Pregame: Illinois at Penn State, Saturday, September 28th, 6:30pm CT, NBC

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#459      
texillwek
altgeld88 said:
Actually sounds kinda romantic to me. 🥹 Despite my earlier comment, @purcy51 may unwittingly be setting himself up for an evening during which the Illini game is of greatly subordinated interest to other activities . ;)
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Yo Gotti At The Same Time GIF by Complex
 
#462      
STLini25
Piotyr said:
The line continues to be bizarre to me. Sure, Texas beat Michigan by 18 earlier in the year, but even that felt like more of a beatdown than we'll see in this game.

I'd much more expect PSU to be about 10 points better than Illinois on a neutral field, so give them 3 more points for being at home and that's still 13, 5-6 points shy of the actual line. Plus, Bielema has never lost on the road to a ranked team by more than 10. Maybe I'm setting myself up for disappointment, but of the potential outcomes, I'd put "PSU wins by 3 touchdowns" far down the list of likeliness. Here's how my head thinks:

30%: PSU wins by 11-17 points
30%: PSU wins by 1-10 points
20%: ILL wins by 1-10 points
15%: ILL wins by 11-17 points
3%: PSU wins by 18+
2%: ILL wins by 18+
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You’d give 33 to 1 odds that PSU wins by 18+ ? 😳 I wish you made lines for a Sportsbook
 
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