The Illinois Coaching Search

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#426      
After all the talk of opening up the checkbook, the competitive environment, hidden interest by an established p5 coach, and maybe most important the direction Cal was heading at the end of the year, this would be disappointing.

Don't focus on the talk, or the last handful of games. Look at the body of work.

And the body of work for Cuonzo is better than Groce, but not by a ton.
 
#427      

EJ33

San Francisco
Who's the best fit out there? Whitman mentioned a few criteria, didn't he?

- head coach experience
- dynamic recruiter
- appreciates and understands Illinois' tradition

Looking at these criteria, Cuonzo was a lock if he could've done better this season. I'm not pushing him, but I really think he'll still be considered.

Who's the name out there that could almost certainly recruit Chicago and St. Louis better than Cuonzo? I'm pretty sure Cuonzo keeps the recruiting class and adds Mark Smith.

Not pushing Cuonzo, I just want to know who is a better fit.
 
#428      

ILLINIShox24

Orange Krush '04 & '05
I heard a rumor yesterday from my father-in-law that it's Cuonzo. He heard it from a longtime friend that is on a coaching staff in the WCC, and said that his staff will be at Cal next year, supposedly it's all but official. I've met the coach but haven't talked to him in a couple of years. The guy is super well connected in coaching circles, he knows virtually everybody. I've seen his phone contact list, and it was impressive.

Honestly I'm not sure how much stock I put in it considering the guy has been known to stretch the truth before. I also don't think his head coach has done enough to get hired at Cal, but I could be wrong.


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I think this scenario might play out, but with Cuonzo at Mizzou
 
#429      

Cheez

Sun Prairie WI
We aren't a top 25 program and haven't been for 10 years. If you're talking bout top 25 POTENTIAL, then yeah we have it, but so does every P5 school with the right coach.

factoring in the prestige of the job, the natural recruiting pipelines, the facilities, the conference, and the support from the administration - Illinois is absolutely a top-20 program. The results from the end of Weber and all of Groce just haven't shown that.
 
#432      

MrOizo

Chicago
Do we? Is he?

I'll add: the only scenario where this is not true IMO is if Keatts is our clear #2. If that's the case, I could see a scenario where this is over really quickly with few candidates contacted.
 
#433      

Ldog2013

Des Moines, IA
Winning at mid-major is not what defines "fit." Many successful coaches won at mid-major and failed in a bigger stage. It also does not mean that a successful mid-major coach can do it with less talent. People often say, look at Coach XYZ (e.g., Marshall and others) he does not need 5* at Wichita State, etc. That comparison leads to faulty conclusions, because at mid-majors, you still need talent, but need talent compared to the other teams you regularly play in your conference.

There are some mid-major programs that have elevated themselves over the years to the point that they do get good talent, better comparative talent, at that level. Some examples are Wichita State, VCU, Butler, Gonzaga, etc. I think coaches at those schools get the benefit of some of the work of their predecessors over the years (a commonality in the examples given above), but does not mean that they are bad coaches themselves.

I have no problem with a coach being a little arrogant, you need confidence and personality, without going to extremes, of course. I have no problem with that aspect, but Marshall is more of an introvert and that's his reputation in AAU circles. I do not believe he has the personality to be a dynamic recruiter at Illinois and deal with the powerful HS and AAU programs.

Yet, I think Marshall can be successful at P5, but more in a bigger name school, where the school reputation can give him an added boost in recruiting. That is not Illinois right now. Not a good "fit" IMO.

Not a fit, look at Mashall's winning percentages at Winthrop and WSU. He built winthrop and took WSU to another level. Marshall does have the ability to identify talent and coach them up Van Fleet, Baker, Early. This season showed Marshall is a great coach after losing Van Fleet and Baker. The one reason why WSU stays consistent is he is a great defensive coach.

Your questioning whether or not he can step up recruiting. Most mid-major coaches have to step it up and or find assistants to strengthen their weaknesses. Marshall has prioritized recruiting players for WSU out of the St.Louis-Kansas City area in the past. Not sure how hard Groce was in on Landry Shamet but he ended up at WSU.

The problem is Marshall is already a highly paid coach. Pizza Hut and the Koch Brothers could and will probably offer him a raise.
 
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#434      
pun intended?

Ha. I'd like to take credit, but just a coincidence. Marshall is a great coach, but I tend to agree with some of the others about whether he would be a good fit.
 
#435      

Serious Late

Peoria via Denver via Ann Arbor via Albuquerque vi
Ugggggggggh, Cuonzo's friends and family are back or what?

Not. A. Good. Coach.

Quality recruiter, has shown nothing to suggest he can maximize the talent recruited.

That said, the right coach is in the Pac-12 right now! :)

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#436      
Who's the best fit out there? Whitman mentioned a few criteria, didn't he?

- head coach experience
- dynamic recruiter
- appreciates and understands Illinois' tradition

Looking at these criteria, Cuonzo was a lock if he could've done better this season. I'm not pushing him, but I really think he'll still be considered.

Who's the name out there that could almost certainly recruit Chicago and St. Louis better than Cuonzo? I'm pretty sure Cuonzo keeps the recruiting class and adds Mark Smith.

Not pushing Cuonzo, I just want to know who is a better fit.

Anyone who can coach. I've been watching his team pretty closely the last several months & they look pretty disorganized. They have talent & are playing well below their talent level.
 
#437      

BananaShampoo

Captain 'Paign
Phoenix, AZ
Ugggggggggh, Cuonzo's friends and family are back or what?

Not. A. Good. Coach.

Quality recruiter, has shown nothing to suggest he can maximize the talent recruited.

That said, the right coach is in the Pac-12 right now! :)

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Alford? I kid I kid.

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#438      
Not a fit, look at Mashall's winning percentages at Winthrop and WSU. He built winthrop and took WSU to another level. Marshall does have the ability to identify talent and coach them up Van Fleet, Baker, Early. This season showed Marshall is a great coach after losing Van Fleet and Baker. The one reason why WSU stays consistent is he is a great defensive coach.

Your questioning whether or not he can step up recruiting. Most mid-major coaches have to step it up and or find assistants to strengthen their weaknesses. Marshall has prioritized recruiting players for WSU out of the St.Louis-Kansas City area in the past. Not sure how hard Groce was in on Landry Shamet but he ended up at WSU.

I'm more than OK with Marshall. Hard to find a Coach that consistently wins at any sport at any level without emphasizing defense. A good coach has an accurate knowledge of his own strengths and weaknesses (and we all have both), and will cover his weaknesses with his staff. If Marshal comes in and instills a pride in defense and an emphasis on fundamentals, he can find somebody to recruit Chicago.
 
#439      
Ugggggggggh, Cuonzo's friends and family are back or what?

Not. A. Good. Coach.

Quality recruiter, has shown nothing to suggest he can maximize the talent recruited.

That said, the right coach is in the Pac-12 right now! :)

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G930A using Tapatalk



My only direct connection to Cuonzo is that my brother-in-law played basketball against him once in high school. I don't know Cuonzo and probably couldn't even pick him out of a line-up. I completely agree with you that he's not a good coach. I really hope the rumor I heard isn't true or that the source got his wires crossed and Cuonzo is actually going to Mizzou. If my source actually ends up at Cal to replace Cuonzo, I'll be amazed. Its entirely possible he was just telling my FIL what he thought my FIL wanted to hear. I'll be more than happy to be wrong about this.


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#440      
After this season, Cuonzo is too risky. They need to go with a guy who is already a proven consistent winner. They'll have to throw some more cash, but if they are serious about turning illinois around, they'll pay more.

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#441      

zpfled

Logan Square, Chicago
I heard a rumor yesterday from my father-in-law that it's Cuonzo. He heard it from a longtime friend that is on a coaching staff in the WCC, and said that his staff will be at Cal next year, supposedly it's all but official. I've met the coach but haven't talked to him in a couple of years. The guy is super well connected in coaching circles, he knows virtually everybody. I've seen his phone contact list, and it was impressive.

Honestly I'm not sure how much stock I put in it considering the guy has been known to stretch the truth before. I also don't think his head coach has done enough to get hired at Cal, but I could be wrong.


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I've heard that Cuonzo was all but hired last year, but this happened and threw a wrench in the works.

I think Martin is still a candidate this year. I'm not sure how I feel about that. I'd love his recruiting, but I wonder about his ability to get results. Obviously his season has been disappointing and I have no clue how that may factor into Whitman's decision.
 
#442      
I would love to have Miller or Marshall but I feel the diamond in the rough here might be Larry Krystkowiak. Have you looked at the trajectory of Utah's basketball program since he took over? Former NBA player, would need to have a good staff recruiting-wise but man does the year over year improvement look good.
 
#443      
I've heard that Cuonzo was all but hired last year, but this happened and threw a wrench in the works.



I think Martin is still a candidate this year. I'm not sure how I feel about that. I'd love his recruiting, but I wonder about his ability to get results. Obviously his season has been disappointing and I have no clue how that may factor into Whitman's decision.



All but hired by who? JW or MT?


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#444      

MrOizo

Chicago
Agree 100% In my opinion if it is Cuonzo all we are doing is trading one recruiter for another. I want a head coach. After all the talk of opening up the checkbook, the competitive environment, hidden interest by an established p5 coach, and maybe most important the direction Cal was heading at the end of the year, this would be disappointing.

I'm not on the Cuonzo bandwagon by any means, but I think Cuonzo can coach. It's just that he has a lot more P5 experience than others we are considering. When you look at Cuonzo's situations, and if we can make the *assumption* that the teams he took over weren't very good, he looks fine to me as a coach. If you consider the teams he took over, where they were at, and how he adjusted offense and defense to the personnel, it's not as if he looks inferior to, say, Keatts.

Mind you, this is just high-level stats...

- How efficient are his offense and defense?

SRS - Points above/below average, where 0 is average and higher = better. Accounts for point differential and SOS.
SOS - Strength of schedule, where 0 is average and higher = better.

KEATTS:
NC Wilmington:
2014-2015: Offense: #200 | Defense: #158 (18-14 | SRS: -2.53 | SOS: -1.92)
2015-2016: Offense: #63 | Defense: #110 (23-11 | SRS: 6.25 | SOS: 0.35)
2016-2017: Offense: #5 | Defense: #214 (21-12 | SRS: 8.05 | SOS: -0.98)

MARTIN:

Efficiency Ratings / Record:
Missouri State:
2008-2009: Offense: #256 | Defense: #179 (11-20 | SRS: -1.9 | SOS: 1.9)
2009-2010: Offense: #35 | Defense: #140 (24-12 | SRS: 7.57 | SOS: 1.4)
2010-2011: Offense: #17 | Defense: #161 (26-9 | SRS: 8.07 | SOS: 1.35)
Tennessee:
2011-2012: Offense: #132 | Defense: #111 (19-15 | SRS: 9.49 | SOS: 6.58)
2012-2013: Offense: #127 | Defense: #118 (20-13 | SRS: 9.00 | SOS: 6.03)
2013-2014: Offense: #29 | Defense: #41 (24-13 | SRS: 17.34 | SOS: 7.84)
Cal:
2014-2015: Offense: #224 | Defense: #142 (18-15 | SRS: 5.36 | SOS: 6.15)
2015-2016: Offense: #84 | Defense: #39 (23-11 | SRS: 15.39 | SOS: 7.87)
2016-2017: Offense: #226 | Defense: #10 (21-12 | SRS: 11.79 | SOS: 6.67)

For comparison:

Illinois Efficiency:
2008-2009: Offense: #160 | Defense: #3 (21-12 | SRS: 14.38 | SOS: 6.73)
2009-2010: Offense: #111 | Defense: #108 (21-12 | SRS: 11.58 | SOS: 9.58)
2010-2011: Offense: #64 | Defense: #88 (21-12 | SRS: 16.72 | SOS: 11.11)
2011-2012: Offense: #180 | Defense: #109 (21-12 | SRS: 9.33 | SOS: 7.99)
2012-2013: Offense: #105 | Defense: #136 (21-12 | SRS: 13.23 | SOS: 10.08)
2013-2014: Offense: #224 | Defense: #54 (21-12 | SRS: 10.33 | SOS: 8.28)
2014-2015: Offense: #92 | Defense: #70 (21-12 | SRS: 12.42 | SOS: 6.93)
2015-2016: Offense: #196 | Defense: #239 (21-12 | SRS: 4.39 | SOS: 7.03)
2016-2017: Offense: #175 | Defense: #136 (21-12 | SRS: 10.34 | SOS: 9.89)
 
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#445      

Serious Late

Peoria via Denver via Ann Arbor via Albuquerque vi
I've heard that Cuonzo was all but hired last year, but this happened and threw a wrench in the works.

I think Martin is still a candidate this year. I'm not sure how I feel about that. I'd love his recruiting, but I wonder about his ability to get results. Obviously his season has been disappointing and I have no clue how that may factor into Whitman's decision.
That is one heck of a lucky wrench to have been thrown our way! :)
I would love to have Miller or Marshall but I feel the diamond in the rough here might be Larry Krystkowiak. Have you looked at the trajectory of Utah's basketball program since he took over? Former NBA player, would need to have a good staff recruiting-wise but man does the year over year improvement look good.
:thumb:
 
#446      
You would have thought that with what happened 5 yrs ago with the coaching search that people on this board had learned their lesson...(Brad Stevens, Shaka Smart). No big name coach is leaving a program that he has rolling to come to Illinois to start to build again. Put your $$$ away, not happening. You are looking at Keatts, Martin or some other coach looking to get back to a power conference. Please stop all this Billy D, Greg M or A Miller talk. NOT HAPPENING!
 
#447      

jmilt7

Waukegan
Sorry to keep beating the drum for Kruger, but I think did an amazing, and yet under rated job in his time here. You all debate whether Weber and Groce left a more bare cupboard, you should look back and see what Kruger inherited, and what he left for Self. NO ILLINI COACH HAS DONE SO MUCH WITH SO LITTLE IN SUCH A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. You younger guys need to go back and read a bit, and you will see how both Kruger and Self built the program that Weber took to the finals. As for the idea that Kruger didn't want to be here... He left Florida - whom he took to the final four - to be here, and he left us for a NBA paycheck w/o having to recruit. As I recall it came down to him and Izzo for the Hawks job. I sure never got the idea that he didn't want to be here. He left a great situation for us, and he left us for an even greater situation.

Lon Kruger left a great school in a great location that he took to the final four, to come here with an empty cupboard. The reason we don't appreciate him more is that he turned it around so quickly, and set us up for fantastic success after him.

This, plus I loved to watch him out-coach Bobby Knight almost every time.
 
#449      

Cheez

Sun Prairie WI
You would have thought that with what happened 5 yrs ago with the coaching search that people on this board had learned their lesson...(Brad Stevens, Shaka Smart). No big name coach is leaving a program that he has rolling to come to Illinois to start to build again. Put your $$$ away, not happening. You are looking at Keatts, Martin or some other coach looking to get back to a power conference. Please stop all this Billy D, Greg M or A Miller talk. NOT HAPPENING!

The biggest obstacles in trying to get the big name coach last year weren't Illinois' results. It was a university that was undergoing massive turnover at the top and an AD that wouldn't offer the support those coaches would require. All of that is gone now, so I think it's fair for Illinois fans to set their sights high again.
 
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