pm (Friday) on FS1
159k vs. Virginia - 3:00 pm on ESPNU ... this channel is a ratings GRAVEYARD
176k vs. Chattanooga - 7:30 pm (Thursday) on BTN
573k at Wisconsin - 11:00 am on BTN
855k vs. Iowa - 6:30 pm on BTN

Minnesota was obviously an 11:00 am BTN game, and it competed with a massively hyped Michigan/PSU game on FOX ... so if we pull anything close to those Iowa or even Wisconsin ratings, I will consider it a massive win. While those ratings don't look great, they actually compare well with other "big fan base/good draw" teams in our own conference who have been placed in similar time slots on BTN or FS1 ... for example, PSU drew 628k for a 12:00 pm EST game against Central Michigan on BTN, and Wisconsin drew under 500k (i.e., worse than our Wyoming game) for both of its games on BTN this year vs. Illinois State and New Mexico State.

Conversely, when we actually played on decent channels last year, we got pretty good ratings - 3.77 million at Penn State when we played at 11:00 am on ABC and 3.22 million when we played Nebraska at 12:00 pm on FOX to open the season. Those were both in line with what those schools drew other games, so no big Illini drop-off. We have the following opportunities to really see if the Illini can be the TV draw that I believe they can be this season:

at Nebraska (2:30 pm on ABC/ESPN)
vs. Michigan State ... on this weekend, the "big draws" play kind of crappy games - OSU at NU, MICH at RUT and PSU at IU ... I think there is a good chance we at least avoid BTN or FS1.
vs. Purdue ... Another week weekend in the Big Ten, and the only "ratings rivals" games are Iowa/Wisconsin and Michigan/Nebraska. The former has WAY less appeal than most years, and the potential stakes of the Illini/Purdue game (if we can both keep winning...) just might outweigh the traditional appeal of Michigan/Nebraska. This has the potential to be another ABC/ESPN game or maybe even FOX...
at Michigan ... Unless one of us REALLY messes up in the meantime, you would think this is practically guaranteed to be primetime viewing, as things stand now...
at Northwestern ... given the other ACTUAL rivalries going on that weekend, this one is likely destined for a crap time on BTN or FS1 (or, God forbid, ESPNU), and any quality ratings we can deliver will be genuinely impressive.
Just a hypothetical and not get ahead of anything plus everything applicable to avoid any kind of jinx, if we go into Evanston 10-1, what kind of impact would the (almost?) best vs the worst have on viewership. Will people be tuning in to see what America’s Team is all about? Or save it for the B1G championship game?
 
#71      
The DIA has done their part. Now its our turn to do our part to fill the stadium these last few weeks!
I respectfully disagree.

-$50 prime horseshoe, standard main
-$25 standard horseshoe, sub-standard main, prime east balcony
-$15 sub-standard horseshoe, poor main, sub-prime east balcony

The set those prices for 2 weeks, and they’ll be within striking distance of a sell-out (I believe)
 
#72      
Yeah, I mean I can only really go off paid attendance, but it took a while for our crowds to drop off - again, at least as far as tickets SOLD. These are our "official" attendance numbers that year:

62,347 vs. Illinois State
62,870 (sellout) vs. #13 Penn State
62,870 (sellout) vs. Michigan State
60,119 vs. Michigan ... actually shows a pretty big drop in enthusiasm, given the opponent...
60,523 vs. Northwestern
48,538 vs. Fresno State

So, we still SOLD more tickets for a December game against Fresno State while we were 3-8 than we did last week against Minnesota ... like you said, that is probably mostly a large season ticket base.
I honestly believe the DIA was not even trying to sell that many tickets this year until Bielema made a big deal about it publicly a few weeks ago when he spammed all of his interviews with pleas to the fans.

I am inferring from their behavior that this was the DIA agenda for tickets this year, and would love anyone in the know to either confirm or refute this:

1. Promote season ticket sales by increasing price of single game tickets. They were OK selling fewer tickets total this year as long as season ticket subscriptions increased.

2. Introduce flat pricing so that fans are forced to buy the best seats available. This prevents fans from buying cheaper seats then moving into vacant better seats during the game.

Edit: I think this whole ticket fiasco is shame because because it’s really the only blemish on the season
 
#74      

DeonThomas

South Carolina
I honestly believe the DIA was not even trying to sell that many tickets this year until Bielema made a big deal about it publicly a few weeks ago when he spammed all of his interviews with pleas to the fans.

I am inferring from their behavior that this was the DIA agenda for tickets this year, and would love anyone in the know to either confirm or refute this:

1. Promote season ticket sales by increasing price of single game tickets. They were OK selling fewer tickets total this year as long as season ticket subscriptions increased.

2. Introduce flat pricing so that fans are forced to buy the best seats available. This prevents fans from buying cheaper seats then moving into vacant better seats during the game.

Edit: I think this whole ticket fiasco is shame because because it’s really the only blemish on the season
I haven't witnessed a ticket fiasco so far this season at all, and I just purchased for my 3rd game in Champaign. My personal experience is this:

- the process is the easiest I've encountered (FightingIllini.com)
- parking is essentially free (I parked on the street near 1st & Gregory for Iowa; at Research Park for Wyoming)
- there is no secondary market mark-up on tickets
- the prices are the absolute cheapest of any sports team in which I have a rooting interest (Cubs, Bears, Bulls, Illini football, Illini basketball, Clemson Tiger FB)
- as a comparison, tailgate parking at/around Memorial Stadium in Clemson is ranging between $250 and $800 for this weekend's game vs. Syracuse

And I have a lot more interest and I care a heck of a lot more about the Illini (my alma mater) than I do the Clemson Tigers (my children's alma mater). Let's all leverage the great thing we have going in Champaign-Urbana and fill the stadium for both remaining home games! And then repeat in Indy!!

Note: I don't believe we should be complaining about cost. If the Illinois football experience is out of reach financially, just watch from home on TV. It's a bargain right now! It's hard to get a much better deal than watching a Top 15 football team that is priced like a bottom 5 cellar dweller. The perfect combination.
 
#75      
It’s ticket prices: It’s better to not lower ticket prices. Instead, have the flash sales and discounts. The optics are better. You don’t have cheap seats. You have seats you can get cheap.

You don’t have to worry about raising prices later. The flash sale idea maxes that out.

Flash sales create “anxiety” sales. Gotta order now or I’m going to lose it. (Are you on the mailing list for Fanatics, Gameday, etc? There’s always a limited time only sale going on).

Meanwhile, standard price sales continue because people want to make sure the get their desired seats.

And sales do what you want them to do. Fill the seats (for all the reasons you want that), and give those who might have experienced game day and might want to come back again.
 
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